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192 Aa Rogers Rd
C+ Composite 62.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

192 Aa Rogers Rd · Capon Bridge, WV 26704
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 27 Days on market
Built 1981 0.83 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Location, location, location! Just 0.2 miles off Route 50, this well-maintained single-wide home offers comfort, updates, and convenience all in one package. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, the split floor plan places the primary suite on the opposite end of the home for added privacy, complete with an ensuite bath. Situated on a 0.83-acre mostly level lot, the property provides an ideal setting for outdoor enjoyment, entertaining, or simply relaxing in a peaceful setting. Recent updates include a refreshed kitchen with new cabinetry and appliances, new carpet throughout, upgraded insulation in the crawl space, and an HVAC system that is less than two years old. Conveniently loca

Key facts

  • 0.83 acre lot
  • Built 1981
  • Listed 26 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel driveway; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Well water; On-site septic; Fiber optic internet
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single wide (14 ft x 70 ft)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Porch(es); Shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level; 2 full bathrooms total
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Combination kitchen and dining area; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.2% in Capon Bridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#81 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hampshire County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #30 of 55 in WV (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Hampshire County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
  • Hampshire County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $73k; list at $115k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $113,275 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
9.01%
Cash-on-cash
9.71%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$19,405
Equity at exit
$40,018
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$60,520
Equity at exit
$53,772

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26704

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,184 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $286/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $854
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $326 -5% $293 +0% $261 +5% $228 +10% $195
Rent -10% $167 -5% $214 +0% $261 +5% $307 +10% $354
Rate -1.0pp $318 -0.5pp $290 base $261 +0.5pp $231 +1.0pp $200

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
  17. 2026-05-23
    status Active
  18. 2026-05-19
    listed $115,000 Active
  19. 2026-05-19
    historical
  20. 2025-02-10
    soldstatus $73,000
  21. 1996-12-17
    soldstatus $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$286 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$678 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$393/yr (+$33/mo · 137.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,208
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$286
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,137
− Management
−$1,137
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,287
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$309
After-tax cash flow
$2,818/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hampshire County Schools
NCES district ID
5400420
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$32,170
Composite
25.69/100
National rank
#7392
State rank
#30 of 55 in WV

Livability — Capon Bridge

Score
68/100
State rank
#81
US rank
#9542

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,403

Population outlook (Hampshire County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,820 people
By 2030
20,690 · -5.2%
By 2040
18,089 · -17.1%
By 2050
15,413 · -29.4%
By 2075
10,421 · -52.2%
By 2100
6,842 · -68.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Slovak 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hampshire

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.6) · D 18.0% · R 80.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.8pp toward R · 2008: -26.8pp · 2024: -62.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.6 2020: R+60.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+26.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.13%
Current HPI
188.2808
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+238.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 1996-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $286 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…