Duplex
11327 207th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 54.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$799,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Legal 2 family
- Finished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Other utilities: see remarks
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Stucco construction
- Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Not waterfront; No additional parcels
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 3-bedroom unit (3-bedroom count noted)
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Finished full basement with walk-out access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $799k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $68/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $659k (17.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $659k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $481k; list at $799k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.73%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-120,978
- Equity at exit
- $119,133
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-94,900
- Equity at exit
- $69,083
Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11429
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 20.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,591 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$548 /mo · $6,573/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,384
- Net cashflow
- $136
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $588 | -5% $362 | +0% $136 | +5% $-90 | +10% $-316 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-385 | -5% $-124 | +0% $136 | +5% $397 | +10% $657 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $539 | -0.5pp $339 | base $136 | +0.5pp $-71 | +1.0pp $-282 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | 1.5 | $6,592 |
| #1 | 4 | 1.5 | $3,296 |
| #2 | 4 | 1.5 | $3,296 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,591 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,750
- Closing costs
- $23,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10854 217th Pl Queens Village, NY | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1521 | $800 | $0.53 | 26d | 1 | 0.64mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-27status Pending
-
2026-05-17status Active
-
2026-04-14$799,000 Active
-
2014-09-30soldstatus $481,000
-
2014-09-10soldstatus $460,000 Closed 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Lr/Dr,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes
-
2014-09-10soldstatus $460,000 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Lr/Dr,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes
-
2014-08-25status Under Contract 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work
-
2014-04-11$475,000 New 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Lr/Dr,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes
-
2014-04-11$475,000 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
4 Year Old Renovated Two Family Home . This Home Features A Loft Style Unit On The Second/Third Floor (Needs A Coat Of Paint), Stainless Steel Appliances, Hw Floors, Large Bath With His/Her Sinks, Lots Of Closet Space, First Floor Features A Large Kit With Dining Area, Lr, Bath And Two Bedrooms. Move Right In. Basement Needs Minimal Work, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent,Interior Features:Lr/Dr,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes
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2009-07-17soldstatus $224,900
-
2007-08-14soldstatus $540,000
-
2007-03-28historical
-
2007-03-06$549,000
-
1992-03-18soldstatus $147,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,573 · $548/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,038 · $837/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,465/yr (+$289/mo · 52.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $79,092
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,756
- − Property taxes
- −$6,573
- − Insurance
- −$3,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,327
- − Management
- −$6,327
- − Depreciation
- −$23,244
- Taxable loss
- −$12,131
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,911
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,933
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 15%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -420.79%
- Current HPI
- 344.7243
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+443.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-17 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $481,000 Public Records
- 2014-09-10 Sold (MLS) $460,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-10 Sold (MLS) $460,000 MLSLI
- 2014-08-25 Pending — MLSLI
- 2014-04-11 Listed $475,000 MLSLI
- 2014-04-11 Listed $475,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $224,900 Public Records
- 2007-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $540,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-28 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-06 Listed $549,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,573 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…