22-Plex
623 - 627 N Edison · Stockton, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 30 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 22 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to own an investment property. The property appraised at $2.5M on Feb 2026, close to downtown Stockton, with an excellent going-in CAP rate. This 22 unit apartment building consists of 3 two-bedroom units, 11 one-bedroom units, and 8 Studio units. Property has been completely renovated with over $300k of investment and most units have tile flooring, double pane windows, granite countertops, and new kitchens. Recent improvements include 8 remodeled units, exterior painting, rewired electric panel, new water and sewer lines, newer commercial water heater, and roof water proofing. A roof inspection report is availble upon request. See OM attached. A Must See!
Key facts
- Remodeled units
- Completely renovated
- 7,549 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3×2bd/1ba + 11×1bd/1ba + 8×?bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $2.29M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($108k/yr) — positive. Per door: $410/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($29k rent vs $2.29M).
- Recommended offer: $2.09M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.6% in Stockton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#734 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, amenities A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Stockton Unified (urban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #295 of 517 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 3,779 units permitted in San Joaquin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $28,744/mo this rent would consume 544% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1034% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $16k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $69k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Joaquin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $643k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($2.09M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $1.16M; list at $2.29M implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.86%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $714,517
- List price
- $2,295,000
- Delta
- 221.20%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $202,189
- Equity at exit
- $342,192
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $912,765
- Equity at exit
- $198,430
Cash invested: $642,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95203
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 137.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $28,744 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$12,035
- Tax from tax record
- −$689 /mo · $8,262/yr
- Insurance
- −$956
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$6,036
- Net cashflow
- $9,028
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $10,327 | -5% $9,677 | +0% $9,028 | +5% $8,378 | +10% $7,729 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $6,757 | -5% $7,892 | +0% $9,028 | +5% $10,163 | +10% $11,299 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $10,184 | -0.5pp $9,611 | base $9,028 | +0.5pp $8,433 | +1.0pp $7,828 |
22-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $4,176 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,392 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,392 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,392 |
| 11× units | 1 | 1 | $14,146 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $1,286 |
| #5 | 1 | 1 | $1,286 |
| #6 | 1 | 1 | $1,286 |
| #7 | 1 | 1 | $1,286 |
| #8 | 1 | 1 | $1,286 |
| #9 | 1 | 1 | $1,286 |
| #10 | 1 | 1 | $1,286 |
| #11 | 1 | 1 | $1,286 |
| #12 | 1 | 1 | $1,286 |
| #13 | 1 | 1 | $1,286 |
| #14 | 1 | 1 | $1,286 |
| 8× units | 0 | 1 | $10,424 |
| #15 | 0 | 1 | $1,303 |
| #16 | 0 | 1 | $1,303 |
| #17 | 0 | 1 | $1,303 |
| #18 | 0 | 1 | $1,303 |
| #19 | 0 | 1 | $1,303 |
| #20 | 0 | 1 | $1,303 |
| #21 | 0 | 1 | $1,303 |
| #22 | 0 | 1 | $1,303 |
| Total (22 units) | $28,744 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $573,750
- Closing costs
- $68,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,295,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,295,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $2,295,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,295,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $2,295,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $2,295,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $2,295,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,295,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $2,295,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $2,295,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,295,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,295,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $2,295,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $2,295,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2017-11-01soldstatus $1,160,000
-
2016-10-08$1,195,000
-
1993-03-11soldstatus $420,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,262 · $689/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $17,442 · $1,454/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9,180/yr (+$765/mo · 111.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 30 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $344,928
- − Mortgage interest
- −$128,556
- − Property taxes
- −$8,262
- − Insurance
- −$11,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$27,594
- − Management
- −$27,594
- − Depreciation
- −$66,764
- Taxable income
- $74,683
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$17,924
- After-tax cash flow
- $90,409/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stockton Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0638010
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 16.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,563
- Composite
- 28.65/100
- National rank
- #6701
- State rank
- #295 of 517 in CA
Livability — Stockton
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #734
- US rank
- #21638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stockton, CA
- County
- San Joaquin County · 729,570 people
- City population
- 332,006
- Metro
- Stockton, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,930
- Household income
- $63,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1034.0
Population outlook (San Joaquin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 796,965 people
- By 2030
- 828,849 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 885,611 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 929,798 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 994,578 · +24.8%
- By 2100
- 971,291 · +21.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 58% White 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 10% Black 9% Native American 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 38% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · San Joaquin
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 48.9% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -0.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+12.9 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+10.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -342.07%
- Current HPI
- 455.9551
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Stockton, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+176.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2017-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $1,160,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-08 Listed $1,195,000 San Francisco MLS
- 1993-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $420,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $8,262 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…