503 N Cedar St · Seymour, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$54,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FIXER UPPER! Good location! This is being sold AS IS and needs some repairs, but it has a lot of potential. It features three nice sized bedrooms, one bathroom and has easy access to the Main Street. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.
Key facts
- Good location
- 9,365 sq ft lot
- Built 1929
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 6.1% in Seymour — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#191 in TX, #4,884 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Seymour ISD (rural): math 55% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #195 of 826 in TX (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Seymour El (math 52% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 277 students, 65% FRL); Seymour Middle (math 52% / reading 47%, grade C, #356 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 190 students, 64% FRL); Seymour H S (math 74% / reading 54%, grade B-, #199 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 177 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 46% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
- Baylor County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 508 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 508 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.98%
- DSCR
- 3.05
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,500
- List price
- $54,999
- Delta
- -51.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 903 Plainview Rd | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,471 (-10%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $75 | 59 |
| 410 W Miller St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,685 (+3%) | 12mo | $195,000 | $116 | 59 |
| 811 Reeves Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,679 (+3%) | 24mo | $190,000 | $113 | 46 |
| 420 E Mclain St | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,548 (-5%) | 15mo | $110,000 | $71 | 44 |
| 400 S Washington | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-8%) | 23mo | $55,000 | $37 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.74×
- Total profit
- $57,586
- Equity at exit
- $38,914
- IRR
- 52.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.04×
- Total profit
- $139,288
- Equity at exit
- $74,655
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 3 under contract
- Months of supply
- 28.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $110,500 ($81/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 136 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -15.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76380
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,281 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $590
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $621 | -5% $606 | +0% $590 | +5% $575 | +10% $559 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $489 | -5% $539 | +0% $590 | +5% $641 | +10% $691 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $618 | -0.5pp $604 | base $590 | +0.5pp $576 | +1.0pp $561 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $54,999 Active 508 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $54,999 Active 507 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $54,999 Active 505 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $54,999 Active 504 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $54,999 Active 503 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $54,999 Active 502 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $54,999 Active 501 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $54,999 Active 500 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $54,999 Active 499 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $54,999 Active 498 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $54,999 Active 497 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $54,999 Active 496 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $54,999 Active 495 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $54,999 Active 489 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $54,999 Active 488 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $54,999 Active 487 DOM
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2026-09-02days on market $54,999 Active 486 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $54,999 Active 483 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $54,999 Active 482 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $54,999 Active 481 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $54,999 Active 480 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $54,999 Active 479 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $54,999 Active 478 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $54,999 Active 477 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $54,999 Active 476 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $54,999 Active 475 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $54,999 Active 474 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $54,999 Active 473 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $54,999 Active 472 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $54,999 Active 471 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $54,999 Active 470 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $54,999 Active 469 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $54,999 Active 468 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $54,999 Active 466 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $54,999 Active 465 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $54,999 Active 464 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $54,999 Active 463 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $54,999 Active 462 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $54,999 Active 461 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $54,999 Active 460 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $54,999 Active 459 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $54,999 Active 458 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $54,999 Active 457 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $54,999 Active 456 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $54,999 Active 453 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $54,999 Active 452 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $54,999 Active 451 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $54,999 Active 449 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $54,999 Active 448 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $54,999 Active 446 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,375
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,329
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,230
- − Management
- −$1,230
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $6,630
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,591
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,490/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, repainting, landscaping, and fencing repair/replacement. These updates will significantly improve its condition and value, making it a great investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof shows significant wear and tear, indicating a need for replacement.
- Moderate exterior siding — The siding has visible damage and discoloration, requiring repair or replacement.
- Major paint — The paint is peeling and chipping, indicating a need for repainting.
- Major fencing — The fencing is in poor condition, with sections missing or broken, requiring repair or replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New roof — A new roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and overall condition, making it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Repainting — Repainting the exterior will refresh the home's appearance and make it more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape will enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its rental value. ↑
- Both Fencing repair/replacement — A functional and attractive fence will improve the home's safety and security, and also enhance its overall appearance. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seymour ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4839780
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,292
- Composite
- 41.94/100
- National rank
- #3353
- State rank
- #195 of 826 in TX
Livability — Seymour
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #191
- US rank
- #4884
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seymour, TX
- County
- Baylor · 3,534 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,484
- Household income
- $42,463
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3% of renters
Population outlook (Baylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,534 people
- By 2030
- 3,462 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 3,321 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 3,209 · -9.2%
- By 2075
- 3,093 · -12.5%
- By 2100
- 2,597 · -26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.1) · D 11.0% · R 88.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.5pp · 2024: -77.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.1 2020: R+77.0 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+64.7 2008: R+54.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.22%
- Current HPI
- 131.3235
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-03-09 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-04-16 Listed $54,999 HARMLS
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,329 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…