🏷️ Likely Rental
6129 98th Pl · Sebastian, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTORS SPECIAL - MOTIVATED SELLER! Affordable Florida Living in the ever-popular Breezy Village 55+ community where you own your land! This charming 1975 classic is perfectly situated along the beautiful Treasure Coast, close to everything needed for relaxed Florida living. Residents enjoy a welcoming community clubhouse with a pool table, full kitchen, and refreshing swimming pool. The location is unbeatable just minutes from the beach and river with endless opportunities for entertainment, shopping, fishing, hiking, biking, and more. $60/month HOA fee, $75/year RV/boat/trailer storage.
Key facts
- Community clubhouse
- Swimming pool
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee ($60) covering common areas and recreation facilities; Community amenities: clubhouse, pool, billiard room, shuffleboard, barbecue, storage facilities; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Carport (1 space); Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Faces north
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Rolled/hot mop roof
- Exterior features: Porch (enclosed); Rain gutters; Shed(s); Community pool; Has a view; Corner lot; Less than quarter acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (11x12; 11x16)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Single-hung windows; Partially furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located outside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $799 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 4.4% in Sebastian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#89 in FL, #1,421 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D-.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pelican Island Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 343 students, 70% FRL); Storm Grove Middle School (math 54% / reading 55%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,020 students, 50% FRL); Sebastian River High School (math 29% / reading 45%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 1,843 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 411 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $120k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.53%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $198,528
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9840 61st Ter | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 13mo | $199,000 | $188 | 88 |
| 9845 61st Pkwy | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,014 (-4%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $133 | 87 |
| 9755 61st Ter | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 984 (-7%) | 0mo | $189,000 | $192 | 85 |
| 9800 61st Ter | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,076 (+2%) | 17mo | $200,000 | $186 | 81 |
| 6141 98th Ln | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,032 (-2%) | 17mo | $161,000 | $156 | 80 |
| 9810 61st Ter | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 984 (-7%) | 10mo | $199,000 | $202 | 79 |
| 9750 61st Ter | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 984 (-7%) | 7mo | $99,999 | $102 | 78 |
| 9825 61st Pkwy | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 958 (-9%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $204 | 72 |
| 9755 61st Pl | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-9%) | 8mo | $191,000 | $199 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $38,251
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 35.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.83×
- Total profit
- $128,690
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32958
- Home prices YoY
- -13.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 411
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,032 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $804/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$60
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $799
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $867 | -5% $833 | +0% $799 | +5% $765 | +10% $731 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $638 | -5% $719 | +0% $799 | +5% $879 | +10% $959 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $859 | -0.5pp $829 | base $799 | +0.5pp $768 | +1.0pp $736 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Crawford Dr Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5790 Marina Dr #2 Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $2,200 | $2.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 151 Mabry St Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1199 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5790 Marina Dr #2 Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $2,200 | $2.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 186 Empress Ave Unit B Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1398 | $1,575 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 834 Dolores St Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1253 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 6240 E Mirror Lake Dr Unit 201 Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6124 River Run Dr Unit B Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $2,200 | $1.71 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 117 Acorn Ter Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $60 · $720/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $120,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-03-15status Active
-
2026-03-14status Pending
-
2026-02-11price $120,000
-
2026-01-09$134,500 Active
-
2017-12-05soldstatus $61,000
-
2002-02-05soldstatus $53,000
-
1986-09-01soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $804 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $996 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$192/yr (+$16/mo · 23.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,383
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$804
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,951
- − Management
- −$1,951
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $8,145
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,955
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,632/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sebastian
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #89
- US rank
- #1421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- City population
- 30,023
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,023
- Household income
- $66,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 646.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.85%
- Current HPI
- 330.1691
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.22%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+344.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-15 Relisted — RAIRCMLS
- 2026-03-14 Pending — RAIRCMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $120,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $134,500 RAIRCMLS
- 2017-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 2002-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1986-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $804 · +95.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…