132 Blase Line Rd · Fairfield Bay, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$169,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable blend of functionality and inviting living spaces. The living room offer beautiful natural light through the large front window. The dining room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, creating a warm focal point for everyday living. The kitchen is spacious with plenty counter and cabinet space and is complemented by convenient breakfast bar, providing flexible options for casual meals. A bright sunroom adds valuable additional living space, ideal for relaxing or enjoying natural light throughout the day. The home includes two well-sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering comfort and privacy. Outdoor living is enhanced by a back deck, perfect for entertaining or unwinding outdoors. Additional highlights include a one-car garage for parking and storage, as well as a dedicated safe room for added peace of mind. With its well-rounded layout and practical amenities, this home presents an excellent opportunity for comfortable and secure living. See this one before it is gone.
Key facts
- One car garage
- Dedicated safe room
- Back deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $149k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.3% in Fairfield Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#220 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Shirley School District (rural): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #132 of 245 in AR (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 259 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 16 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $365 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-807 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Van Buren County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $170k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.22%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,702
- List price
- $169,500
- Delta
- 22.20%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Dunn Holw | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,498 (+4%) | 2mo | $162,000 | $108 | 80 |
| 172 Dunn Hollow Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-3%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $110 | 79 |
| 109 Dunn Hollow Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,388 (-4%) | 4mo | $48,000 | $35 | 77 |
| 112 Blase Line Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,362 (-6%) | 3mo | $152,500 | $112 | 77 |
| 211 Burnt Rock Falls Rd | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,394 (-4%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $90 | 77 |
| 171 Pine Knot Rd | 0.18mi | 2/2.5 | 1,334 (-8%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $116 | 76 |
| 108 Jonas Ct | 0.16mi | 2/3.0 | 1,296 (-10%) | 1mo | $68,000 | $52 | 70 |
| 112 Woodlawn Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,540 (+6%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $130 | 58 |
| 103 Doubles Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,558 (+8%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $58 | 49 |
| 121 Short Haven Ln | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 1,264 (-13%) | 7mo | $92,000 | $73 | 48 |
| 248 Pine Hill Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+8%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $182 | 48 |
| 104 Shadow Ridge Ct | 0.61mi | 2/2.5 | 1,248 (-14%) | 5mo | $119,025 | $95 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $4,597
- Equity at exit
- $45,218
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $39,656
- Equity at exit
- $51,258
Cash invested: $47,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72088
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 259
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$889
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,542/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$202
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $207
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,375
- Closing costs
- $5,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Set Ct Fairfield Bay, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $202 · $2,424/yr
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $169,500 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $169,500 Active 178 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $169,500 Active 177 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $169,500 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $169,500 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $169,500 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $169,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,500 Active 169 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $169,500 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $169,500 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-07statusdays on market $169,500 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $169,500 Price Change 163 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $169,500 Price Change 162 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $169,500 Price Change 161 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $169,500 Price Change 160 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $169,500 Price Change 159 DOM
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2026-05-02price $174,500 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
This thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable blend of functionality and inviting living spaces. The living room offer beautiful natural light through the large front window. The dining room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, creating a warm focal point for everyday living. The kitchen is spacious with plenty counter and cabinet space and is complemented by convenient breakfast bar, providing flexible options for casual meals. A bright sunroom adds valuable additional living space, ideal for relaxing or enjoying natural light throughout the day. The home includes two well-sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering comfort and privacy. Outdoor living is enhanced by a back deck, perfect for entertaining or unwinding outdoors. Additional highlights include a one-car garage for parking and storage, as well as a dedicated safe room for added peace of mind. With its well-rounded layout and practical amenities, this home presents an excellent opportunity for comfortable and secure living. See this one before it is gone.
-
2026-04-02price $178,500 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
This thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable blend of functionality and inviting living spaces. The living room offer beautiful natural light through the large front window. The dining room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, creating a warm focal point for everyday living. The kitchen is spacious with plenty counter and cabinet space and is complemented by convenient breakfast bar, providing flexible options for casual meals. A bright sunroom adds valuable additional living space, ideal for relaxing or enjoying natural light throughout the day. The home includes two well-sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering comfort and privacy. Outdoor living is enhanced by a back deck, perfect for entertaining or unwinding outdoors. Additional highlights include a one-car garage for parking and storage, as well as a dedicated safe room for added peace of mind. With its well-rounded layout and practical amenities, this home presents an excellent opportunity for comfortable and secure living. See this one before it is gone.
