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118 Apache Rd
C Composite 55.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$95,000

118 Apache Rd · Harrellsville, NC 27942
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Other · 225 Days on market
Built 1994 0.36 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WATER VIEW. Public boat accessible, A great year-round or recreational home. Chowan river

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Storage barn
  • River views

Tags

RIVER VIEWSLARGE SCREENED PORCHLARGE YARDSTORAGE BARN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Total 1 parking space; Gravel, aggregate and paved parking surfaces
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Public water; Utilities: See remarks
  • Home design: Manufactured home; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Block permanent foundation; Built with 'see remarks' construction details
  • Exterior features: Covered, screened porch; Partial fencing; Barn(s) on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Washer hookup in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric forced air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (5.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#122 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Hertford County Schools (town): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #171 of 178 in NC (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bearfield Primary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #975 of 1,410 statewide, top 71%, 560 students, 100% FRL); Hertford County Middle (math 6% / reading 26%, grade F, #455 of 475 statewide, top 96%, 536 students, 99% FRL); Hertford County High (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #518 of 535 statewide, top 97%, 573 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Hertford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hertford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $95k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
8.16%
Cash-on-cash
6.67%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$20,815
Equity at exit
$42,716
10-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$60,856
Equity at exit
$65,831

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27942

Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$897 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $279/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$188
Net cashflow
$148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $710
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 225 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 224 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 223 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 222 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 220 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 219 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 216 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 215 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 214 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 213 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 210 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 209 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 208 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 207 DOM
  15. 2025-11-05
    listed $95,000 Active
  16. 2025-06-13
    soldstatus $60,000
  17. 2025-06-12
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed 89-char remark
    Show marketing remark (89 chars)

    WATER VIEW. Public boat accessible, A great year-round or recreational home. Chowan river

  18. 2025-06-02
    status Pending 89-char remark
    Show marketing remark (89 chars)

    WATER VIEW. Public boat accessible, A great year-round or recreational home. Chowan river

  19. 2025-05-23
    listed $74,900 Active 89-char remark
    Show marketing remark (89 chars)

    WATER VIEW. Public boat accessible, A great year-round or recreational home. Chowan river

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$279 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$779 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$500/yr (+$42/mo · 179.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,767
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$279
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$861
− Management
−$861
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$206
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$49
After-tax cash flow
$1,725/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hertford County Schools
NCES district ID
3702160
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$33,467
Composite
16.29/100
National rank
#9213
State rank
#171 of 178 in NC

Livability — Harrellsville

Score
70/100
State rank
#122
US rank
#7395

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
645

Population outlook (Hertford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,401 people
By 2030
22,708 · -3.0%
By 2040
21,227 · -9.3%
By 2050
19,942 · -14.8%
By 2075
17,844 · -23.7%
By 2100
15,148 · -35.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 33% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Hertford

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.8) · D 63.0% · R 36.3%
2008→2024 swing
-14.8pp toward R · 2008: 41.5pp · 2024: 26.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.8 2020: D+34.0 2016: D+37.7 2012: D+44.3 2008: D+41.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+26.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $95,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2025-06-12 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-02 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2025-05-23 Listed $74,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $279 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…