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623 - 627 N Edison 22-Plex
B- Composite 65.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,295,000

623 - 627 N Edison · Stockton, CA 95203
374 bd · None ba · 1,976 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 114 Days on market
Built 1950 7,549 sqft lot $1161/sqft · 1044% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 22 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to own an investment property. The property appraised at $2.5M on Feb 2026, close to downtown Stockton, with an excellent going-in CAP rate. This 22 unit apartment building consists of 3 two-bedroom units, 11 one-bedroom units, and 8 Studio units. Property has been completely renovated with over $300k of investment and most units have tile flooring, double pane windows, granite countertops, and new kitchens. Recent improvements include 8 remodeled units, exterior painting, rewired electric panel, new water and sewer lines, newer commercial water heater, and roof water proofing. A roof inspection report is availble upon request. See OM attached. A Must See!

Key facts

  • Remodeled units
  • Completely renovated
  • 7,549 sq ft lot

Tags

22 UNIT APARTMENT BUILDINGCOMPLETELY RENOVATEDREMODELED UNITSNEW WATER AND SEWER LINESNEWER COMMERCIAL WATER HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3×2bd/1ba + 11×1bd/1ba + 8×?bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $2.29M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($108k/yr) — positive. Per door: $410/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($29k rent vs $2.29M).
  • Recommended offer: $2.09M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.6% in Stockton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#734 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, amenities A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Stockton Unified (urban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #295 of 517 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 3,779 units permitted in San Joaquin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $28,744/mo this rent would consume 544% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1034% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $16k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $69k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Joaquin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $643k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($2.09M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $1.16M; list at $2.29M implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $2,088,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
11.01%
Cash-on-cash
16.86%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$714,517
List price
$2,295,000
Delta
221.20%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$202,189
Equity at exit
$342,192
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$912,765
Equity at exit
$198,430

Cash invested: $642,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95203

Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
137.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$28,744 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$12,035
Tax from tax record
$689 /mo · $8,262/yr
Insurance
$956
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$6,036
Net cashflow
$9,028

Break-even live

Break-even rent $17,316
Max offer price $2,295,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $10,327 -5% $9,677 +0% $9,028 +5% $8,378 +10% $7,729
Rent -10% $6,757 -5% $7,892 +0% $9,028 +5% $10,163 +10% $11,299
Rate -1.0pp $10,184 -0.5pp $9,611 base $9,028 +0.5pp $8,433 +1.0pp $7,828

22-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (22 units) $28,744

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$573,750
Closing costs
$68,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 109 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 105 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 100 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,295,000 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2017-11-01
    soldstatus $1,160,000
  16. 2016-10-08
    listed $1,195,000
  17. 1993-03-11
    soldstatus $420,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,262 · $689/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$17,442 · $1,454/mo
Expected delta
+$9,180/yr (+$765/mo · 111.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 30 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$344,928
− Mortgage interest
−$128,556
− Property taxes
−$8,262
− Insurance
−$11,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$27,594
− Management
−$27,594
− Depreciation
−$66,764
Taxable income
$74,683
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$17,924
After-tax cash flow
$90,409/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stockton Unified
NCES district ID
0638010
Math proficiency
23% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 16.00%
Median HH income
$37,563
Composite
28.65/100
National rank
#6701
State rank
#295 of 517 in CA

Livability — Stockton

Score
57/100
State rank
#734
US rank
#21638

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stockton, CA
County
San Joaquin County · 729,570 people
City population
332,006
Metro
Stockton, CA
Population (ZIP)
15,930
Household income
$63,411
Rent vs Own
57.0% rent · 43.0% own
Severe rent burden
1034.0

Population outlook (San Joaquin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
796,965 people
By 2030
828,849 · +4.0%
By 2040
885,611 · +11.1%
By 2050
929,798 · +16.7%
By 2075
994,578 · +24.8%
By 2100
971,291 · +21.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 58% White 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 10% Black 9% Native American 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, China
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 38% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · San Joaquin

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 48.9% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -0.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+12.9 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+10.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -342.07%
Current HPI
455.9551
Rent YoY
Metro
Stockton, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+176.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2017-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $1,160,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-08 Listed $1,195,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 1993-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $420,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,262 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…