2803 N Summit St · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$43,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT PRICE FOR QUICK SALE. SOLD AS-IS. SELLER HAS NO KNOWLEDGE OF PROPERTY CONDITION. SELLERS ADDENDUM TO BE MADE PART OF CONTRACT. SELLER TO SELECT TITLE COMPANY.
Key facts
- 5,700 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1917
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Nearby park and playground
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Concrete driveway; Total parking for 3 vehicles; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Cable available; Internet available
- Home design: Single-family house; Two levels (three stories total); Not attached to other structures; Living area approximately 1,916
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Block foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Private yard; Private entrance; Front porch; Corner lot; City street frontage; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 17x11); Water heater
- Bedrooms: Three upper-level bedrooms (approx. 13x12, 13x11, 14x9); Sun room on upper level (approx. 11x8)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Storage; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $43k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $714 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $43k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.2% vs local median 7.5% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ottawa River Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,193 of 1,584 statewide, top 76%, 321 students, 0% FRL); Woodward High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 672 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $297 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $43k implies a 295% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.17%
- DSCR
- 4.17
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,917
- List price
- $43,000
- Delta
- -4.27%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2401 N Summit St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,846 (-4%) | 11mo | $30,000 | $16 | 68 |
| 2912 N Michigan St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,758 (-8%) | 17mo | $28,500 | $16 | 60 |
| 417 Troy St | 0.10mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,706 (-11%) | 15mo | $92,000 | $54 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 70.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.20×
- Total profit
- $38,555
- Equity at exit
- $6,411
- IRR
- 74.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.67×
- Total profit
- $92,315
- Equity at exit
- $3,718
Cash invested: $12,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43611
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,330 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$225
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,120/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $714
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $738 | -5% $726 | +0% $714 | +5% $702 | +10% $690 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $609 | -5% $662 | +0% $714 | +5% $767 | +10% $819 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $736 | -0.5pp $725 | base $714 | +0.5pp $703 | +1.0pp $692 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,750
- Closing costs
- $1,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 Chicago St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1924 | $1,300 | $0.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1536 N Erie St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1449 N Huron St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,045 | $0.73 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-14status $43,000 Pending 33 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $43,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $43,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $43,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $43,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $43,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $43,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $43,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $43,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $43,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $43,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-04$50,000 Active 543-char remark
-
2025-11-07historical
-
2025-10-14price $10,880
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
GREAT PRICE FOR QUICK SALE. SOLD AS-IS. SELLER HAS NO KNOWLEDGE OF PROPERTY CONDITION. SELLERS ADDENDUM TO BE MADE PART OF CONTRACT. SELLER TO SELECT TITLE COMPANY.
-
2025-10-09price $20,900
-
2025-09-04price $50,000
-
2025-08-18price $58,000
-
2025-08-08$63,000 Active
-
2008-12-06soldstatus $10,880
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
GREAT PRICE FOR QUICK SALE. SOLD AS-IS. SELLER HAS NO KNOWLEDGE OF PROPERTY CONDITION. SELLERS ADDENDUM TO BE MADE PART OF CONTRACT. SELLER TO SELECT TITLE COMPANY.
-
2008-10-10$12,200
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
GREAT PRICE FOR QUICK SALE. SOLD AS-IS. SELLER HAS NO KNOWLEDGE OF PROPERTY CONDITION. SELLERS ADDENDUM TO BE MADE PART OF CONTRACT. SELLER TO SELECT TITLE COMPANY.
-
2005-02-08soldstatus $58,500
-
2003-08-27soldstatus $59,900
-
2003-03-21soldstatus $20,900
-
2003-02-17price $24,500
-
2002-12-19$24,500
-
1998-11-09soldstatus $19,000
-
1995-02-06soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,120 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,120 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,961
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,409
- − Property taxes
- −$1,120
- − Insurance
- −$215
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,277
- − Management
- −$1,277
- − Depreciation
- −$1,251
- Taxable income
- $8,413
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,019
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,550/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,664
- Household income
- $62,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 298.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.15%
- Current HPI
- 245.2841
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+16.2% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $43,000 NORIS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $50,000 NORIS
- 2025-11-07 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $10,880 NORIS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $20,900 NORIS
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $50,000 NORIS
- 2025-08-18 Price Changed $58,000 NORIS
- 2025-08-08 Listed $63,000 NORIS
- 2008-12-06 Sold (MLS) $10,880 NORIS
- 2008-11-11 Price Changed $12,200 NORIS
- 2008-10-10 Listed $12,200 NORIS
- 2005-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
- 2003-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 2003-03-21 Sold (MLS) $20,900 NORIS
- 2003-02-17 Price Changed $24,500 NORIS
- 2002-12-19 Listed $24,500 NORIS
- 1998-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 1995-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,120 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…