118 Apache Rd · Harrellsville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WATER VIEW. Public boat accessible, A great year-round or recreational home. Chowan river
Key facts
- Large yard
- Storage barn
- River views
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Total 1 parking space; Gravel, aggregate and paved parking surfaces
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Public water; Utilities: See remarks
- Home design: Manufactured home; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Block permanent foundation; Built with 'see remarks' construction details
- Exterior features: Covered, screened porch; Partial fencing; Barn(s) on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Washer hookup in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric forced air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (5.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#122 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Hertford County Schools (town): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #171 of 178 in NC (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bearfield Primary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #975 of 1,410 statewide, top 71%, 560 students, 100% FRL); Hertford County Middle (math 6% / reading 26%, grade F, #455 of 475 statewide, top 96%, 536 students, 99% FRL); Hertford County High (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #518 of 535 statewide, top 97%, 573 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Hertford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Hertford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $95k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.67%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $20,815
- Equity at exit
- $42,716
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $60,856
- Equity at exit
- $65,831
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27942
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $897 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $279/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$188
- Net cashflow
- $148
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2025-11-05$95,000 Active
-
2025-06-13soldstatus $60,000
-
2025-06-12soldstatus $60,000 Closed 89-char remark
Show marketing remark (89 chars)
WATER VIEW. Public boat accessible, A great year-round or recreational home. Chowan river
-
2025-06-02status Pending 89-char remark
Show marketing remark (89 chars)
WATER VIEW. Public boat accessible, A great year-round or recreational home. Chowan river
-
2025-05-23$74,900 Active 89-char remark
Show marketing remark (89 chars)
WATER VIEW. Public boat accessible, A great year-round or recreational home. Chowan river
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $279 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $779 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$500/yr (+$42/mo · 179.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,767
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$279
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$861
- − Management
- −$861
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $206
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$49
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,725/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hertford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702160
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,467
- Composite
- 16.29/100
- National rank
- #9213
- State rank
- #171 of 178 in NC
Livability — Harrellsville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #7395
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 645
Population outlook (Hertford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,401 people
- By 2030
- 22,708 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 21,227 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 19,942 · -14.8%
- By 2075
- 17,844 · -23.7%
- By 2100
- 15,148 · -35.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 33% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Hertford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.8) · D 63.0% · R 36.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.8pp toward R · 2008: 41.5pp · 2024: 26.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.8 2020: D+34.0 2016: D+37.7 2012: D+44.3 2008: D+41.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+26.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-05 Listed $95,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2025-06-12 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-06-02 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2025-05-23 Listed $74,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $279 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…