1300 Rencher St · Clovis, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$107,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very sweet, neat and clean home with new carpet, paint, flooring, cabinets, and roof. This home sits on a corner lot and has 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom with a large living area plus a separate laundry room. Backyard has a storage shed too!
Key facts
- Pantry
- Ample parking
- Large yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Frame construction
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Back yard fencing; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator; Water heater
- Flooring: Concrete; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (6.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $743 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.09%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,710
- List price
- $107,500
- Delta
- -19.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-6,700
- Equity at exit
- $16,029
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $15,845
- Equity at exit
- $9,295
Cash invested: $30,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88101
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 464
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,002 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$564
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $665/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,875
- Closing costs
- $3,225
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2100 Mitchell St Unit 8 Clovis, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 689 | $700 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2100 Mitchell St Unit 14 Clovis, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $750 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 401 E 5th St Unit 5 Clovis, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 109 State Ave Clovis, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $2,000 | $2.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1500 Echols Ave Clovis, NM | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $948 | $1.04 | 44d | 5 | 1.02mi |
| 2517 Ross St Clovis, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $950 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 117 Townsgate Plz Unit I Clovis, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 853 | $1,000 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3205 N Main St Unit 301 Clovis, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $107,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $107,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $107,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $107,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $107,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $107,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $107,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $107,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $107,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $107,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $107,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $107,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $107,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $107,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $107,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$107,500 Active 665-char remark
-
2023-08-18soldstatus Closed 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Very sweet, neat and clean home with new carpet, paint, flooring, cabinets, and roof. This home sits on a corner lot and has 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom with a large living area plus a separate laundry room. Backyard has a storage shed too!
-
2023-08-18soldstatus
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Very sweet, neat and clean home with new carpet, paint, flooring, cabinets, and roof. This home sits on a corner lot and has 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom with a large living area plus a separate laundry room. Backyard has a storage shed too!
-
2023-08-18soldstatus
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Very sweet, neat and clean home with new carpet, paint, flooring, cabinets, and roof. This home sits on a corner lot and has 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom with a large living area plus a separate laundry room. Backyard has a storage shed too!
-
2023-08-15status Pending 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Very sweet, neat and clean home with new carpet, paint, flooring, cabinets, and roof. This home sits on a corner lot and has 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom with a large living area plus a separate laundry room. Backyard has a storage shed too!
-
2023-08-08historical 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Very sweet, neat and clean home with new carpet, paint, flooring, cabinets, and roof. This home sits on a corner lot and has 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom with a large living area plus a separate laundry room. Backyard has a storage shed too!
-
2023-07-21status Pending 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Very sweet, neat and clean home with new carpet, paint, flooring, cabinets, and roof. This home sits on a corner lot and has 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom with a large living area plus a separate laundry room. Backyard has a storage shed too!
-
2023-06-29$82,500 Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Very sweet, neat and clean home with new carpet, paint, flooring, cabinets, and roof. This home sits on a corner lot and has 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom with a large living area plus a separate laundry room. Backyard has a storage shed too!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $665 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $860 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$195/yr (+$16/mo · 29.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,024
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,022
- − Property taxes
- −$665
- − Insurance
- −$538
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$962
- − Management
- −$962
- − Depreciation
- −$3,127
- Taxable loss
- −$252
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$60
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,592/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clovis Municipal Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,532
- Composite
- 33.52/100
- National rank
- #5435
- State rank
- #13 of 29 in NM
Livability — Clovis
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #22374
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clovis, NM
- County
- Curry County · 44,846 people
- City population
- 44,846
- Metro
- Clovis, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,846
- Household income
- $56,587
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1724.0
Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,742 people
- By 2030
- 47,759 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 45,444 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 42,403 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 33,878 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 22,414 · -54.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 25%
Political lean MEDSL · Curry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.79%
- Current HPI
- 121.1877
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.54%
- Metro
- Clovis, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+30.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $107,500 NMMLS
- 2023-08-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-08-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-08-18 Sold (MLS) — NMMLS
- 2023-08-15 Pending — NMMLS
- 2023-08-08 Delisted — NMMLS
- 2023-07-21 Pending — NMMLS
- 2023-06-29 Listed $82,500 NMMLS
Property tax history
+16.9%/yrLatest (2025): $665 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…