51 W 4th St · Dallas City, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$62,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.
Key facts
- Open porch
- Hardwood floors
- Large garden area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#549 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools F.
- Illini West H S District 307 (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #611 of 919 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $673 of equity ($435 loan paydown + $238 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
- Hancock County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 522 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 522 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.49%
- DSCR
- 2.40
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,414
- List price
- $62,900
- Delta
- -19.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 W 5th St | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-1%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $175 | 81 |
| 90 E 5th St | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-1%) | 5mo | $32,000 | $27 | 78 |
| 840 W 4th St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-1%) | 9mo | $100,000 | $83 | 58 |
| 590 W 3rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,292 (+6%) | 13mo | $47,500 | $37 | 53 |
| 590 E 1st St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (-0%) | 14mo | $88,000 | $73 | 52 |
| 750 W 3rd St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-11%) | 15mo | $45,000 | $42 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $28,722
- Equity at exit
- $19,466
- IRR
- 35.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.11×
- Total profit
- $72,457
- Equity at exit
- $24,380
Cash invested: $17,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62330
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$330
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $607/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $462
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $498 | -5% $480 | +0% $462 | +5% $444 | +10% $427 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $375 | -5% $419 | +0% $462 | +5% $506 | +10% $549 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $494 | -0.5pp $478 | base $462 | +0.5pp $446 | +1.0pp $429 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,725
- Closing costs
- $1,887
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $62,900 Active 522 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $62,900 Active 521 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $62,900 Active 520 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $62,900 Active 519 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $62,900 Active 518 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $62,900 Active 517 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $62,900 Active 515 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $62,900 Active 514 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $62,900 Active 511 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $62,900 Active 510 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $62,900 Active 509 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $62,900 Active 508 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $62,900 Active 507 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $62,900 Active 505 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $62,900 Active 504 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $62,900 Active 503 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $62,900 Active 502 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $62,900 Active 501 DOM
-
2025-11-03price $62,900 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.
-
2025-11-03price $62,900 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.
-
2025-07-08price $67,900 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (576 chars)
Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.
-
2025-07-08price $67,900 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (576 chars)
Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.
-
2025-01-14$69,900 Active 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.
-
2025-01-14$69,900 Active 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Enjoy the character and charm of this one story home in Dallas City! This home offers a nice sized living room, dining room, kitchen, full bath, and 3 bedrooms. The home has NG/FA heat, CA, and some beautiful hardwood floors. There is a full/unfinished basement where the laundry area can also be found. There is an open porch across the front of the home along with a second open porch on the rear of the home. The lot dimensions are 100 x 120 and include a large garden area. There is a 24 x 24 detached garage. This property will be selling in "AS IS" condition.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $607 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,017 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$410/yr (+$34/mo · 67.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,197
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,523
- − Property taxes
- −$607
- − Insurance
- −$314
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$1,830
- Taxable income
- $4,810
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,155
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,391/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Illini West H S District 307
- NCES district ID
- 1701384
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,745
- Composite
- 24.88/100
- National rank
- #12997
- State rank
- #611 of 919 in IL
Livability — Dallas City
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #549
- US rank
- #11621
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas City, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,548
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,042 people
- By 2030
- 16,056 · -5.8%
- By 2040
- 13,912 · -18.4%
- By 2050
- 11,879 · -30.3%
- By 2075
- 8,302 · -51.3%
- By 2100
- 5,846 · -65.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.1% · R 74.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -50.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.9 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+19.0 2008: R+10.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.38%
- Current HPI
- 133.3962
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $62,900 Quincy AOR
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $62,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $67,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $67,900 Quincy AOR
- 2025-01-14 Listed $69,900 Quincy AOR
- 2025-01-14 Listed $69,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-3.4%/yrLatest (2024): $607 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…