43010 SE North Bend Way #65 · North Bend, WA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BRAND NEW home in the highly desirable Mount Si Mobile Home Park in the heart of North Bend! This thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom, 1-bath home features an open-concept layout with spacious living, dining, and kitchen areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Situated on a generously sized lot with 2 parking spaces, this home offers a peaceful mountain-town lifestyle just minutes from I-90, downtown North Bend, shopping, restaurants, hiking trails, and the natural beauty of the Snoqualmie Valley. Enjoy living in one of the area’s most well-maintained and sought-after parks. Lot rent is $1150/ month.
Key facts
- Generously sized lot
- Open-concept layout
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Manufactured home park approved for sale; Mobile home remains on site
- Financial info: Land lease: $1,150; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in Mount Si Mobile Home Park with about 85 homes; Park amenities include common area and playground; Land lease applicable
Exterior
- Parking: 2 open (uncovered) parking spaces
- Utilities: Community water; Community sewer; Puget Sound Energy for power; Xfinity internet
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One level; Residential property in very good condition; Has a view
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Tie down foundation
- Exterior features: Wood products siding; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl plank; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Entry; Living room; Kitchen with eating space; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Laundry & utility: Tie down foundation (manufactured home)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $134k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $922 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 1.5% in North Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#187 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Snoqualmie Valley School District (town): math 73% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #5 of 291 in WA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Mount Si High School (2,081 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools at 13% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $930 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.51%
- DSCR
- 2.40
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $95,648
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43010 SE North Bend Way #53 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (-0%) | 3mo | $94,800 | $122 | 94 |
| 43010 SE North Bend Way #29 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-7%) | 10mo | $94,900 | $130 | 77 |
| 43010 SE North Bend Way #40 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $89 | 72 |
| 43010 SE North Bend Way #51 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 715 (-9%) | 23mo | $50,000 | $70 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $37,028
- Equity at exit
- $20,054
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $108,203
- Equity at exit
- $11,629
Cash invested: $37,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95045
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,428 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$705
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$168 /mo · $2,018/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$510
- Net cashflow
- $922
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,015 | -5% $969 | +0% $922 | +5% $876 | +10% $829 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $731 | -5% $826 | +0% $922 | +5% $1,018 | +10% $1,114 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $990 | -0.5pp $957 | base $922 | +0.5pp $888 | +1.0pp $852 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,625
- Closing costs
- $4,035
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1835 SE 136th St North Bend, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1151 | $3,329 | $2.89 | 0d | 4 | 0.61mi |
| 530 E North Bend Way North Bend, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 649 | $2,250 | $3.47 | 0d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 415 Healy Ave S Apt 111 North Bend, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $2,150 | $2.55 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 226 Cedar Ave S Unit 4 North Bend, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,795 | $2.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $134,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $134,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $134,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$134,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥84°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,534
- − Property taxes
- −$2,018
- − Insurance
- −$1,470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,331
- − Management
- −$2,331
- − Depreciation
- −$3,913
- Taxable income
- $9,542
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,290
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,778/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This well-maintained and updated mobile home in a desirable park offers a peaceful mountain-town lifestyle with modern amenities and a good condition score.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality
- Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances aesthetics and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances aesthetics and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Snoqualmie Valley School District
- NCES district ID
- 5308040
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 80% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $106,540
- Composite
- 71.07/100
- National rank
- #481
- State rank
- #5 of 291 in WA
Livability — North Bend
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #5052
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Bend, WA
- City population
- 15,289
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,291
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 45% Two or more races 23% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 31% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.07%
- Current HPI
- 194.9664
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $134,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…