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587 Private Road 6426
C Composite 57.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

587 Private Road 6426 · Palestine, TX 75803
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1984 0.85 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide mobile home situated on approximately 0.85 acres. As you enter the property, you're greeted by a gated entrance and a concrete driveway leading to the home and spacious carport. Inside, you'll find a large living room featuring a cozy fireplace, perfect for gathering with family and friends. The home offers durable vinyl flooring throughout most of the living areas, while the guest bedrooms feature comfortable carpet flooring. The functional floor plan provides plenty of space for everyday living. Enjoy relaxing outdoors on the covered front porch or unwind in the screened-in back porch overlooking the property. Additional featur

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Vinyl flooring
  • Metal roof

Tags

GATED ENTRANCECONCRETE DRIVEWAYVINYL FLOORINGCOVERED FRONT PORCHSCREENED-IN BACK PORCHMETAL ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; Open parking; Concrete parking surfaces
  • Utilities: Septic tank (aerobic septic)
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home; Frame construction; Entry on main level
  • Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation; Built as a mobile home
  • Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Workshop; Level lot / level topography; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.9% in Palestine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#657 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, employment D.
  • Westwood ISD (town): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #659 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anderson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,975 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
9.09%
Cash-on-cash
9.99%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,874
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$23,990
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75803

Home prices YoY
-34.0%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,436 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $662/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$315

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,037
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-29
    listed $135,000 Active
  17. 2002-10-31
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$662 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,470 · $206/mo
Expected delta
+$1,808/yr (+$151/mo · 273.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,228
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$662
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,378
− Management
−$1,378
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$1,645
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$395
After-tax cash flow
$3,383/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westwood ISD
NCES district ID
4843290
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,200
Composite
24.41/100
National rank
#7684
State rank
#659 of 826 in TX

Livability — Palestine

Score
66/100
State rank
#657
US rank
#12357

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
17,531
Population (ZIP)
21,390

Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,663 people
By 2030
57,373 · +1.3%
By 2040
58,960 · +4.1%
By 2050
59,073 · +4.3%
By 2075
53,737 · -5.2%
By 2100
42,516 · -25.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 17% Black 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Anderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.8% · R 80.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -61.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.8 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+58.1 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+43.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.92%
Current HPI
186.4885
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $135,000 PAOR
  • 2002-10-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $662 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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