Duplex
645 N Cummings St · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$825,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
TREMENDOUS UPSIDE! This well-maintained duplex presents a rare opportunity for significant rental growth in the rapidly evolving Boyle Heights market. Each spacious unit offers approximately 1,715 sq ft, featuring 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms an uncommon and highly desirable layout ideal for maximizing rental income and attracting long-term tenants. Tenants pay all utilities, resulting in minimal landlord expenses limited to property taxes and insurance, with no ongoing operating costs or maintenance concerns making this an efficient, income-producing investment. Situated in a quiet residential neighborhood, the property offers a unique balance of suburban tranquility and proximity to ongoing
Key facts
- Spacious unit
- Unique layout
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Actual annual gross rent: $62,141.64; Gross operating income: $62,141; Net operating income: $46,497.64; Total annual expenses: $15,644; Garage income listed as $62,141; Gross rent multiplier: 5.31; Unit 1 current rent: $2,472.40 (projected $4,000); Unit 2 current rent: $2,706 (projected $4,000); Scheduled/Actual: Actual
- HOA & community: Complex totals 2 units
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with concrete paving
- Utilities: Tenants pay electric, gas, water, trash, and gardener
- Home design: Residential income property (duplex); Two-level building; Zoning: LAR2
- Construction: One building
- Exterior features: No other structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 5 bedrooms; Unit 2: 5 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 2 bathrooms; Unit 2: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall/window unit cooling
- Interior features: Garbage disposal; Range/oven
- Laundry & utility: Has water heaters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 5-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $825k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $281/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $772k (6.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $772k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,717/mo this rent would consume 155% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 3159% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($800k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $700k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.92%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $973,256
- List price
- $825,000
- Delta
- -15.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 459 Forest Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 3,013 (-12%) | 14mo | $760,000 | $252 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-120,540
- Equity at exit
- $123,010
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-146,277
- Equity at exit
- $71,331
Cash invested: $231,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 90033
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 17.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,717 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,326
- Tax from tax record
- −$865 /mo · $10,380/yr
- Insurance
- −$344
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,621
- Net cashflow
- $561
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,028 | -5% $795 | +0% $561 | +5% $328 | +10% $94 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-48 | -5% $256 | +0% $561 | +5% $866 | +10% $1,171 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $977 | -0.5pp $771 | base $561 | +0.5pp $347 | +1.0pp $130 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 5 | 2 | $7,718 |
| #1 | 5 | 2 | $3,859 |
| #2 | 5 | 2 | $3,859 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,717 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $206,250
- Closing costs
- $24,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $825,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $825,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $825,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $825,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $825,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $875,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $875,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $875,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $875,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $875,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $875,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $875,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $875,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $875,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $875,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-01$875,000 Active 967-char remark
-
2022-10-03soldstatus $700,000 Sold
-
2022-10-03soldstatus $700,000
-
2022-10-03soldstatus $700,000
-
2022-09-01historical Backup Offers Accepted
-
2022-07-25$799,000 Active
-
2022-07-25$799,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $10,380 · $865/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,380 · $865/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $92,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$46,213
- − Property taxes
- −$10,380
- − Insurance
- −$4,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,408
- − Management
- −$7,408
- − Depreciation
- −$24,000
- Taxable loss
- −$6,931
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,663
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,398/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Angeles, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,647
- Household income
- $59,652
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3159.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 90% Two or more races 13% Asian 4% White 3% Native American 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 75%
- Foreign-born
- 43% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 16% English-only · Spanish 80% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.59%
- Current HPI
- 472.4588
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.34%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+3.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $825,000 TheMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $875,000 TheMLS
- 2022-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $700,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-03 Sold (MLS) $700,000 SDMLS
- 2022-10-03 Sold (MLS) $700,000 TheMLS
- 2022-09-01 Contingent — TheMLS
- 2022-07-25 Listed $799,000 SDMLS
- 2022-07-25 Listed $799,000 TheMLS
Property tax history
+15.5%/yrLatest (2025): $10,380 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…