🌊 Lakefront
10265 Heritage Bay Blvd #622 · Heritage Bay, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 35 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOOK NO FURTHER. THIS IS IT! Perfect for those seeking a maintenance free lifestyle! One of SW Florida's HOTTEST golf course communities. Lovely 2 bedroom/2 bathroom condo with an expansive view overlooking the 16th fairway, lake and cherished view of nature at it's BEST (NO BUILDINGS!). Upgrades include corian counter tops, wood finish cabinetry, stainless steel appliances and tile throughout all living areas. Unit comes with covered parking and private storage closet. The TERRACE building is the closest to the clubhouse. BUNDLED GOLF! 27 Hole Championship Course designed by Paul Azinger and Gordon Lewis. GPS Equipped Golf Carts, 27,000 square foot multi-million dollar full service clubhouse, restaurant and bar, a separate activities center that includes a state of the art fitness center and a card/ game room, stunning community pools, driving range, seven Har-tru tennis courts. Hurry. .. this one won't last long!
Key facts
- Terrace condo view
- Western exposure
- 27-hole golf course
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Total annual recurring fees reported; Total one-time fees reported
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Condo association management; Quarterly condo fee; Master HOA paid annually; Maintenance covers cable, golf course, internet/WiFi, reserves, security and water; Amenities include clubhouse, community pool and spa, exercise room, sauna, restaurant, bike storage, extra storage, bocce court, pickleball, tennis and putting green; Gated golf-course community with tennis
Exterior
- Parking: 1 assigned parking space; Guest parking available; Detached 1-car carport
- Security: Gated community with guard at gate and patrol
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential mid-rise (4–7) building; Traditional style; Rear exposure facing west; Part of Heritage Bay development (Terrace sub-condo)
- Construction: Built in 2007; Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior; Tile roof; Impact resistant windows and doors
- Exterior features: Storage; Golf course frontage; Lake, preserve and water views; Central irrigation
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator/Icemaker
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bathroom with shower only
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Screened lanai/porch; Common elevator; Turnkey furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Smoke detector
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $330k).
- Recommended offer: $290k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Corkscrew Elementary School (math 76% / reading 73%, grade A, #230 of 2,144 statewide, top 12%, 863 students, 35% FRL); Palmetto Ridge High School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,347 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 55% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 1133 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,027/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($94k/yr) (locally 409% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 5898% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $228k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo; HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→35/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.77%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-43,794
- Equity at exit
- $49,189
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-61,189
- Equity at exit
- $28,524
Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34120
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 1133
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,027 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,730
- Tax from tax record
- −$360 /mo · $4,314/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$1,223
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,056
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $556 | -5% $462 | +0% $369 | +5% $276 | +10% $182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-28 | -5% $171 | +0% $369 | +5% $568 | +10% $766 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $535 | -0.5pp $453 | base $369 | +0.5pp $284 | +1.0pp $197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,475
- Closing costs
- $9,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10275 Heritage Bay Blvd Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $4,500 | $3.46 | 24d | 2 | 0.08mi |
| 10270 Heritage Bay Blvd #3422 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $6,500 | $4.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 10313 Heritage Bay Blvd #1342 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $6,500 | $5.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 10307 Heritage Bay Blvd Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $2,800 | $2.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 10330 Heritage Bay Blvd #2626 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $6,900 | $4.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 10338 Heritage Bay Blvd #2514 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,500 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 10317 Heritage Bay Blvd #1416 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $7,000 | $5.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 10321 Heritage Bay Blvd Naples, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $6,500 | $4.92 | 22d | 2 | 0.46mi |
| 10321 Heritage Bay Blvd Naples, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $5,400 | $4.15 | 24d | 3 | 0.46mi |
| 10337 Heritage Bay Blvd Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1213 | $4,400 | $3.63 | 24d | 4 | 0.49mi |
| 10333 Heritage Bay Blvd #1715 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $6,000 | $5.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 10345 Heritage Bay Blvd Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $4,425 | $3.59 | 15d | 2 | 0.50mi |
