🏷️ Likely Rental
4871 N Sherman Blvd · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This single family home is located in a sought after area for investors and home owners alike. The potential for resale is high, and with some upgrades, investors will make a profit on the sale of this home. The house is currently tenant occupied if you prefer to keep the property and gain additional cash flow each month. This is a great real estate opportunity, awaiting the right buyer.
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1947
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.10%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,433
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -25.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4941 N Sherman Blvd | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 973 (0%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $113 | 96 |
| 3908 W Hampton Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 968 (-0%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $93 | 85 |
| 4235 W Fairmount Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,044 (+7%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $144 | 77 |
| 4752 N 44th St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 913 (-6%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $175 | 76 |
| 3733 W Fairmount Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+3%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $100 | 72 |
| 4430 W Glendale Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 908 (-7%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $198 | 71 |
| 4676 N 46th St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,066 (+10%) | 0mo | $172,500 | $162 | 69 |
| 5003 N 51st Blvd | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 934 (-4%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $118 | 69 |
| 5267 N 48th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 932 (-4%) | 1mo | $183,000 | $196 | 65 |
| 4618 W Congress St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+4%) | 1mo | $81,500 | $81 | 59 |
| 4415 N 36th St | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 944 (-3%) | 2mo | $102,500 | $109 | 50 |
| 4868 N 52nd St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-13%) | 2mo | $145,605 | $171 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $3,237
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $55,403
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53209
- Rents YoY
- 8.6%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$319 /mo · $3,826/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $208
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4702 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,850 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4703 N 45th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,695 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4727 N 46th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,700 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4852 N 48th St Unit 4852 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $995 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 5050 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4334 W Eggert Pl Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1077 | $1,695 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4340 W Eggert Pl Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,695 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 5165-5167 N 45th St Unit 5165 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4610 W Eggert Pl #4612 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,095 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4661 N 38th St Unit 4661 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $845 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4479A N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4572 N 38th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4651 N 36th St #4 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $945 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4640 N 51st Blvd Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,275 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5237 N 34th St Unit 5237 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,350 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5435 N 40th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5032 N 32nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,750 | $1.61 | 12d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5696 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,495 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4355 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $975 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3890 N Sherman Blvd Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 12d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5688 N 56th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,445 | $1.70 | 12d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6518 W Hampton Ave Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3871-3873 N 36th St Unit 3871 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $950 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4227 N 26th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5657 N 60th St #5659 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $995 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $110,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $119,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $125,000 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
This single family home is located in a sought after area for investors and home owners alike. The potential for resale is high, and with some upgrades, investors will make a profit on the sale of this home. The house is currently tenant occupied if you prefer to keep the property and gain additional cash flow each month. This is a great real estate opportunity, awaiting the right buyer.
-
2026-04-17$136,000 Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
This single family home is located in a sought after area for investors and home owners alike. The potential for resale is high, and with some upgrades, investors will make a profit on the sale of this home. The house is currently tenant occupied if you prefer to keep the property and gain additional cash flow each month. This is a great real estate opportunity, awaiting the right buyer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,826 · $319/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,826 · $319/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,459
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$3,826
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,397
- − Management
- −$1,397
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $928
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$223
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,272/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,170
- Household income
- $48,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3390.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.98%
- Current HPI
- 172.4275
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.61%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-8.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $125,000 METROMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $136,000 METROMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2024): $3,826 · -33.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…