🏗️ New Construction
Sydney Plan · Waukee, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$237,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the Sydney floor plan in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA. This popular two-story townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,511 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, complete with all appliances included. . As you enter through the front door, the foyer leads past a guest bath into the spacious living room, complete with an electric fireplace and large windows that fill the main level with natural light. The open-concept kitchen overlooks the living and dining areas and features white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a generous pantry, and a built-in island with seating for the adjacent dining nook. Upstairs, the oversized primary bedroom offers a private bath, large walk-in closet, and plenty of space for a variety of furniture arrangements. Two additional bedrooms share a guest bathroom, and the conveniently located upper-level laundry room makes chores simple. Make the Sydney floor plan your new home in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 784 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $238k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($946/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (4.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.0% in Waukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#22 in IA, #682 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Waukee Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #14 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 886 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 784 days — a 12% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 784 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.36%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,554
- List price
- $237,990
- Delta
- -3.86%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3611 Pershing Ln | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 1mo | $249,990 | $165 | 96 |
| 3621 Pershing Ln | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 1mo | $239,990 | $159 | 96 |
| 3631 Pershing Ln | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 2mo | $248,990 | $165 | 96 |
| 3614 Pershing Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 0mo | $236,990 | $157 | 96 |
| 3604 Pershing Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 0mo | $249,990 | $165 | 96 |
| 3620 Pershing Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 1mo | $239,990 | $159 | 96 |
| 3615 Pershing Ln | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 2mo | $241,490 | $160 | 95 |
| 3624 Pershing Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 1mo | $239,990 | $159 | 95 |
| 3610 Pershing Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 1mo | $239,990 | $159 | 95 |
| 3625 Pershing Ln | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 3mo | $235,990 | $156 | 95 |
| 3586 Jasmine Ln | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 4mo | $239,990 | $159 | 93 |
| 1161 Magnolia Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (0%) | 6mo | $237,990 | $158 | 92 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-37,717
- Equity at exit
- $36,911
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-36,891
- Equity at exit
- $21,404
Cash invested: $69,315 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50263
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 886
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,265 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,298
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$309 /mo · $3,713/yr
- Insurance
- −$103
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $79
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,888
- Closing costs
- $7,427
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3681 Jasmine Ln Unit HOME1 Waukee, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1511 | $2,545 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3681 Jasmine Ln Unit HOME94 Waukee, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1418 | $2,375 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3681 Jasmine Ln Waukee, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $2,235 | $1.53 | 14d | 13 | 0.03mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $237,990 Active 784 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $237,990 Active 783 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $237,990 Active 782 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $237,990 Active 781 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $237,990 Active 779 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $237,990 Active 778 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $237,990 Active 776 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $237,990 Active 775 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $237,990 Active 774 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $237,990 Active 773 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $237,990 Active 770 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $237,990 Active 769 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $237,990 Active 768 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $237,990 Active 767 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $237,990 Active 766 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $237,990 Active 765 DOM
-
2025-11-08price $237,990 1049-char remark
Show marketing remark (1049 chars)
Welcome to the Sydney floor plan in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA. This popular two-story townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,511 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, complete with all appliances included. . As you enter through the front door, the foyer leads past a guest bath into the spacious living room, complete with an electric fireplace and large windows that fill the main level with natural light. The open-concept kitchen overlooks the living and dining areas and features white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a generous pantry, and a built-in island with seating for the adjacent dining nook. Upstairs, the oversized primary bedroom offers a private bath, large walk-in closet, and plenty of space for a variety of furniture arrangements. Two additional bedrooms share a guest bathroom, and the conveniently located upper-level laundry room makes chores simple. Make the Sydney floor plan your new home in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community.
-
2024-12-24price $251,990 1049-char remark
Show marketing remark (1049 chars)
Welcome to the Sydney floor plan in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA. This popular two-story townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,511 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, complete with all appliances included. . As you enter through the front door, the foyer leads past a guest bath into the spacious living room, complete with an electric fireplace and large windows that fill the main level with natural light. The open-concept kitchen overlooks the living and dining areas and features white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a generous pantry, and a built-in island with seating for the adjacent dining nook. Upstairs, the oversized primary bedroom offers a private bath, large walk-in closet, and plenty of space for a variety of furniture arrangements. Two additional bedrooms share a guest bathroom, and the conveniently located upper-level laundry room makes chores simple. Make the Sydney floor plan your new home in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community.
-
2024-10-01price $254,990 1049-char remark
Show marketing remark (1049 chars)
Welcome to the Sydney floor plan in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA. This popular two-story townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,511 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, complete with all appliances included. . As you enter through the front door, the foyer leads past a guest bath into the spacious living room, complete with an electric fireplace and large windows that fill the main level with natural light. The open-concept kitchen overlooks the living and dining areas and features white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a generous pantry, and a built-in island with seating for the adjacent dining nook. Upstairs, the oversized primary bedroom offers a private bath, large walk-in closet, and plenty of space for a variety of furniture arrangements. Two additional bedrooms share a guest bathroom, and the conveniently located upper-level laundry room makes chores simple. Make the Sydney floor plan your new home in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community.
-
2024-04-25$264,990 Active 1049-char remark
Show marketing remark (1049 chars)
Welcome to the Sydney floor plan in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA. This popular two-story townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,511 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, complete with all appliances included. . As you enter through the front door, the foyer leads past a guest bath into the spacious living room, complete with an electric fireplace and large windows that fill the main level with natural light. The open-concept kitchen overlooks the living and dining areas and features white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a generous pantry, and a built-in island with seating for the adjacent dining nook. Upstairs, the oversized primary bedroom offers a private bath, large walk-in closet, and plenty of space for a variety of furniture arrangements. Two additional bedrooms share a guest bathroom, and the conveniently located upper-level laundry room makes chores simple. Make the Sydney floor plan your new home in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,184
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,867
- − Property taxes
- −$3,713
- − Insurance
- −$1,238
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,175
- − Management
- −$2,175
- − Depreciation
- −$7,202
- Taxable loss
- −$3,185
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$764
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,710/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained townhouse in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA, is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal maintenance required.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waukee Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930510
- Math proficiency
- 80% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,580
- Composite
- 70.94/100
- National rank
- #245
- State rank
- #14 of 289 in IA
Livability — Waukee
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #682
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waukee, IA
- County
- Dallas County · 77,082 people
- City population
- 29,611
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,611
- Household income
- $102,762
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 468.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,904 people
- By 2030
- 127,807 · +14.2%
- By 2040
- 160,576 · +43.5%
- By 2050
- 194,154 · +73.5%
- By 2075
- 271,895 · +143.0%
- By 2100
- 326,525 · +191.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -4.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.8 2020: R+2.0 2016: R+9.6 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.95%
- Current HPI
- 169.2421
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-10.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $237,990 Zillow
- 2024-12-24 Price Changed $251,990 Zillow
- 2024-10-01 Price Changed $254,990 Zillow
- 2024-04-25 Listed $264,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…