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2404 Windward Blvd #201
D Composite 42.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$183,900

2404 Windward Blvd #201 · Champaign, IL 61821
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Condo · 103 Days on market
Built 2001 Good condition $153/sqft · 7% below area Est $197k · 7% under $250/mo HOA · 14% of rent ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this beautiful 2 bedroom, 2 bath condo in the desirable Ponds of Windsor! The bright, open living space features a cozy fireplace and brand-new waterproof vinyl flooring that flows throughout. Sliding glass doors lead to a private balcony where you can relax and enjoy peaceful views overlooking Morrissey Park. The spacious primary suite offers a full ensuite bath and double closets, providing plenty of storage. A second bedroom and full bath offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living space. Residents also enjoy access to the community pool-perfect for cooling off and relaxing during the warmer months. With its comfortable layout, scenic views, and great amenities, this condo is a wonderful place to call home!

Key facts

  • $250 HOA
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $184k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-134 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (10.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (4.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in Champaign — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#44 in IL, #902 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Champaign CUSD 4 (urban): math 24% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #333 of 620 in IL (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: International Prep Academy (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,517 of 2,056 statewide, top 78%, 568 students, 0% FRL); Jefferson Middle School (math 9% / reading 18%, grade F, #535 of 665 statewide, top 81%, 738 students, 0% FRL); Central High School (math 32% / reading 38%, grade F, #125 of 693 statewide, top 18%, 1,597 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.3%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 573 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (359 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Champaign County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $164,511 (10.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.12%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,261
List price
$183,900
Delta
-6.77%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-28,876
Equity at exit
$27,420
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$6,825
Equity at exit
$15,900

Cash invested: $51,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61821

Home prices YoY
-26.1%
Rents YoY
9.3%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,756 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$964
Tax est. 1.5%
$230 /mo · $2,758/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$-134

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,925
Max offer price $164,511
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-7 -5% $-70 +0% $-134 +5% $-198 +10% $-261
Rent -10% $-273 -5% $-203 +0% $-134 +5% $-65 +10% $5
Rate -1.0pp $-41 -0.5pp $-87 base $-134 +0.5pp $-182 +1.0pp $-230

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,975
Closing costs
$5,517
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1603 Sandpiper Ct Champaign, IL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,675 $1.40 45d 1 0.48mi
2406 Leeper Dr Unit Aceves 1 Champaign, IL 2.0 1.5 950 $3,000 $3.16 15d 1 0.50mi
1915 S Mattis Ave Champaign, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 971 $1,762 $1.81 15d 11 0.70mi
1924 Melrose Dr Unit C Champaign, IL 3.0 1.0 1039 $1,800 $1.73 15d 1 0.94mi
1920 Melrose Dr Champaign, IL 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,320 $1.16 15d 1 0.95mi
1902 Meadow Dr Champaign, IL 3.0 1.0 898 $1,750 $1.95 15d 1 1.22mi
401 W Curtis Rd Savoy, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 845 $1,475 $1.75 15d 30 1.28mi
101 Misty Cv Savoy, IL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1349 $1,810 $1.34 15d 3 1.41mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$250 · $3,000/yr
Likely covers
waterpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $183,900 Active 103 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $183,900 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    price $183,900 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $186,900 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $186,900 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $186,900 Active 97 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $186,900 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $186,900 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $186,900 Active 92 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $186,900 Active 91 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $186,900 Active 90 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $186,900 Active 89 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $186,900 Active 86 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $186,900 Active 85 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 84 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 83 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 82 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $189,900 Active 81 DOM
  19. 2026-04-28
    price $189,900 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautiful 2 bedroom, 2 bath condo in the desirable Ponds of Windsor! The bright, open living space features a cozy fireplace and brand-new waterproof vinyl flooring that flows throughout. Sliding glass doors lead to a private balcony where you can relax and enjoy peaceful views overlooking Morrissey Park. The spacious primary suite offers a full ensuite bath and double closets, providing plenty of storage. A second bedroom and full bath offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living space. Residents also enjoy access to the community pool-perfect for cooling off and relaxing during the warmer months. With its comfortable layout, scenic views, and great amenities, this condo is a wonderful place to call home!

  20. 2026-04-08
    price $194,000 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautiful 2 bedroom, 2 bath condo in the desirable Ponds of Windsor! The bright, open living space features a cozy fireplace and brand-new waterproof vinyl flooring that flows throughout. Sliding glass doors lead to a private balcony where you can relax and enjoy peaceful views overlooking Morrissey Park. The spacious primary suite offers a full ensuite bath and double closets, providing plenty of storage. A second bedroom and full bath offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living space. Residents also enjoy access to the community pool-perfect for cooling off and relaxing during the warmer months. With its comfortable layout, scenic views, and great amenities, this condo is a wonderful place to call home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,067
− Mortgage interest
−$10,301
− Property taxes
−$2,758
− Insurance
−$920
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,685
− Management
−$1,685
− HOA
−$3,000
− Depreciation
−$5,350
Taxable loss
−$4,633
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,112
After-tax cash flow
$-496/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo is move-in ready with good curb appeal and a bright, open floor plan. Minor exterior painting and updating sliding glass doors can further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can add value
  • Rental Replace sliding glass doors — Improves energy efficiency and safety
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and can attract tech-savvy renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can add value
  • Rental Replace sliding glass doors — Improves energy efficiency and safety
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and can attract tech-savvy renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Champaign CUSD 4
NCES district ID
1709420
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,797
Composite
21.66/100
National rank
#8281
State rank
#333 of 620 in IL

Livability — Champaign

Score
83/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#902

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Champaign, IL
County
Champaign County · 182,148 people
City population
96,852
Metro
Champaign-Urbana, IL
Population (ZIP)
28,611
Household income
$70,715
Rent vs Own
39.0% rent · 61.0% own
Severe rent burden
1023.0

Population outlook (Champaign County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,848 people
By 2030
231,416 · +3.4%
By 2040
244,321 · +9.1%
By 2050
256,432 · +14.6%
By 2075
285,823 · +27.7%
By 2100
296,406 · +32.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 23% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Champaign

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.1) · D 61.3% · R 37.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 24.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.1 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+18.4 2012: D+6.8 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.19%
Current HPI
221.1245
Rent YoY
▲ 9.29%
Metro
Champaign-Urbana, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $189,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $194,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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