369-1/2 S 2nd St · Steelton, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Updated Semi-Detached in Steelton Borough. Home Boasts Bright Open Floor Plan. Updated Kitchen w/ Gas Range. Fresh Paint, Vinyl Plank Flooring in Living Room and Dining Room. New Vinyl and New Carpet Throughout. 4 Large Bedrooms. Other Updates Include Roof, Windows & Mechanicals. Private Rear Yard with Bonus Lot w/ 2+ Off Street Parking Spots. Make This Your Next Home Today!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Off street parking
- Private rear yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 6.9% in Steelton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#971 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Steelton-Highspire SD (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #538 of 539 in PA (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Steelton-Highspire El Sch (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,518 statewide, top 98%, 738 students, 100% FRL); Steelton-Highspire Hs (math 2% / reading 6%, grade F, #434 of 437 statewide, top 99%, 599 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.59%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $126,126
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 337 S 3rd St | 0.08mi | 4/1.0 | 1,353 (+5%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $122 | 85 |
| 644 S 2nd St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,290 (+0%) | 1mo | $152,000 | $118 | 78 |
| 535 Saint Marys Dr | 0.24mi | 3/— (-1) | 1,320 (+3%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $98 | 78 |
| 544 Spruce St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (-2%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $95 | 74 |
| 533 Saint Marys Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,369 (+6%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $102 | 72 |
| 713 S Front St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+1%) | 7mo | $113,500 | $88 | 70 |
| 335 Poplar St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,347 (+5%) | 1mo | $110,500 | $82 | 64 |
| 337 Swatara St | 0.34mi | 4/1.0 | 1,425 (+11%) | 3mo | $171,000 | $120 | 64 |
| 331 Swatara St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,206 (-6%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $62 | 60 |
| 23 S 2nd St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,418 (+10%) | 7mo | $99,000 | $70 | 52 |
| 617 Monroe St | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 | 1,099 (-15%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $168 | 46 |
| 144 N 2nd St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 | 1,455 (+13%) | 5mo | $98,000 | $67 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $4,608
- Equity at exit
- $17,139
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $33,992
- Equity at exit
- $9,939
Cash invested: $32,186 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17113
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Active inventory
- 68
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,467 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $364
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $444 | -5% $404 | +0% $364 | +5% $325 | +10% $285 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $249 | -5% $307 | +0% $364 | +5% $422 | +10% $480 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $422 | -0.5pp $394 | base $364 | +0.5pp $335 | +1.0pp $304 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,738
- Closing costs
- $3,448
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Chestnut St Steelton, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 640 S 2nd St Steelton, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1290 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 322 Pine St Unit 2 Steelton, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 316 N 2nd St Steelton, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1524 | $1,600 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 314 Lincoln St Steelton, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1264 | $1,595 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 325 Lincoln St Steelton, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 508 N 2nd St Steelton, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 465 Sunday Dr Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $1,895 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-03-04price $114,950
-
2026-02-23price $120,950
-
2026-02-23status Active
-
2026-02-09status Pending
-
2026-01-29status Active
-
2026-01-29status Pending
-
2026-01-16$130,950 Active
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2025-12-04$129,950 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,603
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,439
- − Property taxes
- −$1,724
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,408
- − Management
- −$1,408
- − Depreciation
- −$3,344
- Taxable income
- $2,704
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$649
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,724/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Steelton-Highspire SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222800
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,685
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10040
- State rank
- #538 of 539 in PA
Livability — Steelton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #971
- US rank
- #10606
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Steelton, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 19,401
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,724
- Household income
- $68,244
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 338.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 22% Two or more races 19% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 11% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.73%
- Current HPI
- 281.6906
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-11.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $114,950 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $120,950 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-23 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-29 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-29 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $130,950 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-04 Listed $129,950 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…