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1406 E 45th St
C- Composite 53.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,000

1406 E 45th St · Kansas City, MO 64110
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 928 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1922 3,086 sqft lot Est $129k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MOVE-IN READY RAISED RANCH! Fresh paint inside and out welcomes you home. Relax on the covered front porch—the perfect spot to enjoy your favorite beverage. Inside, find beautiful hardwood floors throughout and an updated, light and bright kitchen opened to the dining area, featuring stainless steel appliances and a convenient eat-in bar. The main level offers three comfortable bedrooms and an updated full bath. Basement provides ample space for storage or future finishing possibilities. Ideally located just minutes from the Plaza with easy access to dining, shopping, parks and major highways. Perfect as a primary residence or investment opportunity—don’t miss this one!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Updated full bath
  • Eat-in bar

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHHARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESEAT-IN BARUPDATED FULL BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (2.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); tight market (median 1 DOM); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $117,390 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.21%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,992
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1406 E 45th St 0.00mi 3/1.0 (+1) 928 (0%) 0mo $129,000 $139 95
4314 Paseo Blvd 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 908 (-2%) 7mo $109,500 $121 72
4304 Holmes St 0.59mi 2/1.0 928 (0%) 1mo $220,000 $237 72
4139 Flora Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 894 (-4%) 8mo $79,900 $89 69
1508 E 49th Ter 0.57mi 2/1.0 916 (-1%) 4mo $90,000 $98 68
2303 E 41st St E 0.72mi 2/1.0 918 (-1%) 4mo $80,000 $87 61
4144 Flora Ave 0.38mi 2/1.0 851 (-8%) 9mo $109,000 $128 61
5001 Troostwood Rd 0.68mi 2/1.0 901 (-3%) 3mo $253,000 $281 61
1537 E 50th St 0.66mi 2/1.0 910 (-2%) 7mo $110,000 $121 60
4432 Forest Ave 0.23mi 2/2.0 1,058 (+14%) 5mo $165,000 $156 58
4119 Holmes St 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,060 (+14%) 5mo $269,000 $254 41
620 E 42nd St 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,054 (+14%) 8mo $310,000 $294 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-5,923
Equity at exit
$19,234
10-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$17,489
Equity at exit
$11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64110

Rents YoY
4.0%
Median DOM (111 sales)
1 d
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,255 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $527/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $980
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $290 -5% $254 +0% $217 +5% $181 +10% $144
Rent -10% $118 -5% $167 +0% $217 +5% $267 +10% $316
Rate -1.0pp $282 -0.5pp $250 base $217 +0.5pp $184 +1.0pp $150