| 10329 Heritage Bay Blvd #1622 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $5,500 | $4.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 10349 Heritage Bay Blvd #2117 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $2,300 | $1.87 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 10353 Heritage Bay Blvd #2226 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $6,500 | $5.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 10353 Heritage Bay Blvd #2226 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $6,500 | $5.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 10044 Siesta Bay Dr #9412 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,500 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2335 Sawyers Hill Rd #503 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,700 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,223 · $14,676/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-04-19price $329,900
-
2026-03-06price $339,900
-
2026-01-31status Active
-
2026-01-26historical $5,500
-
2026-01-25status Pending With Contingencies
-
2026-01-08$5,500
-
2026-01-08historical $5,500
-
2025-12-26price $349,000
-
2025-12-05$5,500
-
2025-11-06$369,000 Active
-
2025-05-14historical
-
2025-03-04price $399,499
-
2025-01-31price $414,900
-
2024-11-25$424,000 Active
-
2021-07-09soldstatus $228,111
-
2021-07-01soldstatus $228,111 Sold 929-char remark
Show marketing remark (929 chars)
LOOK NO FURTHER. THIS IS IT! Perfect for those seeking a maintenance free lifestyle! One of SW Florida's HOTTEST golf course communities. Lovely 2 bedroom/2 bathroom condo with an expansive view overlooking the 16th fairway, lake and cherished view of nature at it's BEST (NO BUILDINGS!). Upgrades include corian counter tops, wood finish cabinetry, stainless steel appliances and tile throughout all living areas. Unit comes with covered parking and private storage closet. The TERRACE building is the closest to the clubhouse. BUNDLED GOLF! 27 Hole Championship Course designed by Paul Azinger and Gordon Lewis. GPS Equipped Golf Carts, 27,000 square foot multi-million dollar full service clubhouse, restaurant and bar, a separate activities center that includes a state of the art fitness center and a card/ game room, stunning community pools, driving range, seven Har-tru tennis courts. Hurry. .. this one won't last long!
-
2021-04-20status Pending 929-char remark
Show marketing remark (929 chars)
LOOK NO FURTHER. THIS IS IT! Perfect for those seeking a maintenance free lifestyle! One of SW Florida's HOTTEST golf course communities. Lovely 2 bedroom/2 bathroom condo with an expansive view overlooking the 16th fairway, lake and cherished view of nature at it's BEST (NO BUILDINGS!). Upgrades include corian counter tops, wood finish cabinetry, stainless steel appliances and tile throughout all living areas. Unit comes with covered parking and private storage closet. The TERRACE building is the closest to the clubhouse. BUNDLED GOLF! 27 Hole Championship Course designed by Paul Azinger and Gordon Lewis. GPS Equipped Golf Carts, 27,000 square foot multi-million dollar full service clubhouse, restaurant and bar, a separate activities center that includes a state of the art fitness center and a card/ game room, stunning community pools, driving range, seven Har-tru tennis courts. Hurry. .. this one won't last long!
-
2021-04-17$218,000 Active 929-char remark
Show marketing remark (929 chars)
LOOK NO FURTHER. THIS IS IT! Perfect for those seeking a maintenance free lifestyle! One of SW Florida's HOTTEST golf course communities. Lovely 2 bedroom/2 bathroom condo with an expansive view overlooking the 16th fairway, lake and cherished view of nature at it's BEST (NO BUILDINGS!). Upgrades include corian counter tops, wood finish cabinetry, stainless steel appliances and tile throughout all living areas. Unit comes with covered parking and private storage closet. The TERRACE building is the closest to the clubhouse. BUNDLED GOLF! 27 Hole Championship Course designed by Paul Azinger and Gordon Lewis. GPS Equipped Golf Carts, 27,000 square foot multi-million dollar full service clubhouse, restaurant and bar, a separate activities center that includes a state of the art fitness center and a card/ game room, stunning community pools, driving range, seven Har-tru tennis courts. Hurry. .. this one won't last long!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,314 · $360/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,314 · $360/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥108°F today · 35 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $60,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,480
- − Property taxes
- −$4,314
- − Insurance
- −$3,474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,826
- − Management
- −$4,826
- − HOA
- −$14,676
- − Depreciation
- −$9,597
- Taxable income
- $129
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$31
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,398/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Heritage Bay
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Heritage Bay, FL
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,345
- Household income
- $93,861
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 409.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 23% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 13%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 28% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.18%
- Current HPI
- 316.2474
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.65%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+51.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $329,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $339,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-01-31 Relisted — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-01-26 Rental Removed $5,500 FGCMLS
- 2026-01-25 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed for Rent $5,500 FGCMLS
- 2026-01-08 Rental Removed $5,500 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-12-26 Price Changed $349,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed for Rent $5,500 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-11-06 Listed $369,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-05-14 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2025-03-04 Price Changed $399,499 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-01-31 Price Changed $414,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2024-11-25 Listed $424,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2021-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $228,111 Public Records
- 2021-07-01 Sold (MLS) $228,111 NAPLESMLS
- 2021-04-20 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2021-04-17 Listed $218,000 NAPLESMLS
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,314 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…