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11327 207th St Duplex
D Composite 43.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$799,000

11327 207th St · New York, NY 11429
8 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,774 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1935 3,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work

Key facts

  • Private driveway
  • Legal 2 family
  • Finished basement

Tags

LEGAL 2 FAMILYPRIVATE DRIVEWAYFINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Other utilities: see remarks
  • Home design: Duplex
  • Construction: Stucco construction
  • Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Not waterfront; No additional parcels

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One 3-bedroom unit (3-bedroom count noted)
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Finished full basement with walk-out access

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $799k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $68/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $659k (17.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $659k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $481k; list at $799k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $659,100 (17.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.50%
Cash-on-cash
0.73%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-120,978
Equity at exit
$119,133
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-94,900
Equity at exit
$69,083

Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11429

Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
20.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,591 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,190
Tax from tax record
$548 /mo · $6,573/yr
Insurance
$333
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,384
Net cashflow
$136

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,419
Max offer price $799,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $588 -5% $362 +0% $136 +5% $-90 +10% $-316
Rent -10% $-385 -5% $-124 +0% $136 +5% $397 +10% $657
Rate -1.0pp $539 -0.5pp $339 base $136 +0.5pp $-71 +1.0pp $-282

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $6,591

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$199,750
Closing costs
$23,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10854 217th Pl Queens Village, NY 9.0 2.0 1521 $800 $0.53 26d 1 0.64mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-17
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-14
    listed $799,000 Active
  4. 2014-09-30
    soldstatus $481,000
  5. 2014-09-10
    soldstatus $460,000 Closed 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Lr/Dr,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

  6. 2014-09-10
    soldstatus $460,000 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Lr/Dr,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

  7. 2014-08-25
    status Under Contract 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work

  8. 2014-04-11
    listed $475,000 New 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Lr/Dr,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

  9. 2014-04-11
    listed $475,000 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Lr/Dr,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

  10. 2009-07-17
    soldstatus $224,900
  11. 2007-08-14
    soldstatus $540,000
  12. 2007-03-28
    historical
  13. 2007-03-06
    listed $549,000
  14. 1992-03-18
    soldstatus $147,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,573 · $548/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,038 · $837/mo
Expected delta
+$3,465/yr (+$289/mo · 52.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$79,092
− Mortgage interest
−$44,756
− Property taxes
−$6,573
− Insurance
−$3,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,327
− Management
−$6,327
− Depreciation
−$23,244
Taxable loss
−$12,131
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,911
After-tax cash flow
$4,545/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
City population
7,731,280
Population (ZIP)
27,933

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 15%
Foreign-born
46% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
68% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -420.79%
Current HPI
344.7243
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+443.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-17 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $481,000 Public Records
  • 2014-09-10 Sold (MLS) $460,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-10 Sold (MLS) $460,000 MLSLI
  • 2014-08-25 Pending MLSLI
  • 2014-04-11 Listed $475,000 MLSLI
  • 2014-04-11 Listed $475,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $224,900 Public Records
  • 2007-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $540,000 Public Records
  • 2007-03-28 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-03-06 Listed $549,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,573 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…