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8121 Livingston St
B Composite 74.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$175,000

8121 Livingston St · Houston, TX 77051
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,394 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 2009 5,000 sqft lot Est $195k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fix-and-flip opportunity in Sunnyside Place. This 2009-built, one-story home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1,394 sq ft, a 1-car attached garage, and a 5,000 sq ft lot in the Medical Center South area. Property is ready for renovation and offers potential for resale, rental, or owner-occupant improvement. Great rental property for a buy and hold or a flip since the house is a 4 bedroom 2 bathroom. Bring your remodeling vision and unlock the potential in this well-located Houston property.

Key facts

  • 5,000 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2009

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Tax information provided (annual tax shown separately)
  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: Details not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Security: Details not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 2009; Slab foundation; Living area approximately 1,394
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Details not provided
  • Bedrooms: Details not provided
  • Flooring: Details not provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Seller disclosure available
  • Laundry & utility: Details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,193/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1446% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,375 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.70%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$195,160
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8230 Woodward St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,347 (-3%) 10mo $155,000 $115 78
8002 Colonial Ln 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,447 (+4%) 9mo $235,000 $162 77
8436 Lawler St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,334 (-4%) 9mo $177,900 $133 71
8110 Parnell St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+8%) 12mo $205,000 $136 65
3802 Rebecca St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,348 (-3%) 4mo $189,000 $140 65
8017 Comal St 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+10%) 9mo $170,000 $111 64
3928 Mckinley St 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,478 (+6%) 13mo $235,000 $159 59
3536 Rebecca St 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,332 (-4%) 4mo $240,000 $180 56
4211 Knoxville St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,288 (-8%) 7mo $179,900 $140 44
3454 Bacon St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,278 (-8%) 11mo $255,000 $200 44
7634 Lady St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,270 (-9%) 12mo $120,000 $94 38
4423 Stassen St 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,188 (-15%) 8mo $149,000 $125 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$122,047
Equity at exit
$157,654
10-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
8.15×
Total profit
$350,548
Equity at exit
$339,987

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77051

Home prices YoY
9.7%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
312
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,193 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$386 /mo · $4,634/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$355

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,743
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $454 -5% $405 +0% $355 +5% $306 +10% $256
Rent -10% $182 -5% $269 +0% $355 +5% $442 +10% $528
Rate -1.0pp $443 -0.5pp $400 base $355 +0.5pp $310 +1.0pp $264

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8010 Livingston St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 44d 1 0.09mi
3620 Du Bois St Unit 1302349P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1797 $2,945 $1.64 3d 1 0.14mi
8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,800 $1.87 21d 1 0.21mi
7806 Comal St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,200 $1.22 44d 1 0.28mi
4117 Shelby Cir Unit 1230900P Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1367 $5,253 $3.84 0d 1 0.43mi
3137 W Bellfort Ave Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1164 $1,802 $1.55 44d 1 0.71mi
4406 Sterling St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1840 $1,999 $1.09 17d 1 0.72mi
3732 Seabrook St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1727 $2,350 $1.36 25d 1 0.80mi
3846 Seabrook St Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1833 $2,300 $1.25 44d 1 0.81mi
3655 Seabrook St Unit 6 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,000 $0.62 44d 1 0.83mi
7321 Conley St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1501 $2,025 $1.35 21d 1 0.90mi
7321 Conley St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1869 $2,025 $1.08 21d 1 0.90mi
4601 White Rock St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 44d 1 0.90mi
4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1302 $1,800 $1.38 44d 1 0.91mi
8521 Dosia St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,665 $1.62 13d 1 0.91mi
4609 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1300 $3,500 $2.69 13d 1 0.93mi
4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $3,200 $2.91 13d 1 0.93mi
4609 Bricker St Unit ABC Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1375 $3,500 $2.55 12d 1 0.93mi
8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1356 $2,262 $1.67 0d 47 0.94mi
8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1241 $2,041 $1.64 25d 18 0.94mi
4514 Galesburg St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1680 $3,500 $2.08 25d 1 0.94mi
4613 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,300 $1.44 44d 1 0.94mi
3088 Holly Hall St Unit 1 Houston, TX 2.0 2.5 1600 $1,750 $1.09 15d 1 0.99mi
4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1474 $1,775 $1.20 15d 1 1.00mi
2968 Holly Hall St Houston, TX 2.0 3.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 44d 1 1.00mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,529 $1.38 8d 1 1.04mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,553 $1.41 11d 1 1.04mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 8440 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,558 $1.41 44d 1 1.04mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 2165 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,559 $1.41 0d 1 1.04mi
2924 Holly Hall St Houston, TX 2.0 3.0 1600 $1,950 $1.22 44d 1 1.05mi
8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1304 $2,250 $1.73 25d 1 1.05mi
2889 Reed Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 997 $1,648 $1.65 3d 2 1.09mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 8357 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,289 $1.33 11d 1 1.09mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,265 $1.30 8d 1 1.09mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,265 $1.30 6d 1 1.09mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 2112 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,295 $1.34 0d 1 1.09mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,300 $1.34 11d 1 1.09mi
2700 Holly Hall St Unit 2737 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1720 $1,762 $1.02 0d 1 1.15mi
2656 Holly Hall St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1850 $2,206 $1.19 44d 1 1.18mi
7379 Ardmore St Unit 1303 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1442 $1,967 $1.36 44d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $175,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-05-19
    listed $175,000 Active
  13. 1988-01-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,634 · $386/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,634 · $386/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,311
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$4,634
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,105
− Management
−$2,105
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$1,698
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$407
After-tax cash flow
$3,856/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,795
Household income
$37,415
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
1446.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.02%
Current HPI
180.4283
Rent YoY
▲ 4.77%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
  • 1988-01-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,634 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…