8121 Livingston St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fix-and-flip opportunity in Sunnyside Place. This 2009-built, one-story home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1,394 sq ft, a 1-car attached garage, and a 5,000 sq ft lot in the Medical Center South area. Property is ready for renovation and offers potential for resale, rental, or owner-occupant improvement. Great rental property for a buy and hold or a flip since the house is a 4 bedroom 2 bathroom. Bring your remodeling vision and unlock the potential in this well-located Houston property.
Key facts
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2009
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Tax information provided (annual tax shown separately)
- Financial info: Lease not considered
- HOA & community: Details not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: Details not provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 2009; Slab foundation; Living area approximately 1,394
- Construction: Brick and wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Details not provided
- Bedrooms: Details not provided
- Flooring: Details not provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Seller disclosure available
- Laundry & utility: Details not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,193/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1446% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.70%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,160
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8230 Woodward St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,347 (-3%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $115 | 78 |
| 8002 Colonial Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,447 (+4%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $162 | 77 |
| 8436 Lawler St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (-4%) | 9mo | $177,900 | $133 | 71 |
| 8110 Parnell St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+8%) | 12mo | $205,000 | $136 | 65 |
| 3802 Rebecca St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (-3%) | 4mo | $189,000 | $140 | 65 |
| 8017 Comal St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+10%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $111 | 64 |
| 3928 Mckinley St | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,478 (+6%) | 13mo | $235,000 | $159 | 59 |
| 3536 Rebecca St | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,332 (-4%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $180 | 56 |
| 4211 Knoxville St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (-8%) | 7mo | $179,900 | $140 | 44 |
| 3454 Bacon St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,278 (-8%) | 11mo | $255,000 | $200 | 44 |
| 7634 Lady St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,270 (-9%) | 12mo | $120,000 | $94 | 38 |
| 4423 Stassen St | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-15%) | 8mo | $149,000 | $125 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 4.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $122,047
- Equity at exit
- $157,654
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.15×
- Total profit
- $350,548
- Equity at exit
- $339,987
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77051
- Home prices YoY
- 9.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,193 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$386 /mo · $4,634/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $454 | -5% $405 | +0% $355 | +5% $306 | +10% $256 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $182 | -5% $269 | +0% $355 | +5% $442 | +10% $528 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $443 | -0.5pp $400 | base $355 | +0.5pp $310 | +1.0pp $264 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8010 Livingston St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3620 Du Bois St Unit 1302349P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $2,945 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 7806 Comal St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4117 Shelby Cir Unit 1230900P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $5,253 | $3.84 | 0d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3137 W Bellfort Ave Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,802 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4406 Sterling St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $1,999 | $1.09 | 17d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3732 Seabrook St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1727 | $2,350 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3846 Seabrook St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1833 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3655 Seabrook St Unit 6 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,000 | $0.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7321 Conley St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,025 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7321 Conley St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $2,025 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4601 White Rock St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 8521 Dosia St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,665 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $3,500 | $2.69 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit ABC Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1375 | $3,500 | $2.55 | 12d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1356 | $2,262 | $1.67 | 0d | 47 | 0.94mi |
| 8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1241 | $2,041 | $1.64 | 25d | 18 | 0.94mi |
| 4514 Galesburg St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $3,500 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4613 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3088 Holly Hall St Unit 1 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,775 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2968 Holly Hall St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8383 El Mundo St Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,529 | $1.38 | 8d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8383 El Mundo St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,553 | $1.41 | 11d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8383 El Mundo St Unit 8440 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,558 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8383 El Mundo St Unit 2165 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,559 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2924 Holly Hall St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $1,950 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1304 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2889 Reed Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 997 | $1,648 | $1.65 | 3d | 2 | 1.09mi |
| 8300 El Mundo St Unit 8357 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,289 | $1.33 | 11d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8300 El Mundo St Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,265 | $1.30 | 8d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8300 El Mundo St Unit 424 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,265 | $1.30 | 6d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8300 El Mundo St Unit 2112 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,295 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8300 El Mundo St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,300 | $1.34 | 11d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2700 Holly Hall St Unit 2737 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $1,762 | $1.02 | 0d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2656 Holly Hall St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,206 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7379 Ardmore St Unit 1303 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $1,967 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $175,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$175,000 Active
-
1988-01-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,634 · $386/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,634 · $386/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,311
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$4,634
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,105
- − Management
- −$2,105
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $1,698
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$407
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,856/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,795
- Household income
- $37,415
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1446.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.02%
- Current HPI
- 180.4283
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.77%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,634 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…