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3124 E Round Lake Rd
B- Composite 68.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

3124 E Round Lake Rd · Bath, MI 48820
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1965 0.51 ac lot $176/sqft · 10% below area Est $296k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm

Key facts

  • 0.51 acre lot
  • Built 1965
  • Listed 8 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.0% in Bath — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#335 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bath Community Schools (suburban): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #247 of 540 in MI (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 154 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $189,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.45%
Cash-on-cash
11.29%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$296,274
List price
$189,900
Delta
-35.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,004
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$41,569
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48820

Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,066 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $683/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$434
Net cashflow
$500

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,433
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm

  2. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm

  3. 2026-05-08
    historical Active Under Contract 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm

  4. 2026-05-08
    historical Active Under Contract 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm

  5. 2026-05-05
    listed $189,900 Active 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm

  6. 2026-05-05
    listed $189,900 Active 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm

  7. 2026-04-20
    historical $189,900 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$683 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,804 · $150/mo
Expected delta
+$1,121/yr (+$93/mo · 164.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,791
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$683
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,983
− Management
−$1,983
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable income
$3,030
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$727
After-tax cash flow
$5,275/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bath Community Schools
NCES district ID
2604170
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$57,276
Composite
31.78/100
National rank
#5889
State rank
#247 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bath

Score
69/100
State rank
#335
US rank
#8214

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Clinton County · 18,357 people
City population
6,424
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,357
Household income
$112,526
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
183.0

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,490 people
By 2030
82,558 · +1.3%
By 2040
82,325 · +1.0%
By 2050
79,133 · -2.9%
By 2075
65,737 · -19.3%
By 2100
51,314 · -37.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.6) · D 44.9% · R 53.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -8.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.6 2020: R+6.5 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.2 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -167.50%
Current HPI
231.0122
Rent YoY
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-13 Pending Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2026-05-08 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Contingent Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $189,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $189,900 Greater Lansing AoR

Property tax history

-2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $683 · -53.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…