🏷️ Likely Rental
3740 Pine Ave SW · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This house boasts three (3) bedrooms and a separate living and dining area. The leveled backyard and off-street parking make it an ideal choice for families or as an income-generating investment property. Currently, a tenant is occupying the property at a rate below market value.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1937
- Listed 109 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 51% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $659 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $50k implies a 733% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.05%
- DSCR
- 2.92
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $68,120
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -26.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3729 Pine Ave SW | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,067 (+0%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $66 | 93 |
| 4100 Park Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (+6%) | 10mo | $82,500 | $73 | 71 |
| 3720 Howard Ave SW | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+3%) | 6mo | $64,000 | $59 | 71 |
| 3321 Cedar Ave SW | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+3%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $59 | 60 |
| 4008 Grasselli Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,153 (+8%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $74 | 57 |
| 3008 Elmyra Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (+4%) | 13mo | $88,000 | $80 | 57 |
| 3317 46th St SW | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,103 (+4%) | 2mo | $6,000 | $5 | 53 |
| 3417 Maple Ave SW | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 910 (-14%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $55 | 52 |
| 3304 Spaulding St SW | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (+7%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $35 | 52 |
| 2812 32nd Way SW | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,205 (+13%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $29 | 48 |
| 4628 SW Hillman Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,166 (+10%) | 1mo | $69,900 | $60 | 45 |
| 3329 Park Ave SW | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+10%) | 6mo | $59,900 | $51 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $27,532
- Equity at exit
- $11,311
- IRR
- 46.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $68,608
- Equity at exit
- $11,243
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35221
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,089 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $899/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $502
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3736 Oak Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,050 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3729 Pine Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1067 | $1,100 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3729 Maple Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 4029 Walnut Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,369 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3616 Maple Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $950 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4120 George Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $850 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3720 Howard Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4009 Grasselli Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $900 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3400 Walnut Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1133 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2804 32nd Way SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3332 Walnut Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1339 | $750 | $0.56 | 19d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2805 32nd Way SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $900 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3417 Park Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1402 | $900 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1441 Creel St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,275 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1112 S Gale Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1053 | $1,175 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1433 Rayfield Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $950 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 408 Midway St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1301 | $1,075 | $0.83 | 19d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3640 Wenonah Rd SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 12d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3640 Wenonah Rd SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1376 Creel Ct Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2300 31st St SW Unit ENSLEY2316 A Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,000 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1412 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,203 | $0.99 | 16d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 913 Daniel Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,300 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1721 Collier Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $800 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 537 Grant St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1417 Brighton Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 517 Grant St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $850 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 830 Burwell St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1011 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 336 McPherson Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 340 McPherson Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $910 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 120 Parkwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,150 | $0.94 | 16d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 373 Belcher Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1255 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1838 31st St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,223 | $0.87 | 16d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3000 Dawson Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $925 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1272 Meadow Ln Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $800 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5624 Cairo Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,200 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2113 Rambow Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1341 Pineview Rd Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $1,300 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1012 33rd St SW Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $50,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-04-13price $55,000 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
This house boasts three (3) bedrooms and a separate living and dining area. The leveled backyard and off-street parking make it an ideal choice for families or as an income-generating investment property. Currently, a tenant is occupying the property at a rate below market value.
-
2026-03-18price $65,000 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
This house boasts three (3) bedrooms and a separate living and dining area. The leveled backyard and off-street parking make it an ideal choice for families or as an income-generating investment property. Currently, a tenant is occupying the property at a rate below market value.
-
2026-03-01$70,000 Active 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
This house boasts three (3) bedrooms and a separate living and dining area. The leveled backyard and off-street parking make it an ideal choice for families or as an income-generating investment property. Currently, a tenant is occupying the property at a rate below market value.
-
2026-02-27historical $70,000 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
This house boasts three (3) bedrooms and a separate living and dining area. The leveled backyard and off-street parking make it an ideal choice for families or as an income-generating investment property. Currently, a tenant is occupying the property at a rate below market value.
-
2018-04-29soldstatus $6,000 Sold 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Auction
-
2018-04-29$10,000 Active 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Auction
-
2002-03-18soldstatus $34,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,066
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$899
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,045
- − Management
- −$1,045
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $5,571
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,337
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- City population
- 210,422
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,127
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.32%
- Current HPI
- 121.0566
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+59.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $55,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $65,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-01 Listed $70,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-27 Coming Soon $70,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-04-29 Listed $10,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-04-29 Sold (MLS) $6,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2002-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $899 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…