12480 A Robertson Rd · Natalbany, LA 70466

$75,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 17 Days on market

Fair condition 1.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.8/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

2 BR, 2 BA mobile home on approximate 1 Acre lot. Fenced in yard

Key facts

• 1 acre lot
• Fenced in yard
• 1 acre lot

Tags

• FENCED IN YARD
• 1 ACRE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway
• Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
• Home design: Single-story; Raised foundation
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Raised foundation (listed under construction details)
• Exterior features: Outside city limits

Interior

• Bedrooms: Total rooms: 2
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Window unit heating; Window unit cooling
• Interior features: Average condition

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $580 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
• Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 4.5% in Natalbany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#208 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
• Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.85% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.57%
• Cash-on-cash: 33.15%
• DSCR: 2.47
• GRM: 4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 39.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.31×
• Total profit: $48,569
• Equity at exit: $36,455

10-year hold

• IRR: 39.2%
• Equity multiple: 6.62×
• Total profit: $118,071
• Equity at exit: $58,404

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70466

• Home prices YoY: 3.0%
• Active inventory: 69
• Price-to-rent: 4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,390 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$292
• Net cashflow: $580

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    remarks 64-char remark
14. 2026-06-03
    listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,684
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$1,125
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,335
• − Management: −$1,335
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $6,132
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,472
• After-tax cash flow: $5,489/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This single-family home requires moderate renovations to improve its exterior and interior condition, enhancing its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

• Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
• Major roof — No visible damage, but not inspected
• Major interior walls — Worn paint and wood
• Major kitchen cabinets — Worn and in need of cleaning

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Replace worn flooring — Improves living space and value
• Both Paint interior walls — Enhances living space and value
• Both Clean and update kitchen appliances — Enhances living space and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
exterior siding · Significant wear and tear	Major	$15,000–50,000
roof · No visible damage, but not inspected	Major	$15,000–50,000
interior walls · Worn paint and wood	Major	$15,000–50,000
kitchen cabinets · Worn and in need of cleaning	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items		$60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Replace worn flooring — Improves living space and value ↑
• Both Paint interior walls — Enhances living space and value ↑
• Both Clean and update kitchen appliances — Enhances living space and value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Tangipahoa Parish
• NCES district ID: 2201680
• Math proficiency: 18% ▼ -32.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -31.00%
• Median HH income: $41,283
• Composite: 19.94/100
• National rank: #8676
• State rank: #63 of 98 in LA

Livability — Natalbany

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #208
• US rank: #16184

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 73
• Population (ZIP): 9,815

Population outlook (Tangipahoa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 144,204 people
• By 2030: 151,413 · +5.0%
• By 2040: 164,374 · +14.0%
• By 2050: 175,427 · +21.7%
• By 2075: 195,165 · +35.3%
• By 2100: 201,641 · +39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (67%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 67% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 11% Serbian 2% Scandinavian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Tangipahoa

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.6% · R 68.0% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -30.9pp · 2024: -37.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+32.6 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+30.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.64%
• Current HPI: 126.0016
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-31 Listed $75,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2026-05-31 Listed $75,000 GSREIN
• 2024-10-26 Rental Removed $750 GSREIN
• 2024-10-02 Listed for Rent $750 GSREIN
• 2024-09-17 Rental Removed $750 GSREIN
• 2024-09-09 Price Changed $750 GSREIN
• 2024-06-17 Listed for Rent $850 GSREIN
• 2023-08-20 Rental Removed $850 GSREIN
• 2023-07-17 Listed for Rent $850 GSREIN