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8802 66th St SE
C Composite 55.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$159,900

8802 66th St SE · Forest Hills, MI 49302
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 722 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 121 Days on market
Built 1950 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable efficient home. Campau Lake Deeded access, easement with no docking rights. Private drive. One bedroom, Large living area, laundry room, enclosed porch, storage and workshop area. Newer siding. Nice patio outside with a shed. Nice view.

Key facts

  • Newer siding
  • Nice patio
  • Enclosed porch

Tags

CAMPAU LAKE DEEDED ACCESSPRIVATE DRIVEENCLOSED PORCHSTORAGE AND WORKSHOP AREANEWER SIDINGNICE PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (13.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.8% in Forest Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#139 in MI, #3,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Caledonia Community Schools (suburban): math 58% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #26 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 19 sale attempts since 37y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $160k implies a 540% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $138,693 (13.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.73%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$44,836
Equity at exit
$92,265
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$129,169
Equity at exit
$160,619

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49302

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,387 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,066/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,258
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-03-22
    status Pending 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Affordable efficient home. Campau Lake Deeded access, easement with no docking rights. Private drive. One bedroom, Large living area, laundry room, enclosed porch, storage and workshop area. Newer siding. Nice patio outside with a shed. Nice view.

  2. 2026-03-22
    status Pending 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Affordable efficient home. Campau Lake Deeded access, easement with no docking rights. Private drive. One bedroom, Large living area, laundry room, enclosed porch, storage and workshop area. Newer siding. Nice patio outside with a shed. Nice view.

  3. 2026-03-22
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Affordable efficient home. Campau Lake Deeded access, easement with no docking rights. Private drive. One bedroom, Large living area, laundry room, enclosed porch, storage and workshop area. Newer siding. Nice patio outside with a shed. Nice view.

  4. 2025-11-21
    listed $159,900 Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Affordable efficient home. Campau Lake Deeded access, easement with no docking rights. Private drive. One bedroom, Large living area, laundry room, enclosed porch, storage and workshop area. Newer siding. Nice patio outside with a shed. Nice view.

  5. 2025-11-20
    listed $159,900 Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Affordable efficient home. Campau Lake Deeded access, easement with no docking rights. Private drive. One bedroom, Large living area, laundry room, enclosed porch, storage and workshop area. Newer siding. Nice patio outside with a shed. Nice view.

  6. 2025-11-20
    listed $159,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Affordable efficient home. Campau Lake Deeded access, easement with no docking rights. Private drive. One bedroom, Large living area, laundry room, enclosed porch, storage and workshop area. Newer siding. Nice patio outside with a shed. Nice view.

  7. 2025-05-24
    status Pending
  8. 2025-05-24
    status Pending
  9. 2025-05-24
    historical
  10. 2025-05-22
    listed $120,000 Active
  11. 2025-05-22
    listed $120,000 Active
  12. 2015-01-24
    historical
  13. 2015-01-24
    historical
  14. 2015-01-24
    historical
  15. 2015-01-24
    historical
  16. 2012-03-30
    historical
  17. 2012-03-24
    soldstatus $25,000
  18. 2012-03-24
    soldstatus $25,000
  19. 2011-12-12
    listed $33,900
  20. 2011-12-12
    listed $33,900
  21. 2011-09-02
    listed $49,900
  22. 2011-09-02
    listed $49,900
  23. 1996-04-04
    soldstatus $60,000
  24. 1996-04-04
    soldstatus $60,000
  25. 1995-11-13
    listed $62,900
  26. 1995-11-13
    listed $62,900
  27. 1993-10-05
    historical
  28. 1993-04-05
    listed $58,000
  29. 1993-04-05
    listed $58,000
  30. 1992-11-12
    historical
  31. 1992-11-12
    historical
  32. 1992-05-12
    listed $58,000
  33. 1992-05-12
    listed $58,000
  34. 1992-05-12
    listed $58,000
  35. 1992-05-12
    listed $58,000
  36. 1989-03-02
    listed $52,900
  37. 1989-03-02
    listed $52,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,066 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,764 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$698/yr (+$58/mo · 65.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,643
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,066
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,331
− Management
−$1,331
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$1,494
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$358
After-tax cash flow
$1,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caledonia Community Schools
NCES district ID
2607620
Math proficiency
58% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$75,649
Composite
55.98/100
National rank
#1196
State rank
#26 of 540 in MI

Livability — Forest Hills

Score
76/100
State rank
#139
US rank
#3404

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
53,921
Population (ZIP)
9,657

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 17% Romanian 6% Italian 6%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.17%
Current HPI
481.04
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+202.3% since first listed
37 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-22 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $159,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-24 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-24 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-22 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-22 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-01-24 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2015-01-24 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2015-01-24 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2015-01-24 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2012-03-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-03-24 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-03-24 Sold (MLS) $25,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2011-12-12 Listed $33,900 REALCOMP
  • 2011-12-12 Listed $33,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2011-09-02 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2011-09-02 Listed $49,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1996-04-04 Sold (MLS) $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 1996-04-04 Sold (MLS) $60,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1995-11-13 Listed $62,900 REALCOMP
  • 1995-11-13 Listed $62,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1993-10-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1993-04-05 Listed $58,000 REALCOMP
  • 1993-04-05 Listed $58,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1992-11-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1992-11-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1992-05-12 Listed $58,000 REALCOMP
  • 1992-05-12 Listed $58,000 REALCOMP
  • 1992-05-12 Listed $58,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1992-05-12 Listed $58,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1989-03-02 Listed $52,900 REALCOMP
  • 1989-03-02 Listed $52,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,066 · -29.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…