🏗️ New Construction
REDMAN ADVANTAGE - B Plan · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NEW HOLIDAY SPECIAL!! ENJOY 4 MONTHS OF RENT-FREE LIVING AT ROYAL VILLAGE IN TOLEDO, OH. Offering 1,152 sq. ft. of well-designed living space, this single-wide home by Champion Homes combines modern style, smart functionality, and everyday comfort. From a sparkling pool to pet-friendly areas and helpful conveniences, Royal Village delivers a safe, comfortable lifestyle for everyone. A great opportunity for buyers seeking quality construction and a practical path to homeownership in Ohio.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Listed 215 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 6.9% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Springfield Local (suburban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #404 of 656 in OH (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Springfield Middle School (math 44% / reading 53%, grade C-, #435 of 654 statewide, top 67%, 744 students, 81% FRL); Springfield High School (math 40% / reading 60%, grade D+, #384 of 781 statewide, top 49%, 922 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $799 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.60%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $115,467
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -56.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2617 Shetland Rd | 1.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 14mo | $262,000 | $227 | 49 |
| 6820 Cloister Ct | 1.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,220 (+6%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $197 | 43 |
| 2235 Whispering Pines Dr | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,336 (+16%) | 9mo | $265,500 | $199 | 34 |
| 6268 Timberside Dr | 1.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,382 (+20%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $166 | 27 |
| 1145 Joyce Ln | 1.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-12%) | 19mo | $160,000 | $159 | 25 |
| 809 Saturn Dr | 1.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+17%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $100 | 24 |
| 6636 Regents Park Blvd #6636 | 1.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,413 (+23%) | 15mo | $250,000 | $177 | 22 |
| 2263 Whispering Pines Dr Unit 4-2263 | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,336 (+16%) | 20mo | $250,000 | $187 | 22 |
| 1110 Saturn Dr | 1.47mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,386 (+20%) | 14mo | $145,000 | $105 | 21 |
| 1224 Joyce Ln | 1.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,383 (+20%) | 19mo | $93,000 | $67 | 20 |
| 2360 Manoa Ln #2360 | 1.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,354 (+18%) | 19mo | $245,000 | $181 | 19 |
| 2504 Centennial Rd | 1.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 938 (-19%) | 21mo | $150,500 | $160 | 14 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,057
- Equity at exit
- $17,217
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $20,301
- Equity at exit
- $9,984
Cash invested: $32,331 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 32 active · 7 under contract
- Median asking
- $49,900 ($50/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 161 d
- This list price
- 34% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +99.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 43615
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,372 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$606
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,732/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $286
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $366 | -5% $326 | +0% $286 | +5% $246 | +10% $206 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $177 | -5% $232 | +0% $286 | +5% $340 | +10% $394 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $344 | -0.5pp $315 | base $286 | +0.5pp $256 | +1.0pp $225 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,867
- Closing costs
- $3,464
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1210 Country View Pl Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $1,130 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6951 W Bancroft St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,731 | $1.51 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2150 N McCord Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,315 | $1.72 | 0d | 3 | 1.04mi |
| 1800 N McCord Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $938 | $1.00 | 0d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6633 W Bancroft St Toledo, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,179 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2130 Country Trace Pl Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 917 | $1,050 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6535 Dorr St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,000 | $1.12 | 116d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Status: Active
- Financial info
- List price: $49,900Inventory type: Plan
Exterior
- Utilities
- Electric service
- Home design
- Plan: REDMAN ADVANTAGE - B - 4 Months Rent-Free Offer
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features
- Living area of 1,152 (listed)
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-07-11days on market $49,900 Active 216 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $49,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $49,900 Active 214 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $49,900 Active 213 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $49,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $49,900 Active 211 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $49,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $49,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $49,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $49,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $49,900 Active 206 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $49,900 Active 205 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $49,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $49,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $49,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $49,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $49,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $49,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,900 Active 174 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,468
- − Property taxes
- −$1,732
- − Insurance
- −$577
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,317
- − Management
- −$1,317
- − Depreciation
- −$3,359
- Taxable income
- $1,691
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$406
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,023/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This single-wide home by Champion Homes is in good condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It is a great opportunity for buyers seeking quality construction and a practical path to homeownership in Ohio.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904822
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,807
- Composite
- 44.87/100
- National rank
- #2719
- State rank
- #404 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lucas County · 420,751 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,146
- Household income
- $57,713
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.44%
- Current HPI
- 205.95
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.59%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…