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7649 Georgia Ave
B- Composite 68.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

7649 Georgia Ave · Leeds, AL 35094
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1940 5,227 sqft lot $51/sqft · 59% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom home in the heart of Leeds! Situated 1 mile from downtown Leeds shopping, local schools, multiple parks, recreation courts, restaurants and more. Easy interstate accessibility within just two miles, as well! This home has a detached storage building to remain and an expansive back yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. This property is perfect for a DIY enthusiast or investor looking for an excellent opportunity to own a home close to everything, come see for yourself while it lasts!

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 73 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 4.2% in Leeds — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#286 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Leeds City (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #51 of 129 in AL (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,606 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.27%
Cap rate
19.03%
Cash-on-cash
45.50%
DSCR
3.02
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,302
List price
$54,900
Delta
-58.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7578 Alabama Ave 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,031 (-4%) 1mo $85,000 $82 83
7562 Alabama Ave 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-7%) 11mo $115,000 $114 77
7767 Martin Luther King Dr 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,010 (-6%) 7mo $113,000 $112 71
1945 Arkansas St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,045 (-3%) 7mo $190,000 $182 66
7635 Cahaba Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,128 (+4%) 12mo $125,000 $111 64
8110 Skinner Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,172 (+8%) 1mo $195,000 $166 60
1900 Self St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,037 (-4%) 7mo $175,500 $169 57
7700 Michael Cir 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,125 (+4%) 13mo $199,900 $178 56
8148 Lyle Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 989 (-8%) 8mo $179,900 $182 47
1904 Self St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,004 (-7%) 8mo $157,000 $156 47
1824 Linden St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,080 (0%) 21mo $250,000 $231 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.7%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$28,257
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
48.8%
Equity multiple
5.72×
Total profit
$72,538
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35094

Home prices YoY
-9.7%
Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,247 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,101/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$583

Break-even live

Break-even rent $509
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1400 Illinois St Leeds, AL 3.0 1.5 995 $1,200 $1.21 19d 1 0.75mi
1609 Ray St Leeds, AL 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,200 $1.13 2d 1 0.81mi
8010 4th Ave Apt 114 Leeds, AL 2.0 1.0 1008 $690 $0.68 44d 1 1.00mi
8010 4th Ave Unit 120 Leeds, AL 2.0 1.0 1008 $615 $0.61 16d 1 1.01mi
8010 4th Ave Unit 202 Leeds, AL 2.0 1.0 1008 $595 $0.59 3d 1 1.01mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,900 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,900 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,900 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,900 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $54,900 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,900 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $54,900 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    price $59,900 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom home in the heart of Leeds! Situated 1 mile from downtown Leeds shopping, local schools, multiple parks, recreation courts, restaurants and more. Easy interstate accessibility within just two miles, as well! This home has a detached storage building to remain and an expansive back yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. This property is perfect for a DIY enthusiast or investor looking for an excellent opportunity to own a home close to everything, come see for yourself while it lasts!

  16. 2026-04-20
    price $64,900 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom home in the heart of Leeds! Situated 1 mile from downtown Leeds shopping, local schools, multiple parks, recreation courts, restaurants and more. Easy interstate accessibility within just two miles, as well! This home has a detached storage building to remain and an expansive back yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. This property is perfect for a DIY enthusiast or investor looking for an excellent opportunity to own a home close to everything, come see for yourself while it lasts!

  17. 2026-04-09
    price $68,000 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom home in the heart of Leeds! Situated 1 mile from downtown Leeds shopping, local schools, multiple parks, recreation courts, restaurants and more. Easy interstate accessibility within just two miles, as well! This home has a detached storage building to remain and an expansive back yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. This property is perfect for a DIY enthusiast or investor looking for an excellent opportunity to own a home close to everything, come see for yourself while it lasts!

  18. 2026-04-06
    listed $72,000 Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom home in the heart of Leeds! Situated 1 mile from downtown Leeds shopping, local schools, multiple parks, recreation courts, restaurants and more. Easy interstate accessibility within just two miles, as well! This home has a detached storage building to remain and an expansive back yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. This property is perfect for a DIY enthusiast or investor looking for an excellent opportunity to own a home close to everything, come see for yourself while it lasts!

  19. 2026-03-10
    price $48,700
  20. 2026-02-23
    price $53,400
  21. 2026-02-06
    price $63,600
  22. 2026-01-21
    listed $80,600 Active
  23. 2005-11-08
    soldstatus $55,000
  24. 1992-07-01
    soldstatus $12,500
  25. 1987-04-01
    soldstatus $19,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,101 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,101 · $92/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,967
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$1,101
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,197
− Management
−$1,197
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$6,525
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,566
After-tax cash flow
$5,428/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Leeds City
NCES district ID
0100011
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$50,367
Composite
28.21/100
National rank
#6803
State rank
#51 of 129 in AL

Livability — Leeds

Score
60/100
State rank
#286
US rank
#18674

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Leeds, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
14,854
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
14,854
Household income
$74,625
Rent vs Own
23.1% rent · 76.9% own
Severe rent burden
248.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.99%
Current HPI
223.9527
Rent YoY
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+215.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $64,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $68,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $72,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $48,700 WAMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $53,400 WAMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $63,600 WAMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $80,600 WAMLS
  • 2005-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1992-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
  • 1987-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,101 · +121.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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