🏷️ Likely Rental
3441 SE 111th Ave #20 · Portland, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Be the first to call this BRAND NEW home your own! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home offers modern, low-maintenance living in Viking Mobile Villa, a welcoming 55+ community with easy access to nearby shopping, restaurants, parks and I-205. The bright and open layout features a fresh, modern color palette and quality finishes. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, range, built-in microwave and dishwasher, plus a breakfast bar that connects seamlessly to the living area. The bathroom includes a walk-in shower and the home offers in-unit laundry hookups, with on-site facilities available as well. Additional highlights include driveway parking, a separate side entrance and double-pane vinyl windows for efficiency and comfort. Space rent is $700/month, including garbage and recycling; water and electric (PGE) are individually metered and billed. Move-in ready, affordable and truly brand new. Financing options available!
Key facts
- Walk-in shower
- Driveway parking
- Breakfast bar
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $572 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- David Douglas SD 40 (urban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #99 of 183 in OR (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: West Powellhurst Elementary School (363 students, 80% FRL); Ron Russell Middle School (770 students, 77% FRL); David Douglas High School (2,698 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $481 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.25%
- DSCR
- 2.57
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,494
- List price
- $69,500
- Delta
- -28.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10835 SE Powell Blvd #10 | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 520 (+4%) | 14mo | $45,000 | $87 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $21,263
- Equity at exit
- $10,363
- IRR
- 33.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $50,396
- Equity at exit
- $6,009
Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Portland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+39
ZIP-level market 97266
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$364
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,042/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $572
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $620 | -5% $596 | +0% $572 | +5% $548 | +10% $524 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $466 | -5% $519 | +0% $572 | +5% $624 | +10% $677 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $607 | -0.5pp $589 | base $572 | +0.5pp $554 | +1.0pp $535 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,375
- Closing costs
- $2,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10941 SE Bush St Unit 22 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 11111 SE Bush St Unit 15 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 19d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 11111 SE Bush St Unit 11111 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,450 | $1.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 10735 SE Holgate Blvd Unit C Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,295 | $2.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4539 SE 105th Ave Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 440 | $1,500 | $3.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3815 SE 122nd Ave Unit 4 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3815 SE 122nd Ave Unit 4 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 12330 SE Bush St Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,439 | $2.06 | 0d | 3 | 0.71mi |
| 12450 SE Powell Ct Unit 62 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,250 | $2.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 12450 SE Powell Ct Unit 55 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,050 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 12450 SE Powell Ct Unit 65 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,200 | $2.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 12450 SE Powell Ct Unit 56 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,295 | $2.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 12530 SE Powell Ct Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 642 | $1,200 | $1.87 | 6d | 9 | 0.76mi |
| 12540 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,250 | $2.08 | 18d | 2 | 0.78mi |
| 12550 SE Powell Blvd Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1075 | $1,495 | $1.39 | 4d | 2 | 0.79mi |
| 12540 SE Powell Blvd Unit 08 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,300 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 12540 SE Powell Blvd Unit 27 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,125 | $1.88 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2305 SE 121st Ave Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 535 | $1,122 | $2.10 | 3d | 4 | 0.81mi |
| 12414 SE Ivon Ct Unit 12414D Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,125 | $2.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2545 SE 125th Ave Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,085 | $2.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2135 SE 122nd Ave Apt 19 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,200 | $1.88 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3550 SE 130th Ave Unit One Bedroom for Rent Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,150 | $1.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3550 SE 130th Ave Unit 27 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,050 | $1.68 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3550 SE 130th Ave Apt 6 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,050 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3320 SE 90th Pl Portland, OR | — | 1.0 | 450 | $1,295 | $2.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 12633 SE Division St Apt 36 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,200 | $1.85 | 12d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2016 SE 122nd Ave Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 881 | $1,399 | $1.59 | 14d | 9 | 1.02mi |
| 2016 SE 122nd Ave Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 881 | $1,399 | $1.59 | 9d | 9 | 1.02mi |
| 12815 SE Division St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 45d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 12815 SE Division St Unit 12811 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 12815 SE Division St Unit 12809 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,325 | $1.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5415 SE 122nd Ave Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,218 | $1.87 | 0d | 6 | 1.06mi |
| 13130 SE Powell Blvd Unit 19 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,270 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 13130 SE Powell Blvd Unit 15 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,195 | $1.66 | 0d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 13130 SE Powell Blvd Apt 7 Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,195 | $1.66 | 12d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 12094 SE Market St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,800 | $2.57 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 13024 SE Tessa St #7 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 13024 SE Tessa St Apt 6 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,150 | $1.92 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3636 SE 86th Ave Unit 3644 Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,285 | $1.98 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 13121 SE Division St Portland, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,445 | $1.99 | 0d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,500 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,500 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,500 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,500 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,500 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,500 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,500 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,500 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,500 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,500 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,500 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-03-05price $69,500 983-char remark
Show marketing remark (983 chars)
Be the first to call this BRAND NEW home your own! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home offers modern, low-maintenance living in Viking Mobile Villa, a welcoming 55+ community with easy access to nearby shopping, restaurants, parks and I-205. The bright and open layout features a fresh, modern color palette and quality finishes. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, range, built-in microwave and dishwasher, plus a breakfast bar that connects seamlessly to the living area. The bathroom includes a walk-in shower and the home offers in-unit laundry hookups, with on-site facilities available as well. Additional highlights include driveway parking, a separate side entrance and double-pane vinyl windows for efficiency and comfort. Space rent is $700/month, including garbage and recycling; water and electric (PGE) are individually metered and billed. Move-in ready, affordable and truly brand new. Financing options available!
-
2026-01-13$74,000 Active 983-char remark
Show marketing remark (983 chars)
Be the first to call this BRAND NEW home your own! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home offers modern, low-maintenance living in Viking Mobile Villa, a welcoming 55+ community with easy access to nearby shopping, restaurants, parks and I-205. The bright and open layout features a fresh, modern color palette and quality finishes. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a refrigerator, range, built-in microwave and dishwasher, plus a breakfast bar that connects seamlessly to the living area. The bathroom includes a walk-in shower and the home offers in-unit laundry hookups, with on-site facilities available as well. Additional highlights include driveway parking, a separate side entrance and double-pane vinyl windows for efficiency and comfort. Space rent is $700/month, including garbage and recycling; water and electric (PGE) are individually metered and billed. Move-in ready, affordable and truly brand new. Financing options available!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,979
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,893
- − Property taxes
- −$1,042
- − Insurance
- −$348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,278
- − Management
- −$1,278
- − Depreciation
- −$2,022
- Taxable income
- $6,117
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,468
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,391/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- David Douglas SD 40
- NCES district ID
- 4103940
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,781
- Composite
- 37.38/100
- National rank
- #8926
- State rank
- #99 of 183 in OR
Livability — Portland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #3256
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portland, OR
- County
- Multnomah County · 786,692 people
- City population
- 774,334
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,423
- Household income
- $72,577
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2167.0
Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 930,825 people
- By 2030
- 996,904 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,121,379 · +20.5%
- By 2050
- 1,242,124 · +33.4%
- By 2075
- 1,464,431 · +57.3%
- By 2100
- 1,576,181 · +69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Asian 16% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Black 7% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · China, Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 6% Chinese 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.41%
- Current HPI
- 308.6145
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.09%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-6.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $69,500 RMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $74,000 RMLS
Property tax history
-38.0%/yrLatest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…