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503 N Cedar St
B+ Composite 79.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$54,999

503 N Cedar St · Seymour, TX 76380
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,630 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 508 Days on market
Built 1929 Fair condition 9,365 sqft lot $34/sqft · 51% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FIXER UPPER! Good location! This is being sold AS IS and needs some repairs, but it has a lot of potential. It features three nice sized bedrooms, one bathroom and has easy access to the Main Street. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

Key facts

  • Good location
  • 9,365 sq ft lot
  • Built 1929

Tags

GOOD LOCATIONEASY ACCESS TO MAIN STREET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 6.1% in Seymour — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#191 in TX, #4,884 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Seymour ISD (rural): math 55% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #195 of 826 in TX (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Seymour El (math 52% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 277 students, 65% FRL); Seymour Middle (math 52% / reading 47%, grade C, #356 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 190 students, 64% FRL); Seymour H S (math 74% / reading 54%, grade B-, #199 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 177 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 46% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
  • Baylor County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 508 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,399 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 508 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
19.17%
Cash-on-cash
45.98%
DSCR
3.05
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$112,500
List price
$54,999
Delta
-51.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
903 Plainview Rd 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,471 (-10%) 8mo $110,000 $75 59
410 W Miller St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,685 (+3%) 12mo $195,000 $116 59
811 Reeves Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,679 (+3%) 24mo $190,000 $113 46
420 E Mclain St 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,548 (-5%) 15mo $110,000 $71 44
400 S Washington 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,500 (-8%) 23mo $55,000 $37 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.7%
Equity multiple
4.74×
Total profit
$57,586
Equity at exit
$38,914
10-year hold
IRR
52.5%
Equity multiple
10.04×
Total profit
$139,288
Equity at exit
$74,655

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
14 active · 3 under contract
Months of supply
28.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$110,500 ($81/sqft)
Median days on market
136 d
This list price
14% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-15.0% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 76380

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,281 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$590

Break-even live

Break-even rent $534
Max offer price $54,999
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $621 -5% $606 +0% $590 +5% $575 +10% $559
Rent -10% $489 -5% $539 +0% $590 +5% $641 +10% $691
Rate -1.0pp $618 -0.5pp $604 base $590 +0.5pp $576 +1.0pp $561

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $54,999 Active 508 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    days on market $54,999 Active 507 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $54,999 Active 505 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $54,999 Active 504 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $54,999 Active 503 DOM
  6. 2026-09-19
    days on market $54,999 Active 502 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $54,999 Active 501 DOM
  8. 2026-09-17
    days on market $54,999 Active 500 DOM
  9. 2026-09-16
    days on market $54,999 Active 499 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $54,999 Active 498 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $54,999 Active 497 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $54,999 Active 496 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $54,999 Active 495 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $54,999 Active 489 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $54,999 Active 488 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $54,999 Active 487 DOM
  17. 2026-09-02
    days on market $54,999 Active 486 DOM
  18. 2026-08-31
    days on market $54,999 Active 483 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $54,999 Active 482 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $54,999 Active 481 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $54,999 Active 480 DOM
  22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $54,999 Active 479 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $54,999 Active 478 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $54,999 Active 477 DOM
  25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $54,999 Active 476 DOM
  26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $54,999 Active 475 DOM
  27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $54,999 Active 474 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $54,999 Active 473 DOM
  29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $54,999 Active 472 DOM
  30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $54,999 Active 471 DOM
  31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $54,999 Active 470 DOM
  32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $54,999 Active 469 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $54,999 Active 468 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $54,999 Active 466 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $54,999 Active 465 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $54,999 Active 464 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $54,999 Active 463 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $54,999 Active 462 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $54,999 Active 461 DOM
  40. 2026-08-07
    days on market $54,999 Active 460 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $54,999 Active 459 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $54,999 Active 458 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $54,999 Active 457 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $54,999 Active 456 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $54,999 Active 453 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $54,999 Active 452 DOM
  47. 2026-07-29
    days on market $54,999 Active 451 DOM
  48. 2026-07-27
    days on market $54,999 Active 449 DOM
  49. 2026-07-26
    days on market $54,999 Active 448 DOM
  50. 2026-07-24
    days on market $54,999 Active 446 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,329 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,329 · $111/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,375
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$1,329
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,230
− Management
−$1,230
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$6,630
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,591
After-tax cash flow
$5,490/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $40,750–$73,350 screening

This home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, repainting, landscaping, and fencing repair/replacement. These updates will significantly improve its condition and value, making it a great investment opportunity.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — The roof shows significant wear and tear, indicating a need for replacement.
  • Moderate exterior siding — The siding has visible damage and discoloration, requiring repair or replacement.
  • Major paint — The paint is peeling and chipping, indicating a need for repainting.
  • Major fencing — The fencing is in poor condition, with sections missing or broken, requiring repair or replacement.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale New roof — A new roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and overall condition, making it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Resale Repainting — Repainting the exterior will refresh the home's appearance and make it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Both Landscaping — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape will enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its rental value.
  • Both Fencing repair/replacement — A functional and attractive fence will improve the home's safety and security, and also enhance its overall appearance.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 53/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Seymour El F TX #1,155/4,322 Nat'l #16,061/41,679 Middle Seymour Middle C TX #356/1,662 Nat'l #3,585/14,009 High Seymour H S B- TX #199/1,632 Nat'l #2,821/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seymour ISD
NCES district ID
4839780
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$36,292
Composite
41.94/100
National rank
#3353
State rank
#195 of 826 in TX
B Composite livability gradescore 74/100

Livability — Seymour

Score
74/100
State rank
#191
US rank
#4884

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Seymour, TX
County
Baylor · 3,534 people
Population (ZIP)
3,484
Household income
$42,463
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
3% of renters

Population outlook (Baylor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,534 people
By 2030
3,462 · -2.0%
By 2040
3,321 · -6.0%
By 2050
3,209 · -9.2%
By 2075
3,093 · -12.5%
By 2100
2,597 · -26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baylor

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.1) · D 11.0% · R 88.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.5pp · 2024: -77.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.1 2020: R+77.0 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+64.7 2008: R+54.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-04-16 Listed $54,999 HARMLS

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,329 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…