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626 Boston Ave
C Composite 56.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.7/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,000

626 Boston Ave · Waterloo, IA 50703
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,382 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1953 6,500 sqft lot Est $77k · 9% over ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 626 Boston Ave — a well-kept, move-in ready home that offers plenty of space and potential at a great value. The main level features two bedrooms, a full bath, and hardwood floors throughout the living, dining, and bedroom areas. The kitchen includes stainless-steel appliances with original cabinetry and charm, offering both function and character. Downstairs, the partially finished lower level provides flexible space for a second living area, hobby room, or guest setup, along with a laundry area and additional storage. Outside, the property includes off-street parking and a manageable yard that’s easy to maintain. Conveniently located near local amenities, this home

Key facts

  • Flexible space
  • Manageable yard
  • Original cabinetry

Tags

STAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCESORIGINAL CABINETRYPARTIALLY FINISHED LOWER LEVELFLEXIBLE SPACEOFF-STREET PARKINGMANAGEABLE YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($965 rent vs $84k).
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Cunningham School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #601 of 616 statewide, top 98%, 376 students, 90% FRL); George Washington Carver Academy (math 36% / reading 43%, grade F, #240 of 246 statewide, top 98%, 442 students, 91% FRL); East High School (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #317 of 336 statewide, top 94%, 1,022 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 58% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Waterloo Community School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $84,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.23%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$77,392
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
236 Boston Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,403 (+2%) 11mo $75,000 $53 67
2811 E 4th St St 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,189 (-14%) 3mo $82,000 $69 65
2846 E 4th St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,259 (-9%) 11mo $72,500 $58 63
940 Cutler St 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (-6%) 12mo $87,500 $67 63
1326 Barclay St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,375 (-0%) 10mo $75,000 $55 59
1526 Logan Avenue Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,494 (+8%) 13mo $80,000 $54 58
609 Keystone St. St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,540 (+11%) 14mo $149,900 $97 50
450 Cutler St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,512 (+9%) 14mo $85,000 $56 44
126 Hope Avenue Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,185 (-14%) 6mo $56,000 $47 42
401 Charles St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,276 (-8%) 23mo $55,500 $43 37
400 Charles St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,183 (-14%) 9mo $90,000 $76 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$378
Equity at exit
$12,525
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$30,011
Equity at exit
$7,263

Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50703

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$965 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$441
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,506/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$161

Break-even live

Break-even rent $761
Max offer price $84,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $209 -5% $185 +0% $161 +5% $137 +10% $114
Rent -10% $85 -5% $123 +0% $161 +5% $199 +10% $237
Rate -1.0pp $204 -0.5pp $183 base $161 +0.5pp $139 +1.0pp $117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,000
Closing costs
$2,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
739 Sherman Ave Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 875 $925 $1.06 44d 1 0.14mi
405 W Donald St Waterloo, IA 2.0–3.0 1.0 880 $900 $1.02 21d 4 0.52mi
440 Cutler St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.5 1566 $1,200 $0.77 21d 1 0.54mi
306 Charles St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 916 $925 $1.01 44d 1 0.57mi
401 Charles St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1276 $995 $0.78 44d 1 0.58mi
1125 Ackermant St Waterloo, IA 3.0 2.0 1202 $1,100 $0.92 21d 1 0.73mi
203 Reed St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.5 1492 $1,200 $0.80 21d 1 0.82mi
214 Edwards St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1150 $825 $0.72 21d 1 1.05mi
919 Oneida St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1144 $930 $0.81 44d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-18
    listed $84,000 Active
  3. 2026-04-06
    price $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,506 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,506 · $126/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,578
− Mortgage interest
−$4,705
− Property taxes
−$1,506
− Insurance
−$420
− Repairs & maintenance
−$926
− Management
−$926
− Depreciation
−$2,444
Taxable income
$651
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$156
After-tax cash flow
$1,779/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterloo Community School District
NCES district ID
1930480
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$42,545
Composite
43.72/100
National rank
#2950
State rank
#276 of 289 in IA

Livability — Waterloo

Score
81/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterloo, IA
County
Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
City population
69,066
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
Population (ZIP)
17,952
Household income
$50,060
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
871.0

Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
139,716 people
By 2030
142,853 · +2.2%
By 2040
147,843 · +5.8%
By 2050
153,247 · +9.7%
By 2075
167,977 · +20.2%
By 2100
177,320 · +26.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -117.18%
Current HPI
132.9478
Rent YoY
▲ 6.67%
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Pending NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $84,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $90,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,506 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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