809 Greenwich Rd · Lafayette, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is sold as-is. With a large family room it has plenty of space to gather. A large fenced back yard. It has potential to be a beautiful place.
Key facts
- Recent water heater
- Screened in porch
- Total bath remodel
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking with aggregate surface
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available and connected
- Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Wood siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Built as a site-built home
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Wood fencing; Level, landscaped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas oven and gas range
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; One fireplace (no special features listed)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Electric dryer hookup on the main level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (11.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.2% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#68 in IN, #4,374 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D+, crime F.
- Lafayette School Corporation (urban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #235 of 301 in IN (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Glen Acres Elementary School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #500 of 994 statewide, top 53%, 542 students, 72% FRL); Jefferson High School (math 23% / reading 55%, grade F, #235 of 369 statewide, top 65%, 2,118 students, 69% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 219 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,341 units permitted in Tippecanoe County in 2024 (869 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tippecanoe County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $165k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.85%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $184,074
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -10.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3768 Kimberly Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,398 (+2%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $168 | 68 |
| 2928 Beverly Ln | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,352 (-1%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $155 | 67 |
| 1008 Hedgewood Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,380 (+1%) | 3mo | $187,500 | $136 | 67 |
| 915 Greenwich Rd | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,184 (-14%) | 12mo | $111,000 | $94 | 60 |
| 1122 Hedgewood Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,425 (+4%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $140 | 58 |
| 40 Sierra Ct | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,312 (-4%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $168 | 48 |
| 3309 Beech Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,484 (+8%) | 3mo | $292,000 | $197 | 45 |
| 3847 Lodi Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-6%) | 11mo | $302,000 | $236 | 45 |
| 3204 Longlois St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,402 (+2%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $157 | 43 |
| 3848 Lodi Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+12%) | 2mo | $277,000 | $180 | 43 |
| 120 Collins Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+10%) | 9mo | $205,000 | $136 | 41 |
| 1808 Arcadia Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,190 (-13%) | 6mo | $229,000 | $192 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-14,161
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $13,256
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47905
- Home prices YoY
- -33.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 219
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,464 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $888/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $148
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $242 | -5% $195 | +0% $148 | +5% $102 | +10% $55 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $33 | -5% $91 | +0% $148 | +5% $206 | +10% $264 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $231 | -0.5pp $190 | base $148 | +0.5pp $106 | +1.0pp $62 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3605 Wausau Ct Lafayette, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,500 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 512 Portledge Commons Dr Lafayette, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 978 | $1,325 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 407 N 24th St Lafayette, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $2,200 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1609 Arlington Rd Lafayette, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,300 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 100 Tonto Trl Unit 4 Lafayette, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1197 | $1,154 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 100 Tonto Trl Unit 10 1018 Lafayette, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,205 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 100 Tonto Trl Unit 04 401 Lafayette, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1197 | $1,275 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 100 Tonto Trl Unit 09 907 Lafayette, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 100 Tonto Trl Unit 1 Lafayette, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,209 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2026 Scott St Lafayette, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,450 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-14$165,000 Active 457-char remark
-
2020-06-01soldstatus $70,000 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
This home is sold as-is. With a large family room it has plenty of space to gather. A large fenced back yard. It has potential to be a beautiful place.
-
2020-03-13$79,900 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
This home is sold as-is. With a large family room it has plenty of space to gather. A large fenced back yard. It has potential to be a beautiful place.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $888 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,145 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$257/yr (+$21/mo · 29.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,565
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$888
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,405
- − Management
- −$1,405
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$1,001
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$240
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,020/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1805400
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,817
- Composite
- 26.46/100
- National rank
- #7217
- State rank
- #235 of 301 in IN
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #4374
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, IN
- County
- Tippecanoe County · 181,820 people
- City population
- 106,622
- Metro
- Lafayette-West Lafayette, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,219
- Household income
- $65,861
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1475.0
Population outlook (Tippecanoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 215,327 people
- By 2030
- 232,284 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 266,517 · +23.8%
- By 2050
- 302,826 · +40.6%
- By 2075
- 394,445 · +83.2%
- By 2100
- 463,500 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tippecanoe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 49.1% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.8pp toward R · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+0.6 2016: R+5.7 2012: R+3.6 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.05%
- Current HPI
- 227.1583
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.12%
- Metro
- Lafayette-West Lafayette, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+106.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $165,000 IRMLS
- 2020-06-01 Sold (MLS) $70,000 IRMLS
- 2020-03-13 Listed $79,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2024): $888 · +16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…