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221 E Elm St
B Composite 72.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$72,500

221 E Elm St · Bladenboro, NC 28320
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1910 0.58 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

As-is investment opportunity in the heart of Bladenboro. This older home offers space and potential for a buyer ready to renovate and restore. Property sold as is; seller to make no repairs. Buyer is advised to conduct all inspections and verify square footage, utilities, zoning, and intended use during the due diligence period.

Key facts

  • 0.58 acre lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional parking
  • Utilities: Utilities: Other; Road frontage on city street and state road
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story, entry on level 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Metal roof; Built as a one-story structure
  • Exterior features: No patio or porch; No fencing; Property has a view

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating; Heat pump
  • Interior features: Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($857/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#339 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bladen County Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #161 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bladenboro Primary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,033 of 1,410 statewide, top 76%, 403 students, 99% FRL); Bladenboro Middle (math 15% / reading 30%, grade F, #410 of 475 statewide, top 87%, 277 students, 99% FRL); West Bladen High (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #374 of 535 statewide, top 71%, 701 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 159 units permitted in Bladen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $297 of equity ($501 loan paydown + $-204 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Bladen County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
14.54%
Cash-on-cash
29.44%
DSCR
2.31
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$198,912
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
201 Gum St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,352 (+1%) 8mo $200,000 $148 76
423 E Poplar St 0.30mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,463 (+9%) 17mo $226,000 $154 50
811 W Seaboard St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,287 (-4%) 11mo $55,000 $43 45
213 Butler Mill Rd 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,146 (-15%) 14mo $47,000 $41 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.28% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$1,718
Equity at exit
$20,039
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$16,784
Equity at exit
$23,294

Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28320

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,185 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$380
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $336/yr
Insurance
$30
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$71

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,095
Max offer price $72,500
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $112 -5% $92 +0% $71 +5% $51 +10% $30
Rent -10% $-22 -5% $25 +0% $71 +5% $118 +10% $165
Rate -1.0pp $108 -0.5pp $90 base $71 +0.5pp $53 +1.0pp $34

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,125
Closing costs
$2,175
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,500 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,500 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,500 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,500 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    remarks 330-char remark
  6. 2026-06-14
    listed $72,500 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$336 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$594 · $50/mo
Expected delta
+$259/yr (+$22/mo · 77.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,223
− Mortgage interest
−$4,061
− Property taxes
−$336
− Insurance
−$5,481
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,138
− Management
−$1,138
− Depreciation
−$2,109
Taxable loss
−$40
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$10
After-tax cash flow
$867/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bladen County Schools
NCES district ID
3700390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$30,769
Composite
20.59/100
National rank
#8554
State rank
#161 of 178 in NC

Livability — Bladenboro

Score
64/100
State rank
#339
US rank
#13715

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bladenboro, NC
Population (ZIP)
7,990

Population outlook (Bladen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,854 people
By 2030
30,171 · -5.3%
By 2040
26,444 · -17.0%
By 2050
22,983 · -27.8%
By 2075
16,165 · -49.3%
By 2100
11,329 · -64.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 3% Two or more races 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bladen

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.5% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+13.7 2016: R+9.5 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.28%
Current HPI
143.3116
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $72,500 Hive MLS

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $336 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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