CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
321 Mallard Pointe Dr
B Composite 72.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$179,000

321 Mallard Pointe Dr · Kingsland, GA 31569
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,428 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 217 Days on market
Built 1990 0.51 ac lot $125/sqft · 38% below area Est $289k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

321 Mallard Pointe Dr is a 3 bedroom, 2 full bath, 1428 sq ft home situated on 0.51 acres. This home features a spacious open concept floorplan.

Key facts

  • 0.51 acre lot
  • Built 1990
  • Listed 217 days

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT FLOORPLAN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.5% in Kingsland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#111 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Camden County (town): math 56% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #9 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 383 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.19%
Cash-on-cash
6.77%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$289,375
List price
$179,000
Delta
-38.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
295 Mallard Pointe Dr 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,416 (-1%) 5mo $265,000 $187 93
58 Green Wing Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,462 (+2%) 15mo $289,900 $198 78
46 Pintail Ln 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,348 (-6%) 4mo $258,000 $191 75
84 Pintail Ln 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,420 (-1%) 12mo $280,000 $197 73
59 Cinnamon Teal Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,508 (+6%) 17mo $300,000 $199 72
68 Ruddy Duck Way 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+2%) 21mo $315,000 $216 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$115,515
Equity at exit
$161,257
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
7.51×
Total profit
$326,043
Equity at exit
$347,758

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31569

Home prices YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$205 /mo · $2,459/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$283

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,542
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
196 Wood Duck Dr Woodbine, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 43d 1 0.16mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,000 Active 217 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,000 Active 216 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,000 Active 215 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,000 Active 214 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $179,000 Active 212 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 211 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 208 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 207 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 206 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,000 Active 203 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 202 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 201 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 200 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 199 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    price $199,000 144-char remark
    Show marketing remark (144 chars)

    321 Mallard Pointe Dr is a 3 bedroom, 2 full bath, 1428 sq ft home situated on 0.51 acres. This home features a spacious open concept floorplan.

  16. 2026-03-31
    status Active 144-char remark
    Show marketing remark (144 chars)

    321 Mallard Pointe Dr is a 3 bedroom, 2 full bath, 1428 sq ft home situated on 0.51 acres. This home features a spacious open concept floorplan.

  17. 2026-03-18
    historical 144-char remark
    Show marketing remark (144 chars)

    321 Mallard Pointe Dr is a 3 bedroom, 2 full bath, 1428 sq ft home situated on 0.51 acres. This home features a spacious open concept floorplan.

  18. 2025-12-09
    price $220,000 144-char remark
    Show marketing remark (144 chars)

    321 Mallard Pointe Dr is a 3 bedroom, 2 full bath, 1428 sq ft home situated on 0.51 acres. This home features a spacious open concept floorplan.

  19. 2025-10-30
    listed $230,000 Active 144-char remark
    Show marketing remark (144 chars)

    321 Mallard Pointe Dr is a 3 bedroom, 2 full bath, 1428 sq ft home situated on 0.51 acres. This home features a spacious open concept floorplan.

  20. 2022-01-24
    soldstatus $210,000 Sold 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    This home is move-in ready! With a large lot, no HOA, and only a few minutes from the interstate and shopping, you'll be right at home in this well established neighborhood outside of city limits. The kitchen has stainless steel appliances, solid surface countertops, and looks out over the open living room floorplan. The HVAC is 4 years old and recently serviced, the roof is 6 years old. This home is on public water source. Schedule a showing today!

  21. 2021-10-07
    status Under Contract 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    This home is move-in ready! With a large lot, no HOA, and only a few minutes from the interstate and shopping, you'll be right at home in this well established neighborhood outside of city limits. The kitchen has stainless steel appliances, solid surface countertops, and looks out over the open living room floorplan. The HVAC is 4 years old and recently serviced, the roof is 6 years old. This home is on public water source. Schedule a showing today!

  22. 2021-10-04
    price $210,000 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    This home is move-in ready! With a large lot, no HOA, and only a few minutes from the interstate and shopping, you'll be right at home in this well established neighborhood outside of city limits. The kitchen has stainless steel appliances, solid surface countertops, and looks out over the open living room floorplan. The HVAC is 4 years old and recently serviced, the roof is 6 years old. This home is on public water source. Schedule a showing today!

  23. 2021-09-28
    listed $220,000 New 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    This home is move-in ready! With a large lot, no HOA, and only a few minutes from the interstate and shopping, you'll be right at home in this well established neighborhood outside of city limits. The kitchen has stainless steel appliances, solid surface countertops, and looks out over the open living room floorplan. The HVAC is 4 years old and recently serviced, the roof is 6 years old. This home is on public water source. Schedule a showing today!

  24. 2015-06-26
    soldstatus $146,500
  25. 2015-06-24
    soldstatus $146,500
  26. 2008-09-24
    soldstatus $142,500
  27. 2008-06-09
    soldstatus $94,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,459 · $205/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,459 · $205/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,800
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$2,459
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,824
− Management
−$1,824
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$563
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$135
After-tax cash flow
$3,258/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden County
NCES district ID
1300780
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$51,668
Composite
47.1/100
National rank
#2331
State rank
#9 of 174 in GA

Livability — Kingsland

Score
69/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#8436

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
24,070
Population (ZIP)
4,998

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,358 people
By 2030
54,841 · +0.9%
By 2040
54,295 · -0.1%
By 2050
51,529 · -5.2%
By 2075
42,990 · -20.9%
By 2100
33,094 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 28% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.9% · R 67.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.5pp · 2024: -35.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.7 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+33.9 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+23.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.51%
Current HPI
326.5284
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+111.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $199,000 GIAR
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted GIAR
  • 2026-03-18 Listing Removed GIAR
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $220,000 GIAR
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $230,000 GIAR
  • 2022-01-24 Sold (MLS) $210,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-10-07 Pending GAMLS
  • 2021-10-04 Price Changed $210,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-09-28 Listed $220,000 GAMLS
  • 2015-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $146,500 Public Records
  • 2015-06-24 Sold (MLS) $146,500 GAMLS
  • 2008-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $142,500 Public Records
  • 2008-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,459 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…