300 Saint Louis St · Madison, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +2.2/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$697,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under Construction-Come home to The Heights of Town Madison! The Sumter I Plan features 3 Bedrooms with 2.5 baths and over 3,000 sqft of luxury living space. The foyer enters to an open living design featuring the living room with gas fireplace & flanking built-in bookshelves, a gourmet kitchen w/elegant designer cabinets and quartz countertops. Enjoy 2 large bonus rooms, 1 on each floor. Rear entry 2-car garage w/large additional storage space on the side of the home.Enjoy the convenient proximity to restaurant, shops,& entertainment! Pool & Fitness Center! Ask about our Buyer Incentives!
Key facts
- 4,800 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 819 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $698k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-30k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (63.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (57.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $254k (63.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 2.0% vs local median 2.6% in Madison — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($117k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $75k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $70k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$120k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 819 days — a 12% lower offer ($614k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 819 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 64% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.42% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -15.42%
- DSCR
- 0.31
- GRM
- 19.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $781,749
- List price
- $697,900
- Delta
- -10.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Remington Rd | 0.23mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,365 (+2%) | 2mo | $550,000 | $163 | 75 |
| 137 Heritage Ln | 0.21mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 3,299 (-0%) | 12mo | $580,000 | $176 | 72 |
| 109 Spinnaker Cir | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 3,334 (+1%) | 0mo | $595,000 | $178 | 67 |
| 104 Lakeshore Dr | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 3,263 (-1%) | 12mo | $615,000 | $188 | 66 |
| 373 Saint Louis St | 0.39mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,141 (-5%) | 1mo | $905,800 | $288 | 64 |
| 353 Saint Louis St | 0.25mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,628 (+10%) | 0mo | $1,105,000 | $305 | 63 |
| 106 Sugar Leaf Ct | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 3,007 (-9%) | 14mo | $500,000 | $166 | 60 |
| 100 Lake View Cir | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 3,144 (-5%) | 6mo | $567,000 | $180 | 60 |
| 140 Bourbon Aly | 0.10mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,840 (-14%) | 4mo | $645,000 | $227 | 59 |
| 375 Saint Louis St | 0.41mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,116 (-6%) | 11mo | $869,900 | $279 | 53 |
| 377 Saint Louis St | 0.42mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,055 (-8%) | 11mo | $859,900 | $281 | 50 |
| 366 Saint Louis St | 0.33mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,825 (-15%) | 9mo | $788,716 | $279 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $216,010
- Equity at exit
- $628,724
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.86×
- Total profit
- $754,063
- Equity at exit
- $1,355,866
Cash invested: $195,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35758
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 382
- Price-to-rent
- 19.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,958 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,660
- Tax from tax record
- −$831 /mo · $9,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$291
- HOA
- −$67
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $-2,512
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,475
- Closing costs
- $20,937
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Napolean Ave Madison, AL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2761 | $3,650 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 107 Poydras St Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2457 | $3,450 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 531 Town Madison Blvd Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2332 | $3,195 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $67 · $804/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspoolgym
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $697,900 Active 819 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $697,900 Active 818 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $697,900 Active 817 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $697,900 Active 816 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $697,900 Active 814 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $697,900 Active 811 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $697,900 Active 810 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $697,900 Active 809 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $697,900 Active 808 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $697,900 Active 804 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $697,900 Active 803 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $697,900 Active 802 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $697,900 Active 801 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $697,900 Active 800 DOM
-
2025-01-26price $697,900 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Under Construction-Come home to The Heights of Town Madison! The Sumter I Plan features 3 Bedrooms with 2.5 baths and over 3,000 sqft of luxury living space. The foyer enters to an open living design featuring the living room with gas fireplace & flanking built-in bookshelves, a gourmet kitchen w/elegant designer cabinets and quartz countertops. Enjoy 2 large bonus rooms, 1 on each floor. Rear entry 2-car garage w/large additional storage space on the side of the home.Enjoy the convenient proximity to restaurant, shops,& entertainment! Pool & Fitness Center! Ask about our Buyer Incentives!
