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103 Kimberly Ct
B Composite 74.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

103 Kimberly Ct · Wareham, MA 02571
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured · 72 Days on market
Built 1971 $178/sqft · 33% below area Est $223k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nicely maintained three-bedroom two bath home in Garden Homes North, a family park. Primary bedroom has its own bathroom, newer rubber roof, replacement windows, new furnace in 2026 and much more. Conveniently located close to highways, beaches, and shopping. Move-in ready Call today for your private viewing.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1971
  • Listed 72 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $966 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wareham (suburban): math 17% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #271 of 302 in MA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,255 units permitted in Plymouth County in 2024 (411 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $150k implies a 552% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
14.03%
Cash-on-cash
27.62%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$222,576
List price
$149,900
Delta
-32.65%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
83 Kristen Ln 0.06mi 2/2.0 (-1) 924 (+10%) 11mo $250,000 $271 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$37,269
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
29.8%
Equity multiple
3.66×
Total profit
$111,826
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 02571

Home prices YoY
-33.7%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,534 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$532
Net cashflow
$966

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1 Gatehouse Dr East Wareham, MA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1070 $2,534 $2.37 1d 3 1.03mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-05-11
    price $149,900 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    Nicely maintained three-bedroom two bath home in Garden Homes North, a family park. Primary bedroom has its own bathroom, newer rubber roof, replacement windows, new furnace in 2026 and much more. Conveniently located close to highways, beaches, and shopping. Move-in ready Call today for your private viewing.

  10. 2026-03-29
    listed $159,900 New 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    Nicely maintained three-bedroom two bath home in Garden Homes North, a family park. Primary bedroom has its own bathroom, newer rubber roof, replacement windows, new furnace in 2026 and much more. Conveniently located close to highways, beaches, and shopping. Move-in ready Call today for your private viewing.

  11. 2008-01-26
    historical 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Newly Vinyl sided mobile home in family park. Good condition needs minor work nothing major. Brand new fridge 2 full baths and 3 bedrooms. New blower in furnace as well. Park fee includes sewer water taxes snow and trash removal. Purchase as an investment or live there, had tenants who were paying $975/month.

  12. 2008-01-26
    soldstatus $23,000 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Newly Vinyl sided mobile home in family park. Good condition needs minor work nothing major. Brand new fridge 2 full baths and 3 bedrooms. New blower in furnace as well. Park fee includes sewer water taxes snow and trash removal. Purchase as an investment or live there, had tenants who were paying $975/month.

  13. 2007-03-26
    listed $35,000 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Newly Vinyl sided mobile home in family park. Good condition needs minor work nothing major. Brand new fridge 2 full baths and 3 bedrooms. New blower in furnace as well. Park fee includes sewer water taxes snow and trash removal. Purchase as an investment or live there, had tenants who were paying $975/month.

  14. 2006-03-31
    soldstatus $40,000
  15. 2006-03-01
    historical
  16. 2006-01-17
    listed $42,000
  17. 2004-11-02
    soldstatus $28,000
  18. 2004-09-25
    historical
  19. 2004-05-14
    listed $32,000
  20. 1999-04-27
    soldstatus $22,000
  21. 1999-02-17
    listed $22,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,408
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,248
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,433
− Management
−$2,433
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$9,787
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,349
After-tax cash flow
$9,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wareham
NCES district ID
2512060
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,171
Composite
22.78/100
National rank
#8024
State rank
#271 of 302 in MA

Livability — Wareham

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,538

Population outlook (Plymouth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
533,105 people
By 2030
541,862 · +1.6%
By 2040
549,791 · +3.1%
By 2050
542,476 · +1.8%
By 2075
518,429 · -2.8%
By 2100
448,179 · -15.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 9% Russian 6% Lithuanian 6%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Plymouth

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.8) · D 53.6% · R 44.7% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+1.3pp toward D · 2008: 7.6pp · 2024: 8.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.8 2020: D+17.4 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+7.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -158.12%
Current HPI
311.1966
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+566.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $149,900 MLS PIN
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $159,900 MLS PIN
  • 2008-01-26 Sold (MLS) $23,000 MLS PIN
  • 2008-01-26 Listing Removed MLS PIN
  • 2007-03-26 Listed $35,000 MLS PIN
  • 2006-03-31 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MLS PIN
  • 2006-03-01 Listing Removed MLS PIN
  • 2006-01-17 Listed $42,000 MLS PIN
  • 2004-11-02 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MLS PIN
  • 2004-09-25 Listing Removed MLS PIN
  • 2004-05-14 Listed $32,000 MLS PIN
  • 1999-04-27 Sold (MLS) $22,000 CCIMLS
  • 1999-02-17 Listed $22,500 CCIMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…