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Sydney Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 49.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +7.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$237,990

Sydney Plan · Waukee, IA 50263
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,511 sqft · Townhouse · 784 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Sydney floor plan in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA. This popular two-story townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,511 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, complete with all appliances included. . As you enter through the front door, the foyer leads past a guest bath into the spacious living room, complete with an electric fireplace and large windows that fill the main level with natural light. The open-concept kitchen overlooks the living and dining areas and features white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a generous pantry, and a built-in island with seating for the adjacent dining nook. Upstairs, the oversized primary bedroom offers a private bath, large walk-in closet, and plenty of space for a variety of furniture arrangements. Two additional bedrooms share a guest bathroom, and the conveniently located upper-level laundry room makes chores simple. Make the Sydney floor plan your new home in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 784 days

Tags

LARGE ISLAND FOR FOOD PREPSMART HOME PRODUCTS INCLUDED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $237,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $247,554.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $238k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($946/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (4.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.0% in Waukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#22 in IA, #682 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Waukee Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #14 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 886 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 784 days — a 12% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $209,431 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 784 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.68%
Cash-on-cash
1.36%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$247,554
List price
$237,990
Delta
-3.86%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3611 Pershing Ln 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 1mo $249,990 $165 96
3621 Pershing Ln 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 1mo $239,990 $159 96
3631 Pershing Ln 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 2mo $248,990 $165 96
3614 Pershing Ln 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 0mo $236,990 $157 96
3604 Pershing Ln 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 0mo $249,990 $165 96
3620 Pershing Ln 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 1mo $239,990 $159 96
3615 Pershing Ln 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 2mo $241,490 $160 95
3624 Pershing Ln 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 1mo $239,990 $159 95
3610 Pershing Ln 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 1mo $239,990 $159 95
3625 Pershing Ln 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 3mo $235,990 $156 95
3586 Jasmine Ln 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 4mo $239,990 $159 93
1161 Magnolia Ln 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,511 (0%) 6mo $237,990 $158 92

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-37,717
Equity at exit
$36,911
10-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-36,891
Equity at exit
$21,404

Cash invested: $69,315 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50263

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
886
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,265 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,298
Tax est. 1.5%
$309 /mo · $3,713/yr
Insurance
$103
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,166
Max offer price $247,554
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,888
Closing costs
$7,427
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3681 Jasmine Ln Unit HOME1 Waukee, IA 3.0 2.5 1511 $2,545 $1.68 43d 1 0.03mi
3681 Jasmine Ln Unit HOME94 Waukee, IA 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,375 $1.67 43d 1 0.03mi
3681 Jasmine Ln Waukee, IA 3.0 2.5 1464 $2,235 $1.53 14d 13 0.03mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $237,990 Active 784 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $237,990 Active 783 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $237,990 Active 782 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $237,990 Active 781 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $237,990 Active 779 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $237,990 Active 778 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $237,990 Active 776 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $237,990 Active 775 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $237,990 Active 774 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $237,990 Active 773 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $237,990 Active 770 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $237,990 Active 769 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $237,990 Active 768 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $237,990 Active 767 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $237,990 Active 766 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $237,990 Active 765 DOM
  17. 2025-11-08
    price $237,990 1049-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1049 chars)

    Welcome to the Sydney floor plan in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA. This popular two-story townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,511 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, complete with all appliances included. . As you enter through the front door, the foyer leads past a guest bath into the spacious living room, complete with an electric fireplace and large windows that fill the main level with natural light. The open-concept kitchen overlooks the living and dining areas and features white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a generous pantry, and a built-in island with seating for the adjacent dining nook. Upstairs, the oversized primary bedroom offers a private bath, large walk-in closet, and plenty of space for a variety of furniture arrangements. Two additional bedrooms share a guest bathroom, and the conveniently located upper-level laundry room makes chores simple. Make the Sydney floor plan your new home in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community.

  18. 2024-12-24
    price $251,990 1049-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1049 chars)

    Welcome to the Sydney floor plan in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA. This popular two-story townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,511 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, complete with all appliances included. . As you enter through the front door, the foyer leads past a guest bath into the spacious living room, complete with an electric fireplace and large windows that fill the main level with natural light. The open-concept kitchen overlooks the living and dining areas and features white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a generous pantry, and a built-in island with seating for the adjacent dining nook. Upstairs, the oversized primary bedroom offers a private bath, large walk-in closet, and plenty of space for a variety of furniture arrangements. Two additional bedrooms share a guest bathroom, and the conveniently located upper-level laundry room makes chores simple. Make the Sydney floor plan your new home in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community.

  19. 2024-10-01
    price $254,990 1049-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1049 chars)

    Welcome to the Sydney floor plan in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA. This popular two-story townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,511 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, complete with all appliances included. . As you enter through the front door, the foyer leads past a guest bath into the spacious living room, complete with an electric fireplace and large windows that fill the main level with natural light. The open-concept kitchen overlooks the living and dining areas and features white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a generous pantry, and a built-in island with seating for the adjacent dining nook. Upstairs, the oversized primary bedroom offers a private bath, large walk-in closet, and plenty of space for a variety of furniture arrangements. Two additional bedrooms share a guest bathroom, and the conveniently located upper-level laundry room makes chores simple. Make the Sydney floor plan your new home in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community.

  20. 2024-04-25
    listed $264,990 Active 1049-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1049 chars)

    Welcome to the Sydney floor plan in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA. This popular two-story townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a 2-car garage, and 1,511 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, complete with all appliances included. . As you enter through the front door, the foyer leads past a guest bath into the spacious living room, complete with an electric fireplace and large windows that fill the main level with natural light. The open-concept kitchen overlooks the living and dining areas and features white cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a generous pantry, and a built-in island with seating for the adjacent dining nook. Upstairs, the oversized primary bedroom offers a private bath, large walk-in closet, and plenty of space for a variety of furniture arrangements. Two additional bedrooms share a guest bathroom, and the conveniently located upper-level laundry room makes chores simple. Make the Sydney floor plan your new home in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,184
− Mortgage interest
−$13,867
− Property taxes
−$3,713
− Insurance
−$1,238
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,175
− Management
−$2,175
− Depreciation
−$7,202
Taxable loss
−$3,185
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$764
After-tax cash flow
$1,710/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained townhouse in the Painted Woods West Townhomes community in Waukee, IA, is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal maintenance required.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waukee Community School District
NCES district ID
1930510
Math proficiency
80% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$88,580
Composite
70.94/100
National rank
#245
State rank
#14 of 289 in IA

Livability — Waukee

Score
84/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#682

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waukee, IA
County
Dallas County · 77,082 people
City population
29,611
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
29,611
Household income
$102,762
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
468.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,904 people
By 2030
127,807 · +14.2%
By 2040
160,576 · +43.5%
By 2050
194,154 · +73.5%
By 2075
271,895 · +143.0%
By 2100
326,525 · +191.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, India
Languages at home
85% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 3% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.8pp no change · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -4.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.8 2020: R+2.0 2016: R+9.6 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.95%
Current HPI
169.2421
Rent YoY
▲ 1.82%
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $237,990 Zillow
  • 2024-12-24 Price Changed $251,990 Zillow
  • 2024-10-01 Price Changed $254,990 Zillow
  • 2024-04-25 Listed $264,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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