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1977 Colington Rd Lot PTN 2
D+ Composite 48.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,000

1977 Colington Rd Lot PTN 2 · Kill Devil Hills, NC 27948
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,259 sqft · Manufactured · 60 Days on market
Built 1985 Good condition 7,000 sqft lot Est $242k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you’ve been waiting for something affordable that doesn’t feel like a total project, this might be your spot. This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home started life as a single-wide, but don’t let that scare you off. .. it’s had a solid glow-up. With an addition for extra space and a series of recent upgrades including a new roof, HVAC, appliances, and flooring, much of the heavy lifting has already been done. Inside, you’ll find a clean, refreshed interior that’s move-in ready, whether you’re looking for employee housing, a primary residence, or a practical investment property. It’s not pretending to be something it’s not… but it is a com

Key facts

  • Hvac
  • Appliances
  • Flooring

Tags

NEW ROOFHVACAPPLIANCESFLOORINGCLEAN REFRESHED INTERIORCONVERTED TO REAL PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community park; Community playground

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Located in Colington Hrbr subdivision; Zoned R-2
  • Exterior features: Outdoor pool; Asphalt roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One partial bathroom
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning; Central electric heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $269k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $269k).
  • Recommended offer: $261k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 1.6% in Kill Devil Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#222 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A, health & safety B+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dare County Schools (town): math 44% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #77 of 178 in NC (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 371 units permitted in Dare County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dare County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $260,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.83%
Cash-on-cash
5.50%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$241,728
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
133 Williams Dr Lot 2 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,385 (+10%) 20mo $266,500 $192 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-25,760
Equity at exit
$40,109
10-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$758
Equity at exit
$23,258

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27948

Home prices YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,790 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,411
Tax est. 1.5%
$336 /mo · $4,035/yr
Insurance
$112
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$586
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,437
Max offer price $269,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,250
Closing costs
$8,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Lexington Ln Unit 106D Kill Devil Hills, NC 3.0 3.0 1321 $2,790 $2.11 4d 1 0.57mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $269,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $269,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $275,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $275,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-04-19
    listed $275,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,480
− Mortgage interest
−$15,068
− Property taxes
−$4,035
− Insurance
−$2,142
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,678
− Management
−$2,678
− Depreciation
−$7,825
Taxable loss
−$948
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$228
After-tax cash flow
$3,571/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 1977 single-wide home has undergone significant renovations, including a new roof, HVAC, appliances, and flooring, making it move-in ready. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for further value enhancement through exterior painting and landscaping.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Reorganizing the interior for better flow — Enhances functionality and appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Reorganizing the interior for better flow — Enhances functionality and appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dare County Schools
NCES district ID
3701110
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$54,233
Composite
39.86/100
National rank
#3866
State rank
#77 of 178 in NC

Livability — Kill Devil Hills

Score
67/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#10501

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,628

Population outlook (Dare County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,201 people
By 2030
40,756 · +4.0%
By 2040
43,015 · +9.7%
By 2050
44,477 · +13.5%
By 2075
48,522 · +23.8%
By 2100
50,980 · +30.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dare

2024 margin
R (+18.8) · D 40.1% · R 58.9%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -18.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.8 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+22.1 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -14.01%
Current HPI
731.56
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-19 Listed $275,000 OBMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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