587 Private Road 6426 · Palestine, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide mobile home situated on approximately 0.85 acres. As you enter the property, you're greeted by a gated entrance and a concrete driveway leading to the home and spacious carport. Inside, you'll find a large living room featuring a cozy fireplace, perfect for gathering with family and friends. The home offers durable vinyl flooring throughout most of the living areas, while the guest bedrooms feature comfortable carpet flooring. The functional floor plan provides plenty of space for everyday living. Enjoy relaxing outdoors on the covered front porch or unwind in the screened-in back porch overlooking the property. Additional featur
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Vinyl flooring
- Metal roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Open parking; Concrete parking surfaces
- Utilities: Septic tank (aerobic septic)
- Home design: Single-story mobile home; Frame construction; Entry on main level
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation; Built as a mobile home
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Workshop; Level lot / level topography; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.9% in Palestine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#657 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, employment D.
- Westwood ISD (town): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #659 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anderson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.99%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,874
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $23,990
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75803
- Home prices YoY
- -34.0%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,436 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $662/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$135,000 Active
-
2002-10-31soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $662 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,470 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,808/yr (+$151/mo · 273.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,228
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$662
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,378
- − Management
- −$1,378
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,645
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$395
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,383/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westwood ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843290
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,200
- Composite
- 24.41/100
- National rank
- #7684
- State rank
- #659 of 826 in TX
Livability — Palestine
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #657
- US rank
- #12357
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 17,531
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,390
Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,663 people
- By 2030
- 57,373 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 58,960 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 59,073 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 53,737 · -5.2%
- By 2100
- 42,516 · -25.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 17% Black 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Anderson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.8% · R 80.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -61.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.8 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+58.1 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+43.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.92%
- Current HPI
- 186.4885
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $135,000 PAOR
- 2002-10-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $662 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…