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1500 E 46th St Kansas City, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0 803 $1,050 $1.31 44d 1 0.13mi
1214 Brush Creek Blvd Unit 03 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 17d 1 0.17mi
4401 Wayne Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.5 955 $1,300 $1.36 24d 1 0.18mi
4232 Virginia Ave Unit 1 Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 592 $750 $1.27 20d 1 0.31mi
4209 Flora Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 778 $1,200 $1.54 16d 1 0.36mi
4818 Paseo Blvd Unit 1W Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 526 $945 $1.80 24d 1 0.44mi
4818 Paseo Blvd Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 526 $945 $1.80 4d 8 0.46mi
4818 Paseo Blvd Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 526 $945 $1.80 11d 10 0.46mi
4818 The Paseo Unit 3S Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 526 $895 $1.70 24d 1 0.47mi
4818 The Paseo Unit 2N Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 526 $995 $1.89 24d 1 0.47mi
4818 The Paseo Unit 2N Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 526 $945 $1.80 16d 1 0.47mi
820 E 43rd St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 17d 1 0.48mi
1320 E 49th St Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 550 $1,000 $1.82 3d 2 0.48mi
4119 Forest Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,400 $1.47 13d 1 0.49mi
4154 Harrison St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 44d 1 0.51mi
815 E 42nd St Unit 815-3W Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 650 $1,050 $1.62 8d 1 0.55mi
817 E 42nd St Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 650 $1,050 $1.62 4d 1 0.55mi
809 E 42nd St Unit 809-3W Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 650 $1,050 $1.62 44d 1 0.56mi
4925 Tracy Ave Unit 1 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 44d 1 0.57mi
801 E 42nd St Unit 3E Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $965 $1.38 4d 1 0.57mi
4023 Harrison St Unit 4021-2N Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,295 $1.52 24d 1 0.65mi
4023 Harrison St Unit 40232-S Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,250 $1.47 24d 1 0.65mi
607 E 42nd St Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 625 $1,150 $1.84 4d 3 0.66mi
4201 Kenwood Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $919 $1.23 21d 2 0.67mi
4013 Charlotte St Unit 1N Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 24d 1 0.73mi
2305 E 41st St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,000 $1.33 8d 1 0.76mi
4228 Locust St Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $1,095 $1.56 8d 1 0.78mi
4930 Park Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 16d 1 0.79mi
3933 Charlotte St Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 575 $875 $1.52 21d 1 0.80mi
406 E 43rd St Unit 3E Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,675 $1.52 44d 1 0.80mi
4308 Oak St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 531 $1,600 $3.01 3d 1 0.80mi
319 E 43rd St Unit 1 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,470 $1.34 15d 1 0.81mi
918 E 39th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,175 $1.12 44d 1 0.83mi
4800 Oak St Kansas City, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 967 $1,940 $2.00 2d 18 0.86mi
303 Brush Creek Blvd Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 575 $950 $1.65 44d 6 0.86mi
4550 Warwick Blvd #909 Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 4d 1 0.87mi
3933 Kenwood Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 1050 $2,295 $2.19 4d 1 0.87mi
4515 Walnut St Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 780 $2,055 $2.63 2d 12 0.89mi
4534 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 912 $1,045 $1.15 16d 1 0.91mi
3909 Kenwood Ave #1 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 875 $1,295 $1.48 8d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-22
    listed $129,000 Active
  3. 2025-10-30
    historical
  4. 2025-09-10
    status Active
  5. 2025-08-25
    status Pending
  6. 2025-06-11
    price $139,000
  7. 2025-04-25
    price $144,000
  8. 2025-03-07
    listed $149,000 Active
  9. 2025-03-07
    historical
  10. 2024-12-05
    listed $149,000 Active
  11. 2024-08-02
    historical
  12. 2024-05-22
    listed $155,000 Active
  13. 2017-02-22
    soldstatus
  14. 2017-02-15
    soldstatus Sold
  15. 2017-01-28
    status Pending
  16. 2016-10-07
    listed $35,000 Active
  17. 2015-09-08
    soldstatus
  18. 2015-05-04
    listed $30,000
  19. 2014-04-11
    soldstatus
  20. 2014-04-11
    soldstatus
  21. 2014-04-10
    soldstatus
  22. 2014-03-10
    listed $16,500
  23. 2013-04-08
    soldstatus
  24. 2010-05-17
    historical
  25. 2010-04-05
    listed $39,000
  26. 2007-12-03
    soldstatus
  27. 2007-10-26
    soldstatus
  28. 2007-03-10
    listed $19,900
  29. 2004-10-01
    soldstatus
  30. 1997-08-18
    soldstatus
  31. 1995-10-12
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$527 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,251 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$724/yr (+$60/mo · 137.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,056
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$527
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,204
− Management
−$1,204
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable income
$496
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$119
After-tax cash flow
$2,485/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
16,878
Household income
$63,044
Rent vs Own
52.2% rent · 47.8% own
Severe rent burden
962.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 34% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -514.37%
Current HPI
371.8501
Rent YoY
▲ 3.95%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+548.2% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $129,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-30 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-10 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-25 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-11 Price Changed $139,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-25 Price Changed $144,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-07 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-07 Listed $149,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-05 Listed $149,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-02 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-22 Listed $155,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-02-15 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-28 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-07 Listed $35,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-08 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-04 Listed $30,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-04-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-04-10 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-03-10 Listed $16,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-05-17 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-04-05 Listed $39,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-12-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-10-26 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-03-10 Listed $19,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-10-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-08-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-10-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $527 · -45.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…