3124 E Round Lake Rd · Bath, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm
Key facts
- 0.51 acre lot
- Built 1965
- Listed 8 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.0% in Bath — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#335 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Bath Community Schools (suburban): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #247 of 540 in MI (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 154 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.29%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $296,274
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -35.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,004
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $41,569
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48820
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,066 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $683/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $500
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 627-char remark
Show marketing remark (629 chars)
In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm
-
2026-05-13status Pending 629-char remark
Show marketing remark (629 chars)
In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm
-
2026-05-08historical Active Under Contract 627-char remark
Show marketing remark (629 chars)
In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm
-
2026-05-08historical Active Under Contract 629-char remark
Show marketing remark (629 chars)
In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm
-
2026-05-05$189,900 Active 627-char remark
Show marketing remark (629 chars)
In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm
-
2026-05-05$189,900 Active 629-char remark
Show marketing remark (629 chars)
In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm
-
2026-04-20historical $189,900 629-char remark
Show marketing remark (629 chars)
In receipt of Multiple Offers - Highest and Best Due Thursday, May 7 no later than 9:00 am Charming home - 4-bedroom Cape Cod with 1.5 baths and 1,080 sq ft of living space. This well maintained home offers a cozy yet functional layout. Living area with newer carpet (Hardwood underneath)Large kitchen/dining , oak cabinetry, newer white appliances, Hardwood Floors. Lower level: electric fireplace, Work bench, storage, washer/dryer, water filtration system. Generac back up system, solar panels, paved driveway with extra pad, large shed Olive Twp taxes. St. John Schools Open House, Tuesday, May 5th, 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $683 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,804 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,121/yr (+$93/mo · 164.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,791
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$683
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,983
- − Management
- −$1,983
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $3,030
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$727
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,275/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bath Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2604170
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,276
- Composite
- 31.78/100
- National rank
- #5889
- State rank
- #247 of 540 in MI
Livability — Bath
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #335
- US rank
- #8214
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clinton County · 18,357 people
- City population
- 6,424
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,357
- Household income
- $112,526
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 183.0
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,490 people
- By 2030
- 82,558 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 82,325 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 79,133 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 65,737 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 51,314 · -37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.6) · D 44.9% · R 53.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -8.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.6 2020: R+6.5 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.2 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.50%
- Current HPI
- 231.0122
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Pending — Greater Lansing AoR
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — Greater Lansing AoR
- 2026-05-05 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-05 Listed $189,900 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $189,900 Greater Lansing AoR
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $683 · -53.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…