23210 Agee Cir · Waterloo, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Quality unmatched in this price range, in this gorgeous Newly completed construction Townhome with NO HOA. Granite counters throughout. Long lasting Upgraded pre-finished engineered siding. Pella Windows and doors throughout. LVT Flooring. Fireplace. Oversized 2-car garage. Lawn sprinkler system. Enjoy low tax mill levy in Waterloo. 23212 Agee (MLS # 22102492) available for sale as well.
Key facts
- Large center island
- Attached garage
- Chic kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Townhouse (attached); Two levels; Built in 2020
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Vinyl fencing; Lot up to 1/4 acre (approximately 0.151 acres)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on 2nd floor; Additional bedrooms on 2nd floor
- Bathrooms: Total of 3 bathrooms (includes full, three-quarter, and half baths); At least one bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (11.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $265k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#141 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Douglas County West Community Schools (rural): math 49% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #69 of 111 in NE (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Douglas Co West Elementary Sch (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #266 of 502 statewide, top 56%, 513 students, 30% FRL); Douglas Co West Middle School (math 51% / reading 45%, grade C-, #58 of 128 statewide, top 45%, 240 students, 30% FRL); Douglas Co West High School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #184 of 261 statewide, top 76%, 300 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $260k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.42%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $387,622
- List price
- $299,000
- Delta
- -22.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-42,153
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-28,608
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68069
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$302 /mo · $3,624/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$556
- Net cashflow
- $99
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $268 | -5% $184 | +0% $99 | +5% $14 | +10% $-70 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-110 | -5% $-6 | +0% $99 | +5% $204 | +10% $308 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $250 | -0.5pp $175 | base $99 | +0.5pp $21 | +1.0pp $-57 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23817 Harvest Heights Cir Waterloo, NE | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2050 | $2,650 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 515-char remark
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 498-char remark
-
2026-06-05status $299,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $299,000 Pending 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-28$330,000 New 468-char remark
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2026-04-28historical
-
2026-03-27price $350,000
-
2026-03-12price $375,000
-
2026-03-06$390,000 New
-
2021-05-03soldstatus $259,900 Sold
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Quality unmatched in this price range, in this gorgeous Newly completed construction Townhome with NO HOA. Granite counters throughout. Long lasting Upgraded pre-finished engineered siding. Pella Windows and doors throughout. LVT Flooring. Fireplace. Oversized 2-car garage. Lawn sprinkler system. Enjoy low tax mill levy in Waterloo. 23212 Agee (MLS # 22102492) available for sale as well.
-
2021-03-01status Pending
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Quality unmatched in this price range, in this gorgeous Newly completed construction Townhome with NO HOA. Granite counters throughout. Long lasting Upgraded pre-finished engineered siding. Pella Windows and doors throughout. LVT Flooring. Fireplace. Oversized 2-car garage. Lawn sprinkler system. Enjoy low tax mill levy in Waterloo. 23212 Agee (MLS # 22102492) available for sale as well.
-
2021-02-19$259,900 Active - New
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Quality unmatched in this price range, in this gorgeous Newly completed construction Townhome with NO HOA. Granite counters throughout. Long lasting Upgraded pre-finished engineered siding. Pella Windows and doors throughout. LVT Flooring. Fireplace. Oversized 2-car garage. Lawn sprinkler system. Enjoy low tax mill levy in Waterloo. 23212 Agee (MLS # 22102492) available for sale as well.
-
2020-07-07soldstatus $39,000
-
2014-02-19soldstatus $44,000
-
2013-12-31soldstatus $110,000
-
2010-12-07historical
-
2010-07-09$34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,624 · $302/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,173 · $431/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,549/yr (+$129/mo · 42.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$3,624
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,544
- − Management
- −$2,544
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$3,854
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$925
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,112/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County West Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100165
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,937
- Composite
- 41.37/100
- National rank
- #3490
- State rank
- #69 of 111 in NE
Livability — Waterloo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #5143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterloo, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,100
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 9% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.89%
- Current HPI
- 272.1216
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+779.4% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Relisted — GPRMLS
- 2026-06-04 Relisted — GPRMLS
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $299,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $350,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-06-04 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-06-03 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $299,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $330,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $350,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $375,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $390,000 GPRMLS
- 2021-05-03 Sold (MLS) $259,900 GPRMLS
- 2021-03-01 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2021-02-19 Listed $259,900 GPRMLS
- 2020-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
- 2014-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 2013-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2010-12-07 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2010-07-09 Listed $34,000 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+30.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,624 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…