2702 12th Pl · Phenix City, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Extremely well Maintained 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath home. This home features a large open living room with double ceiling fans and wood flooring throughout the home. The kitchen is spacious with beautiful wood cabinets, Eat-in/dining area, & separate laundry room. The master Bedroom has a very large Master Bathroom with tons of space. The backyard features a nice workshop and pole barn.
Key facts
- Custom cabinets
- New vent hood
- Brand new kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No community features listed
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; Attached and detached parking options; 2-car carport; Driveway; RV access/parking; Additional storage
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available; Water available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Built with frame and wood siding; Other construction materials; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Private yard; Storage; Covered patio; Back yard fencing; Workshop (other structure); Cleared, level to sloped lot; Asphalt road frontage; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Range hood
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Beamed ceilings; High ceilings; Wood window frames
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (9.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.0% in Phenix City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#297 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Phenix City (suburban): math 22% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #59 of 129 in AL (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $160k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.28%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $66,080
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2106 16th st St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 1,197 (+7%) | 7mo | $25,000 | $21 | 51 |
| 1304 Ingersoll Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,285 (+15%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $167 | 35 |
| 2100 17th Pl | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 962 (-14%) | 19mo | $56,500 | $59 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $31,745
- Equity at exit
- $71,898
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $95,337
- Equity at exit
- $110,803
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36868
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,452 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $542/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1346 Ingersoll Dr Phenix City, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2702 N Railroad St Phenix City, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,200 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 414 21st Ave Phenix City, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-15status $159,900 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$159,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $542 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $656 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$114/yr (+$9/mo · 21.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,430
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$542
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,394
- − Management
- −$1,394
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$309
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$74
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phenix City
- NCES district ID
- 0102700
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,228
- Composite
- 27.29/100
- National rank
- #7001
- State rank
- #59 of 129 in AL
Livability — Phenix City
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #19037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phenix City, AL
Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,137 people
- By 2030
- 75,826 · +8.1%
- By 2040
- 87,858 · +25.3%
- By 2050
- 99,721 · +42.2%
- By 2075
- 128,009 · +82.5%
- By 2100
- 149,251 · +112.8%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+189.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $159,900 EABOR
- 2021-05-21 Sold (MLS) $100,000 EABOR
- 2021-05-21 Sold (MLS) $100,000 CBOR
- 2021-05-21 Sold (MLS) $100,000 EABOR
- 2021-04-02 Listed $89,900 EABOR
- 2021-04-02 Listed $89,900 CBOR
- 2021-04-02 Listed $89,900 EABOR
- 2006-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $55,273 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $542 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…