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112 Lillie Way
D+ Composite 46.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.3/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

112 Lillie Way · Sterling, GA 31525
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,740 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 158 Days on market
Built 1961 0.35 ac lot $155/sqft · at area comps Est $281k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming traditional brick ranch located in the desirable High Hill Lakes neighborhood. Situated on a spacious .35-acre lot, this home offers an affordable and value-packed opportunity. Inside, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms and two full baths, including a primary suite with a private en-suite bath. A new metal roof and HVAC system were installed in 2020, providing peace of mind for years to come. The home also features a spacious two-car garage with a new garage door opener, with the laundry conveniently located at the rear of the garage. High Hill Lakes is a walkable, bike-friendly community featuring several scenic lakes. Restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and pharmacies are just 5-8 minutes away. Enjoy easy access to the Golden Isles lifestyle with St. Simons and Jekyll Island beaches, golf courses, marinas, and historic downtown Brunswick all within a 25-30 minute drive. As an added bonus, the property is located in FEMA Zone X, so no flood insurance is required.

Key facts

  • New metal roof
  • Spacious lot
  • Walkable community

Tags

TRADITIONAL BRICK RANCHSPACIOUS LOTNEW METAL ROOFNEW HVAC SYSTEMWALKABLE COMMUNITYBIKE FRIENDLY COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (13.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.8% in Sterling — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Glyndale Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #784 of 1,228 statewide, top 64%, 621 students, 79% FRL); Jane Macon Middle (math 28% / reading 45%, grade F, #167 of 470 statewide, top 38%, 780 students, 74% FRL); Brunswick High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #88 of 424 statewide, top 22%, 1,932 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 55% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 354 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $151k; list at $270k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $233,116 (13.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.17%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$281,295
List price
$269,900
Delta
-4.05%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1022 Lakes Blvd 0.19mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,886 (+8%) 5mo $342,990 $182 68
104 Little Lake Farms Rd 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,954 (+12%) 12mo $413,000 $211 60
101 S Lake Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,495 (-14%) 20mo $225,000 $151 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-37,950
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-43,486
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31525

Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
354
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,331 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,369/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$200

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,078
Max offer price $269,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $352 -5% $276 +0% $200 +5% $123 +10% $47
Rent -10% $16 -5% $108 +0% $200 +5% $292 +10% $384
Rate -1.0pp $336 -0.5pp $268 base $200 +0.5pp $130 +1.0pp $59

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
203 N Lake Dr Brunswick, GA 3.0 3.0 2056 $2,200 $1.07 46d 1 0.16mi
1022 Lakes BLVD Brunswick, GA 4.0 2.0 1886 $3,800 $2.01 46d 1 0.19mi
185 Drew Cir Brunswick, GA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 46d 1 0.33mi
168 Drew Cir Brunswick, GA 3.0 2.0 1190 $1,595 $1.34 46d 1 0.33mi
104 Eagles Pointe Dr Brunswick, GA 1.0–4.0 1.0–3.0 1141 $1,473 $1.29 46d 4 0.72mi
1100 River Ford RD Brunswick, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1219 $2,720 $2.23 46d 9 1.24mi
1000 Vintage Brunswick Cir Brunswick, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 941 $1,855 $1.97 46d 24 1.33mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $269,900 Active 158 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $269,900 Active 157 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $269,900 Active 155 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,900 Active 154 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,900 Active 153 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,900 Active 152 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,900 Active 151 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $269,900 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,900 Active 148 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $269,900 Active 146 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $269,900 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,900 Active 144 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,900 Active 143 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $269,900 Active 140 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,900 Active 139 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,900 Active 138 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,900 Active 137 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,900 Active 136 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $269,900 Active 135 DOM
  20. 2026-04-09
    price $269,900 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1033 chars)

    Welcome to this charming traditional brick ranch located in the desirable High Hill Lakes neighborhood. Situated on a spacious . 35-acre lot, this home offers an affordable and value-packed opportunity. Inside, you’ll find three generously sized bedrooms and two full baths, including a primary suite with a private en-suite bath. A new metal roof and HVAC system were installed in 2020, providing peace of mind for years to come. The home also features a spacious two-car garage with a new garage door opener, with the laundry conveniently located at the rear of the garage. High Hill Lakes is a walkable, bike-friendly community featuring several scenic lakes. Restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and pharmacies are just 5–8 minutes away. Enjoy easy access to the Golden Isles lifestyle with St. Simons and Jekyll Island beaches, golf courses, marinas, and historic downtown Brunswick all within a 25–30 minute drive. As an added bonus, the property is located in FEMA Zone X, so no flood insurance is required.

  21. 2026-04-09
    price $269,900 1033-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1033 chars)

    Welcome to this charming traditional brick ranch located in the desirable High Hill Lakes neighborhood. Situated on a spacious . 35-acre lot, this home offers an affordable and value-packed opportunity. Inside, you’ll find three generously sized bedrooms and two full baths, including a primary suite with a private en-suite bath. A new metal roof and HVAC system were installed in 2020, providing peace of mind for years to come. The home also features a spacious two-car garage with a new garage door opener, with the laundry conveniently located at the rear of the garage. High Hill Lakes is a walkable, bike-friendly community featuring several scenic lakes. Restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and pharmacies are just 5–8 minutes away. Enjoy easy access to the Golden Isles lifestyle with St. Simons and Jekyll Island beaches, golf courses, marinas, and historic downtown Brunswick all within a 25–30 minute drive. As an added bonus, the property is located in FEMA Zone X, so no flood insurance is required.

