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100 Amber Ct
D- Composite 38.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$150,000

100 Amber Ct · Whitakers, NC 27891
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,107 sqft · Manufactured public records · 123 Days on market
Built 2023 10,018 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Only Stick Built and Modular Structures Permited. Per Restrictions. Seller is a Licensed Real Estate Broker

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 2023
  • Listed 123 days

Tags

CUSTOM-BUILT RESIDENCEOUTDOOR LIVING SPACESWELCOMING FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R10
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Construction materials: N/A; Foundation: None
  • Exterior features: Publicly maintained road access; Road surface: Gravel / Other

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; Cooling: N/A
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; Appliances: Other
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (13.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (20.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#417 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Nash-Rocky Mount Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #155 of 178 in NC (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: M B Hubbard Elementary (math 12% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,233 of 1,410 statewide, top 88%, 407 students, 85% FRL); Red Oak Middle (math 24% / reading 38%, grade F, #326 of 475 statewide, top 69%, 804 students, 64% FRL); Northern Nash High (math 37% / reading 41%, grade F, #402 of 535 statewide, top 75%, 1,059 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 500 units permitted in Nash County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
  • Nash County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $150k implies a 733% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,993 (20.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.29%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$10,125
Equity at exit
$66,757
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$47,196
Equity at exit
$102,348

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27891

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$214 /mo · $2,567/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$-115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,346
Max offer price $129,666
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-30 -5% $-73 +0% $-115 +5% $-158 +10% $-200
Rent -10% $-210 -5% $-163 +0% $-115 +5% $-68 +10% $-20
Rate -1.0pp $-40 -0.5pp $-77 base $-115 +0.5pp $-154 +1.0pp $-194

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 123 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 118 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 117 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 114 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 112 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 111 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 109 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 103 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 102 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 101 DOM
  18. 2026-04-06
    price $150,000
  19. 2026-03-19
    price $160,000
  20. 2026-03-05
    price $170,000
  21. 2026-02-18
    listed $180,000 Active
  22. 2023-07-13
    soldstatus $18,000 Closed 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Only Stick Built and Modular Structures Permited. Per Restrictions. Seller is a Licensed Real Estate Broker

  23. 2023-04-24
    status Pending 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Only Stick Built and Modular Structures Permited. Per Restrictions. Seller is a Licensed Real Estate Broker

  24. 2022-09-07
    listed $18,000 Active 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Only Stick Built and Modular Structures Permited. Per Restrictions. Seller is a Licensed Real Estate Broker

  25. 2014-10-17
    historical
  26. 2014-09-22
    listed $4,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,567 · $214/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,567 · $214/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,399
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,567
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$3,988
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$957
After-tax cash flow
$-424/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nash-Rocky Mount Schools
NCES district ID
3703270
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$41,553
Composite
22.04/100
National rank
#8198
State rank
#155 of 178 in NC

Livability — Whitakers

Score
63/100
State rank
#417
US rank
#15623

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Whitakers, NC
Population (ZIP)
4,484

Population outlook (Nash County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
91,107 people
By 2030
89,193 · -2.1%
By 2040
84,959 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,517 · -11.6%
By 2075
72,941 · -19.9%
By 2100
63,602 · -30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 29% Native American 2% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Nash

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+0.2 2012: D+0.9 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.92%
Current HPI
192.6053
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3650.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $150,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $160,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $170,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $180,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-13 Sold (MLS) $18,000 Hive MLS
  • 2023-04-24 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2022-09-07 Listed $18,000 Hive MLS
  • 2014-10-17 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2014-09-22 Listed $4,000 TMLS

Property tax history

+57.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,567 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…