-
2026-03-14price $184,900 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
This thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable blend of functionality and inviting living spaces. The living room offer beautiful natural light through the large front window. The dining room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, creating a warm focal point for everyday living. The kitchen is spacious with plenty counter and cabinet space and is complemented by convenient breakfast bar, providing flexible options for casual meals. A bright sunroom adds valuable additional living space, ideal for relaxing or enjoying natural light throughout the day. The home includes two well-sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering comfort and privacy. Outdoor living is enhanced by a back deck, perfect for entertaining or unwinding outdoors. Additional highlights include a one-car garage for parking and storage, as well as a dedicated safe room for added peace of mind. With its well-rounded layout and practical amenities, this home presents an excellent opportunity for comfortable and secure living. See this one before it is gone.
-
2026-01-20price $189,900 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
This thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable blend of functionality and inviting living spaces. The living room offer beautiful natural light through the large front window. The dining room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, creating a warm focal point for everyday living. The kitchen is spacious with plenty counter and cabinet space and is complemented by convenient breakfast bar, providing flexible options for casual meals. A bright sunroom adds valuable additional living space, ideal for relaxing or enjoying natural light throughout the day. The home includes two well-sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering comfort and privacy. Outdoor living is enhanced by a back deck, perfect for entertaining or unwinding outdoors. Additional highlights include a one-car garage for parking and storage, as well as a dedicated safe room for added peace of mind. With its well-rounded layout and practical amenities, this home presents an excellent opportunity for comfortable and secure living. See this one before it is gone.
-
2025-12-22historical
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2025-12-20$194,900 New Listing 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
This thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable blend of functionality and inviting living spaces. The living room offer beautiful natural light through the large front window. The dining room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, creating a warm focal point for everyday living. The kitchen is spacious with plenty counter and cabinet space and is complemented by convenient breakfast bar, providing flexible options for casual meals. A bright sunroom adds valuable additional living space, ideal for relaxing or enjoying natural light throughout the day. The home includes two well-sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering comfort and privacy. Outdoor living is enhanced by a back deck, perfect for entertaining or unwinding outdoors. Additional highlights include a one-car garage for parking and storage, as well as a dedicated safe room for added peace of mind. With its well-rounded layout and practical amenities, this home presents an excellent opportunity for comfortable and secure living. See this one before it is gone.
-
2025-12-20$189,900 New Listing
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
This thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable blend of functionality and inviting living spaces. The living room offer beautiful natural light through the large front window. The dining room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, creating a warm focal point for everyday living. The kitchen is spacious with plenty counter and cabinet space and is complemented by convenient breakfast bar, providing flexible options for casual meals. A bright sunroom adds valuable additional living space, ideal for relaxing or enjoying natural light throughout the day. The home includes two well-sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering comfort and privacy. Outdoor living is enhanced by a back deck, perfect for entertaining or unwinding outdoors. Additional highlights include a one-car garage for parking and storage, as well as a dedicated safe room for added peace of mind. With its well-rounded layout and practical amenities, this home presents an excellent opportunity for comfortable and secure living. See this one before it is gone.
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2017-01-24soldstatus $61,000
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2017-01-23status Under Contract
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2017-01-13soldstatus $61,000 Sold
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2016-09-11status Back on Market
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2016-09-11historical
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2016-07-18price $64,900
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2016-06-25price $69,900
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2016-03-09$74,900 New Listing
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2001-05-04soldstatus $66,300
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1993-05-15soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,495
- − Property taxes
- −$2,542
- − Insurance
- −$848
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − HOA
- −$2,424
- − Depreciation
- −$4,931
- Taxable loss
- −$80
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$19
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shirley School District
- NCES district ID
- 0512420
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,296
- Composite
- 37.98/100
- National rank
- #8669
- State rank
- #132 of 245 in AR
Livability — Fairfield Bay
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #16778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairfield Bay, AR
- City population
- 2,264
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,264
Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,459 people
- By 2030
- 14,645 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 12,918 · -16.4%
- By 2050
- 11,263 · -27.1%
- By 2075
- 7,870 · -49.1%
- By 2100
- 4,918 · -68.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.2) · D 18.9% · R 79.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -31.7pp · 2024: -60.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.2 2020: R+56.9 2016: R+53.9 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+31.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.48%
- Current HPI
- 238.2694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+149.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $174,500 CARMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $178,500 CARMLS
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $184,900 CARMLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $189,900 CARMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-12-20 Listed $189,900 CARMLS
- 2025-12-20 Listed $194,900 CARMLS
- 2017-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 2017-01-23 Pending — CARMLS
- 2017-01-13 Sold (MLS) $61,000 CARMLS
- 2016-09-11 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2016-09-11 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2016-07-18 Price Changed $64,900 CARMLS
- 2016-06-25 Price Changed $69,900 CARMLS
- 2016-03-09 Listed $74,900 CARMLS
- 2001-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $66,300 Public Records
- 1993-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $62 · -61.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…