🏷️ Likely Rental
3340 Napier Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This cozy 2-1, could be a great addition to your investment portfolio or a great starter home. The house have solid bones and endless possibilities...a hidden gem waiting to be polished. It is ideally located Just minutes away from I-75, Mercer University, restaurants and shops. The house is tenant-occupied and is only being shown to qualified buyers with an accepted contract; please do not disturb the tenants.
Key facts
- Mercer university
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Built 1929
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.90%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,345
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -35.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1142 Lamont St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,436 (+7%) | 4mo | $93,500 | $65 | 70 |
| 3565 Log Cabin Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-3%) | 4mo | $53,000 | $41 | 70 |
| 3178 Napier Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,294 (-3%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $39 | 68 |
| 1025 Mimosa Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,274 (-5%) | 4mo | $97,000 | $76 | 67 |
| 1305 Edna Pl | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,310 (-2%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $50 | 61 |
| 1296 Burton Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,376 (+3%) | 10mo | $62,500 | $45 | 58 |
| 3470 Habersham Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 1,540 (+15%) | 9mo | $27,500 | $18 | 56 |
| 3402 Glynn Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,203 (-10%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $67 | 54 |
| 1045 Mimosa Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+13%) | 5mo | $174,000 | $114 | 52 |
| 3293 Arnwood Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,497 (+12%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $110 | 42 |
| 3533 Greenbriar Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,518 (+13%) | 5mo | $159,900 | $105 | 42 |
| 1269 James St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,150 (-14%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $113 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $27,180
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 47.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.91×
- Total profit
- $75,588
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31204
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,122 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $444/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $538
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $569 | -5% $553 | +0% $538 | +5% $522 | +10% $507 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $449 | -5% $493 | +0% $538 | +5% $582 | +10% $626 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $565 | -0.5pp $552 | base $538 | +0.5pp $523 | +1.0pp $509 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1097 Edna Pl Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1299 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1076 Carlisle Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,065 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1206 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,060 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0501 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0503 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,125 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1208 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1196 Mimosa Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3346 Shaw Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $895 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3096 Sharon Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1850 | $1,050 | $0.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $875 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $799 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3634 Dawn St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $850 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3713 Greenbriar Rd E Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,250 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1515 Burton Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1568 | $1,250 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3775 Grand Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,175 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1528 Wellworth Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 919 Inverness Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1676 | $1,549 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4145 Forest Ave W Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1285 | $1,195 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3840 Napier Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1365 | $1,350 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3834 Mercer St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1208 Fourth Ave W Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $825 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2794 Napier Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $1,175 | $0.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1596 Burton Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $895 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4053 Log Cabin Dr Unit B3 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $749 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3324 Vineville Ave Unit 57C Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $1,050 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3324 Vineville Ave Unit 63B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 201 Ridgewood Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 209 Ridgewood Ave Unit 209 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1460 Brentwood Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1025 Hillyer Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1738 | $1,800 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3330 Ridge Ave Unit D4 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1336 Winton Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $1,350 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2763 Vineville Ave Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2755 Vineville Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3413 Vineville Ave Unit 3419 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4033 N Napier Ave Unit 6 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 133 Auburn Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $895 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3645 Mercer University Dr Macon, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $850 | $0.97 | 44d | 4 | 1.31mi |
| 255 Hawthorn Trl Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1566 | $1,545 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-19status Under Contract 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
This cozy 2-1, could be a great addition to your investment portfolio or a great starter home. The house have solid bones and endless possibilities...a hidden gem waiting to be polished. It is ideally located Just minutes away from I-75, Mercer University, restaurants and shops. The house is tenant-occupied and is only being shown to qualified buyers with an accepted contract; please do not disturb the tenants.
-
2026-03-06$55,000 New 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
This cozy 2-1, could be a great addition to your investment portfolio or a great starter home. The house have solid bones and endless possibilities...a hidden gem waiting to be polished. It is ideally located Just minutes away from I-75, Mercer University, restaurants and shops. The house is tenant-occupied and is only being shown to qualified buyers with an accepted contract; please do not disturb the tenants.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $444 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $506 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- +$62/yr (+$5/mo · 13.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$444
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,077
- − Management
- −$1,077
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $5,906
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,417
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,035/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,421
- Household income
- $38,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2674.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.44%
- Current HPI
- 194.5459
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $55,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+11.1%/yrLatest (2025): $444 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…