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29 Railroad Ave Duplex
D+ Composite 47.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

29 Railroad Ave · Frewsburg, NY 14738
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,072 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1930 0.86 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Don't miss this versatile income-producing property featuring a 2-unit rental plus a spacious 40' x 60' commercial building creates endless possibilities! The residential units provide steady income with separate utilities, comfortable layouts, and strong tenant appeal. The commercial space is ideal for a workshop, storage business, contractor space, auto shop, or future development venture. Situated on a good size lot with ample parking and easy access, this property is perfect for investors, business owners, or owner occupants looking to offset expenses with rental income. Rare combination of residential cash flow and large-scale commercial space in one package!!

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Comfortable layouts
  • 2 unit rental

Tags

2 UNIT RENTAL40 X 60 COMMERCIAL BUILDINGSEPARATE UTILITIESCOMFORTABLE LAYOUTSSTRONG TENANT APPEALWORKSHOP STORAGE BUSINESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $134 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $67/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#553 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B; Watch: schools C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Frewsburg Central School District (rural): math 62% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #253 of 590 in NY (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $112k; list at $225k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $218,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.55%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-27,811
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-12,765
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14738

Home prices YoY
-12.6%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
16.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$409 /mo · $4,912/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$483
Net cashflow
$134

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,130
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $261 -5% $198 +0% $134 +5% $70 +10% $7
Rent -10% $-48 -5% $43 +0% $134 +5% $225 +10% $316
Rate -1.0pp $247 -0.5pp $191 base $134 +0.5pp $76 +1.0pp $16

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,300

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-19
    listed $225,000 Active
  3. 2023-03-21
    soldstatus $112,500
  4. 1998-05-08
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,912 · $409/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,912 · $409/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,600
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$4,912
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,208
− Management
−$2,208
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$2,002
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$480
After-tax cash flow
$2,089/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frewsburg Central School District
NCES district ID
3611610
Math proficiency
62% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$50,868
Composite
50.36/100
National rank
#1876
State rank
#253 of 590 in NY

Livability — Frewsburg

Score
68/100
State rank
#553
US rank
#9948

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing B Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Frewsburg, NY
Population (ZIP)
3,550

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 4% Scottish 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.94%
Current HPI
327.079
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-05 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $225,000 UNYREIS
  • 2023-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $112,500 Public Records
  • 1998-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,912 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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