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2109 W Millman St
B- Composite 65.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$40,000

2109 W Millman St · Peoria, IL 61605
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 931 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1953 Est $33k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HOUSE & ALL FURNISHINGS ARE INCLUDED*NICE 2 BEDROOM BRICK HOME*FENCED REAR YARD*HARDWOOD FLOORS IN BEDROOMS*FURNACE 2 YEARS*NICE BREEZEWAY*

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1953
  • Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Main to Western to Millman; Located in Peoria Township (Unincorporated)
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with concrete driveway; One garage space (one total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Property is currently leased; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions listed as 8102

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (11 x 11)
  • Bedrooms: Main-level master bedroom (11 x 11); Main-level second bedroom (10 x 11); Two additional bedrooms (room types listed)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring in living room and dining room
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; School bus service and commuter bus access nearby
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (3 x 6)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($915 rent vs $40k).
  • Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($26k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $530 of equity ($277 loan paydown + $253 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $34k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $40,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.29%
Cap rate
18.67%
Cash-on-cash
44.21%
DSCR
2.97
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$32,585
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2000 W Antoinette St 0.42mi 2/1.0 924 (-1%) 2mo $57,500 $62 77
2211 W Butler St 0.12mi 2/1.0 796 (-14%) 2mo $27,500 $35 68
2507 W Moss Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 944 (+1%) 3mo $120,000 $127 67
2123 W Antoinette St 0.38mi 2/1.0 1,036 (+11%) 1mo $22,000 $21 63
1713 W Smith St 0.42mi 2/1.0 1,009 (+8%) 4mo $35,250 $35 63
2115 W Proctor St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (+13%) 5mo $5,900 $6 55
1200 S Matthew St 0.70mi 2/1.0 980 (+5%) 5mo $49,500 $51 54
2112 W Ayres Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 836 (-10%) 1mo $120,000 $144 54
801 S Warren St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,026 (+10%) 4mo $11,000 $11 53
2813 W Marquette St 0.72mi 1/1.0 (-1) 850 (-9%) 1mo $20,000 $24 46
2722 W Marquette St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+8%) 6mo $35,000 $35 43
2111 W Callender Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (+13%) 1mo $43,500 $41 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.3%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$26,347
Equity at exit
$12,896
10-year hold
IRR
48.5%
Equity multiple
6.68×
Total profit
$63,567
Equity at exit
$16,566

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61605

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$915 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,009/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$192
Net cashflow
$413

Break-even live

Break-even rent $393
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2317 W Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 1-106 Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 588 $775 $1.32 44d 1 0.24mi
2317 W Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2-214 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 807 $800 $0.99 44d 1 0.24mi
2317 W Martin Luther King Junior Dr Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 697 $800 $1.15 13d 3 0.24mi
2116 W Proctor St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 912 $879 $0.96 13d 1 0.31mi
1540 W Kettelle St Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1001 $748 $0.75 13d 1 0.48mi
928 S Matthew St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1080 $748 $0.69 13d 1 0.52mi
2320 W Garden St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1096 $1,000 $0.91 44d 1 0.52mi
945 S Shelley St Peoria, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 929 $910 $0.98 13d 1 0.60mi
2822 W Antoinette St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,149 $1.60 21d 1 0.69mi
3001 W Wiswall St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 13d 1 0.70mi
1507 S Livingston St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 842 $946 $1.12 44d 1 0.77mi
1401 W Adrian G Hinton Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $775 $0.70 44d 1 0.78mi
3031 W Wiswall St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 13d 1 0.79mi
1220 W John H Gwynn Jr Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 853 $745 $0.87 21d 1 0.87mi
906 S Tonti Cir Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 780 $950 $1.22 13d 1 0.87mi
2804 W Humboldt St Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1060 $995 $0.94 13d 1 0.92mi
214 Pecan St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,595 $1.52 13d 1 1.23mi
1825 S Kneer Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 858 $858 $1.00 13d 1 1.31mi
2916 W Meidroth St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1125 $1,049 $0.93 21d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $40,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $40,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,009 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,009 · $84/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,983
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$1,009
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$879
− Management
−$879
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$4,613
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,107
After-tax cash flow
$3,844/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria SD 150
NCES district ID
1731230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
10.92/100
National rank
#9751
State rank
#554 of 620 in IL

Livability — Peoria

Score
73/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
13,424
Household income
$26,392
Rent vs Own
57.5% rent · 42.5% own
Severe rent burden
1385.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.63%
Current HPI
170.5814
Rent YoY
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
  • 2003-10-15 Sold (MLS) $34,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-09-22 Listed $34,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,009 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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