  22. 2026-02-23
    price $274,900 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1033 chars)

    Welcome to this charming traditional brick ranch located in the desirable High Hill Lakes neighborhood. Situated on a spacious . 35-acre lot, this home offers an affordable and value-packed opportunity. Inside, you’ll find three generously sized bedrooms and two full baths, including a primary suite with a private en-suite bath. A new metal roof and HVAC system were installed in 2020, providing peace of mind for years to come. The home also features a spacious two-car garage with a new garage door opener, with the laundry conveniently located at the rear of the garage. High Hill Lakes is a walkable, bike-friendly community featuring several scenic lakes. Restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and pharmacies are just 5–8 minutes away. Enjoy easy access to the Golden Isles lifestyle with St. Simons and Jekyll Island beaches, golf courses, marinas, and historic downtown Brunswick all within a 25–30 minute drive. As an added bonus, the property is located in FEMA Zone X, so no flood insurance is required.

  23. 2026-02-23
    price $274,900 1033-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1033 chars)

    Welcome to this charming traditional brick ranch located in the desirable High Hill Lakes neighborhood. Situated on a spacious . 35-acre lot, this home offers an affordable and value-packed opportunity. Inside, you’ll find three generously sized bedrooms and two full baths, including a primary suite with a private en-suite bath. A new metal roof and HVAC system were installed in 2020, providing peace of mind for years to come. The home also features a spacious two-car garage with a new garage door opener, with the laundry conveniently located at the rear of the garage. High Hill Lakes is a walkable, bike-friendly community featuring several scenic lakes. Restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and pharmacies are just 5–8 minutes away. Enjoy easy access to the Golden Isles lifestyle with St. Simons and Jekyll Island beaches, golf courses, marinas, and historic downtown Brunswick all within a 25–30 minute drive. As an added bonus, the property is located in FEMA Zone X, so no flood insurance is required.

  24. 2026-01-15
    listed $279,900 Active 1033-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1033 chars)

    Welcome to this charming traditional brick ranch located in the desirable High Hill Lakes neighborhood. Situated on a spacious . 35-acre lot, this home offers an affordable and value-packed opportunity. Inside, you’ll find three generously sized bedrooms and two full baths, including a primary suite with a private en-suite bath. A new metal roof and HVAC system were installed in 2020, providing peace of mind for years to come. The home also features a spacious two-car garage with a new garage door opener, with the laundry conveniently located at the rear of the garage. High Hill Lakes is a walkable, bike-friendly community featuring several scenic lakes. Restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and pharmacies are just 5–8 minutes away. Enjoy easy access to the Golden Isles lifestyle with St. Simons and Jekyll Island beaches, golf courses, marinas, and historic downtown Brunswick all within a 25–30 minute drive. As an added bonus, the property is located in FEMA Zone X, so no flood insurance is required.

  25. 2026-01-07
    listed $279,900 New 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Welcome to this charming traditional brick ranch located in the desirable High Hill Lakes neighborhood. Situated on a spacious .35-acre lot, this home offers an affordable and value-packed opportunity. Inside, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms and two full baths, including a primary suite with a private en-suite bath. A new metal roof and HVAC system were installed in 2020, providing peace of mind for years to come. The home also features a spacious two-car garage with a new garage door opener, with the laundry conveniently located at the rear of the garage. High Hill Lakes is a walkable, bike-friendly community featuring several scenic lakes. Restaurants, schools, grocery stores, and pharmacies are just 5-8 minutes away. Enjoy easy access to the Golden Isles lifestyle with St. Simons and Jekyll Island beaches, golf courses, marinas, and historic downtown Brunswick all within a 25-30 minute drive. As an added bonus, the property is located in FEMA Zone X, so no flood insurance is required.

  26. 2006-09-06
    soldstatus $151,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,369 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,483 · $207/mo
Expected delta
+$1,114/yr (+$93/mo · 81.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,974
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$1,369
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,238
− Management
−$2,238
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$2,191
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$526
After-tax cash flow
$2,922/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Glynn County
NCES district ID
1302400
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,554
Composite
33.83/100
National rank
#5359
State rank
#47 of 174 in GA

Livability — Sterling

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Glynn County · 69,019 people
Metro
Brunswick, GA
Population (ZIP)
28,926
Household income
$69,493
Rent vs Own
40.8% rent · 59.2% own
Severe rent burden
924.0

Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
91,404 people
By 2030
94,806 · +3.7%
By 2040
100,060 · +9.5%
By 2050
103,258 · +13.0%
By 2075
107,970 · +18.1%
By 2100
103,363 · +13.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Glynn

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
2008→2024 swing
-2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.03%
Current HPI
162.2528
Rent YoY
▼ -0.16%
Metro
Brunswick, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+78.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $269,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $269,900 GIAR
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $274,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $274,900 GIAR
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $279,900 GIAR
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $279,900 GAMLS
  • 2006-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $151,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,369 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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