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51 W 4th St
A- Composite 80.98
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$62,900

51 W 4th St · Dallas City, IL 62330
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,215 sqft · SingleFamily · 522 Days on market
Built 1899 0.28 ac lot $52/sqft · 20% below area Est $78k · 20% under ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.

Key facts

  • Open porch
  • Hardwood floors
  • Large garden area

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTOPEN PORCHLARGE GARDEN AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#549 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools F.
  • Illini West H S District 307 (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #611 of 919 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $673 of equity ($435 loan paydown + $238 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Hancock County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 522 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $55,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 522 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
15.11%
Cash-on-cash
31.49%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$78,414
List price
$62,900
Delta
-19.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
40 W 5th St 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-1%) 3mo $210,000 $175 81
90 E 5th St 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-1%) 5mo $32,000 $27 78
840 W 4th St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-1%) 9mo $100,000 $83 58
590 W 3rd 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,292 (+6%) 13mo $47,500 $37 53
590 E 1st St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,209 (-0%) 14mo $88,000 $73 52
750 W 3rd St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-11%) 15mo $45,000 $42 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.8%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$28,722
Equity at exit
$19,466
10-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
5.11×
Total profit
$72,457
Equity at exit
$24,380

Cash invested: $17,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62330

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$330
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $607/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$462

Break-even live

Break-even rent $515
Max offer price $62,900
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $498 -5% $480 +0% $462 +5% $444 +10% $427
Rent -10% $375 -5% $419 +0% $462 +5% $506 +10% $549
Rate -1.0pp $494 -0.5pp $478 base $462 +0.5pp $446 +1.0pp $429

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,725
Closing costs
$1,887
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $62,900 Active 522 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $62,900 Active 521 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $62,900 Active 520 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $62,900 Active 519 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $62,900 Active 518 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $62,900 Active 517 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $62,900 Active 515 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on marketlisting id $62,900 Active 514 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $62,900 Active 511 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $62,900 Active 510 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,900 Active 509 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,900 Active 508 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $62,900 Active 507 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $62,900 Active 505 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,900 Active 504 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $62,900 Active 503 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,900 Active 502 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $62,900 Active 501 DOM
  19. 2025-11-03
    price $62,900 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.

  20. 2025-11-03
    price $62,900 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.

  21. 2025-07-08
    price $67,900 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.

  22. 2025-07-08
    price $67,900 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.

  23. 2025-01-14
    listed $69,900 Active 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.

  24. 2025-01-14
    listed $69,900 Active 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$607 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,017 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$410/yr (+$34/mo · 67.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,197
− Mortgage interest
−$3,523
− Property taxes
−$607
− Insurance
−$314
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$1,830
Taxable income
$4,810
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,155
After-tax cash flow
$4,391/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Illini West H S District 307
NCES district ID
1701384
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$47,745
Composite
24.88/100
National rank
#12997
State rank
#611 of 919 in IL

Livability — Dallas City

Score
66/100
State rank
#549
US rank
#11621

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas City, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,548

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,042 people
By 2030
16,056 · -5.8%
By 2040
13,912 · -18.4%
By 2050
11,879 · -30.3%
By 2075
8,302 · -51.3%
By 2100
5,846 · -65.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.1% · R 74.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-39.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -50.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.9 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+19.0 2008: R+10.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.38%
Current HPI
133.3962
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $62,900 Quincy AOR
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $62,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-08 Price Changed $67,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-08 Price Changed $67,900 Quincy AOR
  • 2025-01-14 Listed $69,900 Quincy AOR
  • 2025-01-14 Listed $69,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $607 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…