🏷️ Likely Rental
620 Dock St · Millville, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the potential at 620 Dock Street in Millville—a versatile property suitable for both homeowners and investors. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,564 sq ft and is located in an established neighborhood with convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways. SOLD- AS IS Currently tenant is occupied at $1,350 per month, the property provides immediate income, with potential for future rental increase. Tenant pays gas and electric. Property is being sold strictly as-is and may benefit from updates and improvements, offering an opportunity to add value over time. Access may be limited due to tenant occupancy. Seller prefers a quick closing. With continued growth in the Millville area, this property presents a flexible opportunity for personal use or investment. SOLD AS IS.
Key facts
- Tenant occupied
- Local amenities
- 4,356 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.2% in Millville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#431 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Millville School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #447 of 472 in NJ (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $170k implies a 426% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.67%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $276,828
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 322 F St | 0.42mi | 4/1.5 | 1,644 (+5%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $97 | 67 |
| 408 4th St N | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,588 (+2%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $82 | 64 |
| 915 N N 4th St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,621 (+4%) | 4mo | $135,500 | $84 | 59 |
| 10 Homestead Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,567 (+0%) | 2mo | $328,000 | $209 | 58 |
| 1103 Buck St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,470 (-6%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $177 | 56 |
| 302 W Main St | 0.51mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,426 (-9%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $140 | 52 |
| 204 Sharp St N | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,362 (-13%) | 3mo | $149,000 | $109 | 49 |
| 706 5th St N N | 0.48mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,424 (-9%) | 8mo | $285,000 | $200 | 47 |
| 405 Glenside Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,488 (-5%) | 6mo | $356,000 | $239 | 46 |
| 525 W Main St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,397 (-11%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $197 | 42 |
| 301 Howard St | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,420 (-9%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $183 | 39 |
| 417 E Main St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,782 (+14%) | 8mo | $162,500 | $91 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,651
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $13,466
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08332
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 296
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,945 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$231 /mo · $2,766/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 W Main St Unit B Millville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1384 | $1,500 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 313 W Main St Millville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1265 | $1,650 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $170,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $170,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $170,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $170,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $170,000 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Discover the potential at 620 Dock Street in Millville—a versatile property suitable for both homeowners and investors. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,564 sq ft and is located in an established neighborhood with convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways. SOLD- AS IS Currently tenant is occupied at $1,350 per month, the property provides immediate income, with potential for future rental increase. Tenant pays gas and electric. Property is being sold strictly as-is and may benefit from updates and improvements, offering an opportunity to add value over time. Access may be limited due to tenant occupancy. Seller prefers a quick closing. With continued growth in the Millville area, this property presents a flexible opportunity for personal use or investment. SOLD AS IS.
-
2026-03-14historical 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Discover the potential at 620 Dock Street in Millville—a versatile property suitable for both homeowners and investors. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,564 sq ft and is located in an established neighborhood with convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways. SOLD- AS IS Currently tenant is occupied at $1,350 per month, the property provides immediate income, with potential for future rental increase. Tenant pays gas and electric. Property is being sold strictly as-is and may benefit from updates and improvements, offering an opportunity to add value over time. Access may be limited due to tenant occupancy. Seller prefers a quick closing. With continued growth in the Millville area, this property presents a flexible opportunity for personal use or investment. SOLD AS IS.
-
2026-03-13historical 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Discover the potential at 620 Dock Street in Millville—a versatile property suitable for both homeowners and investors. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,564 sq ft and is located in an established neighborhood with convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways. SOLD- AS IS Currently tenant is occupied at $1,350 per month, the property provides immediate income, with potential for future rental increase. Tenant pays gas and electric. Property is being sold strictly as-is and may benefit from updates and improvements, offering an opportunity to add value over time. Access may be limited due to tenant occupancy. Seller prefers a quick closing. With continued growth in the Millville area, this property presents a flexible opportunity for personal use or investment. SOLD AS IS.
-
2026-03-13$199,000 Active 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Discover the potential at 620 Dock Street in Millville—a versatile property suitable for both homeowners and investors. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,564 sq ft and is located in an established neighborhood with convenient access to local shops, dining, and major roadways. SOLD- AS IS Currently tenant is occupied at $1,350 per month, the property provides immediate income, with potential for future rental increase. Tenant pays gas and electric. Property is being sold strictly as-is and may benefit from updates and improvements, offering an opportunity to add value over time. Access may be limited due to tenant occupancy. Seller prefers a quick closing. With continued growth in the Millville area, this property presents a flexible opportunity for personal use or investment. SOLD AS IS.
-
2003-11-04soldstatus $32,300 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
THIS IS A HUD OWNED PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS IS. FOR BID INFORMATION GO TO WWW. FIRSTPRETON. COM CASE #351-374722. IF NEEDED TERMITE TREATMENT/REPAIRS AT BUYERS EXPENSE. VACANT NO APPOINTMENT MUST USE HUD KEY
-
2003-08-29historical 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
THIS IS A HUD OWNED PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS IS. FOR BID INFORMATION GO TO WWW. FIRSTPRETON. COM CASE #351-374722. IF NEEDED TERMITE TREATMENT/REPAIRS AT BUYERS EXPENSE. VACANT NO APPOINTMENT MUST USE HUD KEY
-
2003-06-26$34,200 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
THIS IS A HUD OWNED PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS IS. FOR BID INFORMATION GO TO WWW. FIRSTPRETON. COM CASE #351-374722. IF NEEDED TERMITE TREATMENT/REPAIRS AT BUYERS EXPENSE. VACANT NO APPOINTMENT MUST USE HUD KEY
-
2000-01-04soldstatus $63,900
-
1995-06-06soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,766 · $231/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,500 · $292/mo
- Expected delta
- +$733/yr (+$61/mo · 26.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,344
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$2,766
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,868
- − Management
- −$1,868
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $1,525
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$366
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,762/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millville School District
- NCES district ID
- 3410320
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,851
- Composite
- 15.23/100
- National rank
- #9338
- State rank
- #447 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Millville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #431
- US rank
- #15561
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Millville, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- City population
- 35,228
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,228
- Household income
- $67,496
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1761.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.45%
- Current HPI
- 274.8011
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.94%
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+466.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-11-04 Sold (MLS) $32,300 SJSRMLS
- 2003-08-29 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2003-06-26 Listed $34,200 SJSRMLS
- 2000-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $63,900 Public Records
- 1995-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,766 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…