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3911 Delaware St
C Composite 55.71
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,900

3911 Delaware St · Rockford, IL 61102
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily · 46 Days on market
Built 1925 4,792 sqft lot $114/sqft · 41% above area Est $74k · 41% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers 924 square feet of living space with a functional layout. The property features a fenced yard, perfect for pets or outdoor activities, and a detached 2-car garage that provides plenty of parking and storage space. This home is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Incredibly low taxes makes this property very appealing.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Low taxes
  • Detached garage

Tags

FENCED YARDDETACHED GARAGELOW TAXES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $105k implies a 281% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,753 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.41%
Cash-on-cash
14.71%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$74,145
List price
$104,900
Delta
41.48%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3911 Delaware St 0.00mi 3/1.0 924 (0%) 0mo $106,000 $115 100
513 Overland Trl 0.65mi 3/1.0 936 (+1%) 10mo $130,000 $139 59
303 S Pierpont Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,020 (+10%) 8mo $132,000 $129 54
729 Cambridge Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+10%) 18mo $128,000 $125 52
448 Garver Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-3%) 13mo $100,000 $111 50
721 Lexington Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,044 (+13%) 11mo $145,000 $139 48
423 Atwood Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-6%) 3mo $147,500 $171 47
510 Garver Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (0%) 24mo $22,500 $24 45
402 Vista Ter 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 866 (-6%) 22mo $82,000 $95 37
306 N Burbank Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 800 (-13%) 12mo $58,000 $73 35
407 Atwood Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 840 (-9%) 22mo $104,000 $124 32
210 Carbaugh Ave 0.66mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,038 (+12%) 17mo $50,000 $48 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$5,919
Equity at exit
$15,641
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$34,614
Equity at exit
$9,070

Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61102

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Active inventory
69
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,296 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$550
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $844/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$360

Break-even live

Break-even rent $841
Max offer price $104,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $419 -5% $390 +0% $360 +5% $330 +10% $301
Rent -10% $258 -5% $309 +0% $360 +5% $411 +10% $463
Rate -1.0pp $413 -0.5pp $387 base $360 +0.5pp $333 +1.0pp $305

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,225
Closing costs
$3,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3834 Preston St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 14d 1 0.14mi
615 Newport Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 14d 1 0.16mi
504 Lexington Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 14d 1 0.38mi
3016 School St Rockford, IL 4.0 1.0 1090 $1,400 $1.28 44d 1 0.83mi
2305 School St Unit 2305-7 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 875 $995 $1.14 44d 1 1.22mi
1826 Green St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 22d 1 1.28mi
2011 School St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 44d 1 1.38mi
1413 La Belle Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 44d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers 924 square feet of living space with a functional layout. The property features a fenced yard, perfect for pets or outdoor activities, and a detached 2-car garage that provides plenty of parking and storage space. This home is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Incredibly low taxes makes this property very appealing.

  2. 2026-04-20
    price $104,900 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers 924 square feet of living space with a functional layout. The property features a fenced yard, perfect for pets or outdoor activities, and a detached 2-car garage that provides plenty of parking and storage space. This home is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Incredibly low taxes makes this property very appealing.

  3. 2026-04-07
    price $110,000 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers 924 square feet of living space with a functional layout. The property features a fenced yard, perfect for pets or outdoor activities, and a detached 2-car garage that provides plenty of parking and storage space. This home is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Incredibly low taxes makes this property very appealing.

  4. 2026-03-20
    listed $119,000 Active 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers 924 square feet of living space with a functional layout. The property features a fenced yard, perfect for pets or outdoor activities, and a detached 2-car garage that provides plenty of parking and storage space. This home is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Incredibly low taxes makes this property very appealing.

  5. 2024-12-29
    historical $1,350
  6. 2024-12-22
    price $1,350
  7. 2024-12-15
    listed $1,500
  8. 2024-05-20
    soldstatus $27,500
  9. 2017-09-08
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$844 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,613 · $134/mo
Expected delta
+$769/yr (+$64/mo · 91.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,558
− Mortgage interest
−$5,876
− Property taxes
−$844
− Insurance
−$524
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,245
− Management
−$1,245
− Depreciation
−$3,052
Taxable income
$2,773
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$665
After-tax cash flow
$3,656/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
City population
147,297
Population (ZIP)
16,620

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 15%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.81%
Current HPI
189.9634
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+949.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending NWIAR
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $104,900 NWIAR
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $110,000 NWIAR
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $119,000 NWIAR
  • 2024-12-29 Rental Removed $1,350 RENTLY
  • 2024-12-22 Price Changed $1,350 RENTLY
  • 2024-12-15 Listed for Rent $1,500 RENTLY
  • 2024-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
  • 2017-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+36.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $844 · -15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…