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3231 Barker Ave Unit 2A
B Composite 73.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

3231 Barker Ave Unit 2A · New York, NY 10467
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 682 sqft · Condo public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1953 ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 3231 Barker Avenue #2A, a spacious 1-bedroom co-op located on a quiet residential street in the Allerton section of the Bronx. This well-kept home features a functional layout, hardwood floors, and great natural light in a classic brick walk-up building with on-site super and laundry. Conveniently located near the Burke Avenue 2 and 5 subway station, offering direct access to Manhattan and throughout the Bronx and Brooklyn. The Williams Bridge Metro-North station (Harlem Line) is also nearby, providing a quick commute to Grand Central Terminal. Enjoy close proximity to the Bronx River Greenway with walking, biking, and jogging paths, as well as major neighborhood destinations inc

Key facts

  • Natural light
  • On-site super
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSNATURAL LIGHTBRICK WALK-UP BUILDINGON-SITE SUPERLAUNDRYBURKE AVENUE SUBWAY STATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (Con-Edison); Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Water connected
  • Home design: Stock cooperative
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Entry level: 2
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Radiant heating; Steam heating; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Galley-type kitchen; Original natural woodwork; Primary bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,315/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 10930% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,665 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.60%
Cap rate
20.60%
Cash-on-cash
51.09%
DSCR
3.27
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.0%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$65,515
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
62.2%
Equity multiple
9.04×
Total profit
$200,273
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10467

Home prices YoY
-32.8%
Rents YoY
9.2%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,315 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
$153
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$486
Net cashflow
$1,061

Break-even live

Break-even rent $972
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1250 Pelham Pkwy S Unit B Bronx, NY 1.0 1.0 725 $2,850 $3.93 24d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-04
    listed $89,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,783
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,335
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,223
− Management
−$2,223
− HOA
−$1,836
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$12,147
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,915
After-tax cash flow
$9,816/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
96,421
Household income
$49,330
Rent vs Own
85.8% rent · 14.2% own
Severe rent burden
10930.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% Black 28% Two or more races 11% White 9% Asian 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 22%
Foreign-born
39% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
41% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.76%
Current HPI
231.537
Rent YoY
▲ 9.23%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $89,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-28 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-27 Listed $98,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…