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996 Riverside Rd
B Composite 70.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$95,000

996 Riverside Rd · Hollandale, MS 38748
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,847 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1970 1.96 ac lot $51/sqft · 24% below area Est $125k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1.96 Acres and 3 bedroom, 2 bath home right across the street from Riverside High School. Large 30 x 60 open/metal shed in back yard. This is a great investment property. Call Chevy today for more info.

Key facts

  • Investment property
  • Open metal shed
  • 1.96 acre lot

Tags

OPEN METAL SHEDINVESTMENT PROPERTYRIVERSIDE HIGH SCHOOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#202 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Western Line School District (rural): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #84 of 130 in MS (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $564 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
8.88%
Cash-on-cash
9.23%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$124,680
List price
$95,000
Delta
-23.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

0.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$12,987
Equity at exit
$30,438
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$43,876
Equity at exit
$38,951

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38748

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,163 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,117/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $904
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $95,000 Pending 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-03-18
    listed $95,000 Active 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    1.96 Acres and 3 bedroom, 2 bath home right across the street from Riverside High School. Large 30 x 60 open/metal shed in back yard. This is a great investment property. Call Chevy today for more info.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,117 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,117 · $176/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,957
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$2,117
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,117
− Management
−$1,117
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,046
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$251
After-tax cash flow
$2,204/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Western Line School District
NCES district ID
2804680
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$35,488
Composite
19.4/100
National rank
#8780
State rank
#84 of 130 in MS

Livability — Hollandale

Score
61/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#18250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,047

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,424 people
By 2030
38,061 · -8.1%
By 2040
31,752 · -23.3%
By 2050
26,394 · -36.3%
By 2075
17,180 · -58.5%
By 2100
12,936 · -68.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 24%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid D (+35.0) · D 67.0% · R 32.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 35.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+35.0 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.4 2012: D+42.7 2008: D+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.59%
Current HPI
56.0958
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $95,000 Greenville Area MLS

Property tax history

+14.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,117 · -10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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