2235A Moncrieff St · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This renovated 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has all the luxuries of a new home with new carpet, fresh paint, and new appliances. This is a great home for a 1st time buyer or investor.
Key facts
- 0.37 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1980
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 364 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $125k implies a 598% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.52%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,340
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -13.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4104 Short Leaf Ct | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+11%) | 4mo | $148,000 | $148 | 47 |
| 4101 Short Leaf Ct | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+11%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $110 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-5,035
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $4,086
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30906
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 364
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,482 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $307
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3731 Peach Orchard Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,190 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3731 Peach Orchard Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,220 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-04-09$125,000 New 177-char remark
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
This renovated 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has all the luxuries of a new home with new carpet, fresh paint, and new appliances. This is a great home for a 1st time buyer or investor.
-
2026-04-09$125,000 Active 177-char remark
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
This renovated 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has all the luxuries of a new home with new carpet, fresh paint, and new appliances. This is a great home for a 1st time buyer or investor.
-
2026-02-13price $19,900
-
2025-02-02historical
-
2024-12-30$319,900
-
2010-06-10soldstatus $17,900 Closed
-
2010-06-10soldstatus $17,900
-
2010-03-30$19,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,782
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,423
- − Management
- −$1,423
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,799
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$432
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,250/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is move-in ready with new appliances, updated cabinetry, and fresh paint. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for further value enhancement through exterior and landscaping improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
- Both New outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
- Both New outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond County
- NCES district ID
- 1304380
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,069
- Composite
- 13.43/100
- National rank
- #9524
- State rank
- #154 of 174 in GA
Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
- County
- Richmond County · 190,917 people
- City population
- 154,035
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,423
- Household income
- $45,999
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3363.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 200,753 people
- By 2030
- 200,232 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 196,813 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 190,347 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 172,496 · -14.1%
- By 2100
- 146,284 · -27.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.99%
- Current HPI
- 213.5733
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+528.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $125,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $19,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-02-02 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2024-12-30 Listed $319,900 Hive MLS
- 2010-06-10 Sold (MLS) $17,900 Hive MLS
- 2010-06-10 Sold (MLS) $17,900 Hive MLS
- 2010-03-30 Listed $19,900 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…