9321 Carbon Plant Rd · Bastrop, LA 71220

$69,950

2 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,823 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market

Built 1960 1.12 ac lot $25/sqft · 64% below area ↓ 7% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +3.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on 1.12 acres in Bastrop, offering plenty of room both inside and out. This property features 2,823 heated square feet, large bedrooms, and a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinet storage, making it ideal for those needing extra space. The home also includes an enclosed sunroom perfect for additional living, entertaining, or relaxing year-round. Outside, you'll find a large storage building and ample yard space with room for outdoor activities, equipment, or future improvements. The property has lots of character and presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to add personal touches while enjoying acreage and generous square footage. Priced to sell, this home offers excellent value for the size, land, and features.

Key facts

• Enclosed sunroom
• Ample yard space
• 1.12 acre lot

Tags

• ENCLOSED SUNROOM
• LARGE STORAGE BUILDING
• AMPLE YARD SPACE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
• Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 50/100 on livability (#425 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
• Morehouse Parish (town): math 10% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #83 of 98 in LA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Morehouse Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Morehouse County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $65,753 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.47% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.66%
• DSCR: 1.92
• GRM: 5.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $194,592
• List price: $69,950
• Delta: -64.05%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.65×
• Total profit: $12,805
• Equity at exit: $13,253

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.7%
• Equity multiple: 3.10×
• Total profit: $41,200
• Equity at exit: $11,011

Cash invested: $19,586 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71220

• Home prices YoY: -1.2%
• Active inventory: 92
• Price-to-rent: 5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,028 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax from tax record: −$79 /mo · $946/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$216
• Net cashflow: $337

Break-even live

Break-even rent $601

Max offer price $69,950

Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $377	-5% $357	+0% $337	+5% $317	+10% $298
Rent	-10% $256	-5% $297	+0% $337	+5% $378	+10% $418
Rate	-1.0pp $372	-0.5pp $355	base $337	+0.5pp $319	+1.0pp $301

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,488
• Closing costs: $2,098
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $69,950 Active 74 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $69,950 Active 73 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $69,950 Active 72 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $69,950 Active 71 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $69,950 Active 70 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $69,950 Active 68 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $69,950 Active 67 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $69,950 Active 65 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $69,950 Active 64 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,950 Active 63 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,950 Active 62 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,950 Active 59 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,950 Active 58 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,950 Active 57 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,950 Active 56 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,950 Active 55 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,950 Active 54 DOM
18. 2026-05-06
    price $69,950 771-char remark

    Show marketing remark (771 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on 1.12 acres in Bastrop, offering plenty of room both inside and out. This property features 2,823 heated square feet, large bedrooms, and a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinet storage, making it ideal for those needing extra space. The home also includes an enclosed sunroom perfect for additional living, entertaining, or relaxing year-round. Outside, you'll find a large storage building and ample yard space with room for outdoor activities, equipment, or future improvements. The property has lots of character and presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to add personal touches while enjoying acreage and generous square footage. Priced to sell, this home offers excellent value for the size, land, and features.

19. 2026-04-06
    listed $74,950 Active 771-char remark

    Show marketing remark (771 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on 1.12 acres in Bastrop, offering plenty of room both inside and out. This property features 2,823 heated square feet, large bedrooms, and a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinet storage, making it ideal for those needing extra space. The home also includes an enclosed sunroom perfect for additional living, entertaining, or relaxing year-round. Outside, you'll find a large storage building and ample yard space with room for outdoor activities, equipment, or future improvements. The property has lots of character and presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to add personal touches while enjoying acreage and generous square footage. Priced to sell, this home offers excellent value for the size, land, and features.

20. 2005-08-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $946 · $79/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $946 · $79/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,334
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,918
• − Property taxes: −$946
• − Insurance: −$350
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$987
• − Management: −$987
• − Depreciation: −$2,035
• Taxable income: $3,112
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$747
• After-tax cash flow: $3,300/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Morehouse Parish
• NCES district ID: 2201110
• Math proficiency: 10% ▼ -29.00%
• Reading proficiency: 19% ▼ -29.00%
• Median HH income: $30,482
• Composite: 11.46/100
• National rank: #9704
• State rank: #83 of 98 in LA

Livability — Bastrop

• Score: 50/100
• State rank: #425
• US rank: #25547

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 20,426

Population outlook (Morehouse County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 23,631 people
• By 2030: 22,114 · -6.4%
• By 2040: 19,203 · -18.7%
• By 2050: 16,698 · -29.3%
• By 2075: 11,998 · -49.2%
• By 2100: 8,622 · -63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (51%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 51% White 44% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Morehouse

• 2024 margin: R (+19.4) · D 39.7% · R 59.0% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -11.1pp · 2024: -19.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+11.4 2012: R+5.6 2008: R+11.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -2.10%
• Current HPI: 171.3272
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

-6.7% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $69,950 NELABOR
• 2026-04-06 Listed $74,950 NELABOR
• 2005-08-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $946 · +15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.