-
2025-01-22$697,900 Active 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
The Sumter offers three bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a detached 2-car garage. You'll love the open living area with a chef's kitchen and the convenience of the first-floor owner's suite. The second level offers a huge bonus room, two bedrooms, a Jack and Jill bathroom, and a storage closet.
-
2024-12-16price $697,901 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Under Construction-Come home to The Heights of Town Madison! The Sumter I Plan features 3 Bedrooms with 2.5 baths and over 3,000 sqft of luxury living space. The foyer enters to an open living design featuring the living room with gas fireplace & flanking built-in bookshelves, a gourmet kitchen w/elegant designer cabinets and quartz countertops. Enjoy 2 large bonus rooms, 1 on each floor. Rear entry 2-car garage w/large additional storage space on the side of the home.Enjoy the convenient proximity to restaurant, shops,& entertainment! Pool & Fitness Center! Ask about our Buyer Incentives!
-
2024-11-18status Active 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Under Construction-Come home to The Heights of Town Madison! The Sumter I Plan features 3 Bedrooms with 2.5 baths and over 3,000 sqft of luxury living space. The foyer enters to an open living design featuring the living room with gas fireplace & flanking built-in bookshelves, a gourmet kitchen w/elegant designer cabinets and quartz countertops. Enjoy 2 large bonus rooms, 1 on each floor. Rear entry 2-car garage w/large additional storage space on the side of the home.Enjoy the convenient proximity to restaurant, shops,& entertainment! Pool & Fitness Center! Ask about our Buyer Incentives!
-
2024-10-07historical 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Under Construction-Come home to The Heights of Town Madison! The Sumter I Plan features 3 Bedrooms with 2.5 baths and over 3,000 sqft of luxury living space. The foyer enters to an open living design featuring the living room with gas fireplace & flanking built-in bookshelves, a gourmet kitchen w/elegant designer cabinets and quartz countertops. Enjoy 2 large bonus rooms, 1 on each floor. Rear entry 2-car garage w/large additional storage space on the side of the home.Enjoy the convenient proximity to restaurant, shops,& entertainment! Pool & Fitness Center! Ask about our Buyer Incentives!
-
2024-02-08$697,900 Active 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Under Construction-Come home to The Heights of Town Madison! The Sumter I Plan features 3 Bedrooms with 2.5 baths and over 3,000 sqft of luxury living space. The foyer enters to an open living design featuring the living room with gas fireplace & flanking built-in bookshelves, a gourmet kitchen w/elegant designer cabinets and quartz countertops. Enjoy 2 large bonus rooms, 1 on each floor. Rear entry 2-car garage w/large additional storage space on the side of the home.Enjoy the convenient proximity to restaurant, shops,& entertainment! Pool & Fitness Center! Ask about our Buyer Incentives!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $9,975 · $831/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,975 · $831/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,093
- − Property taxes
- −$9,975
- − Insurance
- −$3,490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,840
- − Management
- −$2,840
- − HOA
- −$804
- − Depreciation
- −$20,303
- Taxable loss
- −$43,844
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$10,523
- After-tax cash flow
- $-19,619/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison City
- NCES district ID
- 0100008
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,091
- Composite
- 55.56/100
- National rank
- #1238
- State rank
- #4 of 129 in AL
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3280
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madison, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 93,742
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,266
- Household income
- $117,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 875.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.46%
- Current HPI
- 355.2784
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-01-26 Price Changed $697,900 VMLS
- 2025-01-22 Listed $697,900 Zillow
- 2024-12-16 Price Changed $697,901 VMLS
- 2024-11-18 Relisted — VMLS
- 2024-10-07 Delisted — VMLS
- 2024-02-08 Listed $697,900 VMLS
Property tax history
+279.3%/yrLatest (2024): $9,975 · +279.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…