7649 Georgia Ave · Leeds, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom home in the heart of Leeds! Situated 1 mile from downtown Leeds shopping, local schools, multiple parks, recreation courts, restaurants and more. Easy interstate accessibility within just two miles, as well! This home has a detached storage building to remain and an expansive back yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. This property is perfect for a DIY enthusiast or investor looking for an excellent opportunity to own a home close to everything, come see for yourself while it lasts!
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 73 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 4.2% in Leeds — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#286 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Leeds City (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #51 of 129 in AL (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.50%
- DSCR
- 3.02
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,302
- List price
- $54,900
- Delta
- -58.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7578 Alabama Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,031 (-4%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $82 | 83 |
| 7562 Alabama Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-7%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $114 | 77 |
| 7767 Martin Luther King Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (-6%) | 7mo | $113,000 | $112 | 71 |
| 1945 Arkansas St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,045 (-3%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $182 | 66 |
| 7635 Cahaba Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,128 (+4%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $111 | 64 |
| 8110 Skinner Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,172 (+8%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $166 | 60 |
| 1900 Self St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,037 (-4%) | 7mo | $175,500 | $169 | 57 |
| 7700 Michael Cir | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (+4%) | 13mo | $199,900 | $178 | 56 |
| 8148 Lyle Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 989 (-8%) | 8mo | $179,900 | $182 | 47 |
| 1904 Self St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,004 (-7%) | 8mo | $157,000 | $156 | 47 |
| 1824 Linden St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (0%) | 21mo | $250,000 | $231 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $28,257
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- 48.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.72×
- Total profit
- $72,538
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35094
- Home prices YoY
- -9.7%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,247 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,101/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $583
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1400 Illinois St Leeds, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 995 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1609 Ray St Leeds, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8010 4th Ave Apt 114 Leeds, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $690 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8010 4th Ave Unit 120 Leeds, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $615 | $0.61 | 16d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8010 4th Ave Unit 202 Leeds, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $595 | $0.59 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $54,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $54,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $54,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $59,900 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom home in the heart of Leeds! Situated 1 mile from downtown Leeds shopping, local schools, multiple parks, recreation courts, restaurants and more. Easy interstate accessibility within just two miles, as well! This home has a detached storage building to remain and an expansive back yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. This property is perfect for a DIY enthusiast or investor looking for an excellent opportunity to own a home close to everything, come see for yourself while it lasts!
-
2026-04-20price $64,900 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom home in the heart of Leeds! Situated 1 mile from downtown Leeds shopping, local schools, multiple parks, recreation courts, restaurants and more. Easy interstate accessibility within just two miles, as well! This home has a detached storage building to remain and an expansive back yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. This property is perfect for a DIY enthusiast or investor looking for an excellent opportunity to own a home close to everything, come see for yourself while it lasts!
-
2026-04-09price $68,000 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom home in the heart of Leeds! Situated 1 mile from downtown Leeds shopping, local schools, multiple parks, recreation courts, restaurants and more. Easy interstate accessibility within just two miles, as well! This home has a detached storage building to remain and an expansive back yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. This property is perfect for a DIY enthusiast or investor looking for an excellent opportunity to own a home close to everything, come see for yourself while it lasts!
-
2026-04-06$72,000 Active 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom home in the heart of Leeds! Situated 1 mile from downtown Leeds shopping, local schools, multiple parks, recreation courts, restaurants and more. Easy interstate accessibility within just two miles, as well! This home has a detached storage building to remain and an expansive back yard perfect for outdoor entertainment. This property is perfect for a DIY enthusiast or investor looking for an excellent opportunity to own a home close to everything, come see for yourself while it lasts!
-
2026-03-10price $48,700
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2026-02-23price $53,400
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2026-02-06price $63,600
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2026-01-21$80,600 Active
-
2005-11-08soldstatus $55,000
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1992-07-01soldstatus $12,500
-
1987-04-01soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,101 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,101 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,967
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$1,101
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,197
- − Management
- −$1,197
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $6,525
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,566
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,428/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leeds City
- NCES district ID
- 0100011
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,367
- Composite
- 28.21/100
- National rank
- #6803
- State rank
- #51 of 129 in AL
Livability — Leeds
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #286
- US rank
- #18674
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leeds, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 14,854
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,854
- Household income
- $74,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 248.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.99%
- Current HPI
- 223.9527
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+215.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $64,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $68,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $72,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $48,700 WAMLS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $53,400 WAMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $63,600 WAMLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $80,600 WAMLS
- 2005-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1992-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
- 1987-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,101 · +121.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…