🏷️ Likely Rental
3857 Indian Trl #109 · Destin, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Quiet convenience can be found at this 90 unit rental-restricted condo on 3.6acres on Choctawhatchee Bay. This Destin 1br/1ba condo lives large with an enclosed patio, large closets, + exterior storage onsite. Parking for 109 is just outside your front door with plenty of overflow parking and 14 spots for boat parking on site. Complex includes a bayfront pool, clubhouse + 2 laundry centers on each floor. This unit has a brand new HVAC with transferable warranty & new water heater. The central location provides for quick trips to many necessities, without even having to access the highway! Owner's Association allows for service animals only. No pets.
Key facts
- Parking
- Community pool
- Built 1972
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($953/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (7.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.8% in Destin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#158 in FL, #2,247 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Destin Elementary School (math 79% / reading 70%, grade A, #230 of 2,144 statewide, top 12%, 976 students, 41% FRL); Destin High School (470 students, 11% FRL, charter).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 74% at this address vs 60% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Okaloosa average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 1343 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.70%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,368
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -28.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3857 Indian Trl #411 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 813 (0%) | 22mo | $235,000 | $289 | 82 |
| 3857 Indian Trl #314 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 989 (+22%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $298 | 62 |
| 3863 Indian Trl #106 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 936 (+15%) | 8mo | $320,000 | $342 | 55 |
| 710 Legion Dr Unit H2 | 1.27mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 850 (+5%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $200 | 50 |
| 3857 Indian Trl #212 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+23%) | 21mo | $275,000 | $275 | 48 |
| 3863 Indian Trl Unit 104 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 936 (+15%) | 18mo | $305,000 | $326 | 47 |
| 710 Legion Dr Unit O4 | 1.19mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 850 (+5%) | 8mo | $222,500 | $262 | 46 |
| 710 Legion Dr Unit O3 | 1.19mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 850 (+5%) | 12mo | $222,500 | $262 | 43 |
| 710 Legion Dr Unit P2 | 1.20mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 850 (+5%) | 13mo | $215,000 | $253 | 42 |
| 710 Legion Dr Unit G5 | 1.27mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 850 (+5%) | 25mo | $230,000 | $271 | 32 |
| 223 Indian Oaks Dr | 1.19mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 900 (+11%) | 12mo | $222,000 | $247 | 30 |
| 1 Pine Ridge Trce | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 968 (+19%) | 23mo | $207,000 | $214 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-26,035
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-10,747
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active
- Months of supply
- 24.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $228,900 ($260/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 101 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +32.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32541
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 1343
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,849 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $79
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $218 | -5% $148 | +0% $79 | +5% $10 | +10% $-59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-67 | -5% $6 | +0% $79 | +5% $152 | +10% $225 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $180 | -0.5pp $130 | base $79 | +0.5pp $28 | +1.0pp $-25 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3857 Indian Trl Destin, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,975 | $1.97 | 18d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 3857 Indian Trl Unit 507 Destin, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,000 | $1.96 | 10d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 176 Bayou Dr Destin, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 8d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 811 Airport Rd Unit C Destin, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 10d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 602 4th St Unit F Destin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 791 | $1,500 | $1.90 | 10d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 986 Airport Rd Unit B Destin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,700 | $1.85 | 184d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 710 Legion Dr Destin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,900 | $2.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 710 Legion Dr Unit O2 Destin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 898 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 184d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 710 Legion Dr Unit O2 Destin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 898 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 162d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 710 Legion Dr Unit P4 Destin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,900 | $2.24 | 10d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 710 Legion Dr Unit D2 Destin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,750 | $2.06 | 154d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 710 Legion Dr Unit D2 Destin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,800 | $2.12 | 184d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 204 Ann Cir Unit C Destin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 184d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 98 Palm St Destin, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1061 | $1,778 | $1.67 | 2d | 26 | 1.46mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Association fee covers electricity, water, sewer and trashCommunity amenities include BBQ/grill, community room, dock, dumpster, elevators, fishing, laundry, marina, pool, separate storage, and waterfront accessShort-term rentals not allowed; minimum rental period enforced
Exterior
- Parking
- 1 assigned parking space
- Security
- Smoke detectors
- Utilities
- Electric servicePublic waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Condominium unitSingle-story unit (one level)Built in 1972Located in a 5-story building
- Construction
- Building area recorded at 813 total square feet
- Exterior features
- Outdoor grillDockEnclosed patioBay viewWaterfront property on the bayCommunity in-ground pool
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherGarbage disposalMicrowaveElectric water heater
- Bedrooms
- 1 bedroom (master on first level) Master bedroom includes a walk-in closet
- Flooring
- HardwoodTile
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroomMaster bathroom with cultured marble and shower
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioningCeiling fansElectric heat controls
- Interior features
- Partially furnishedBuilt-in bookcasesPantry
- Laundry & utility
- Community laundry available
Listing history 50 events
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2026-11-08days on market $199,900 Active 207 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $199,900 Active 206 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $199,900 Active 205 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $199,900 Active 204 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $199,900 Active 203 DOM
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2026-11-02days on market $199,900 Active 201 DOM
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2026-11-01days on market $199,900 Active 200 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $199,900 Active 199 DOM
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2026-10-30days on market $199,900 Active 198 DOM
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2026-10-29days on market $199,900 Active 197 DOM
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2026-10-28days on market $199,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-10-27days on market $199,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $199,900 Active 194 DOM
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2026-10-25days on market $199,900 Active 193 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $199,900 Active 192 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $199,900 Active 191 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $199,900 Active 190 DOM
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2026-10-21days on market $199,900 Active 189 DOM
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2026-10-20days on market $199,900 Active 188 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $199,900 Active 187 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $199,900 Active 186 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $199,900 Active 185 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $199,900 Active 184 DOM
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2026-10-15days on market $199,900 Active 183 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $199,900 Active 182 DOM
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2026-10-13days on market $199,900 Active 181 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $199,900 Active 180 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $199,900 Active 179 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $199,900 Active 178 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $199,900 Active 177 DOM
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2026-10-08days on market $199,900 Active 176 DOM
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2026-10-07days on market $199,900 Active 175 DOM
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2026-10-06days on market $199,900 Active 174 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $199,900 Active 173 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $199,900 Active 172 DOM
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2026-10-03days on market $199,900 Active 171 DOM
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2026-10-02days on market $199,900 Active 170 DOM
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2026-10-01days on market $199,900 Active 169 DOM
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2026-09-30days on market $199,900 Active 168 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $199,900 Active 167 DOM
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2026-09-28days on market $199,900 Active 166 DOM
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2026-09-27days on market $199,900 Active 165 DOM
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2026-09-26days on market $199,900 Active 164 DOM
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2026-09-25days on market $199,900 Active 163 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $199,900 Active 162 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $199,900 Active 161 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $199,900 Active 160 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $199,900 Active 159 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $199,900 Active 158 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $199,900 Active 157 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,190
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,998
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,775
- − Management
- −$1,775
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$2,371
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$569
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 1-bedroom/1-bathroom condo is in good condition with modern amenities and a good location. It has a good resale and rental value with potential for further improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Destin
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #158
- US rank
- #2247
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Destin, FL
- County
- Okaloosa County · 235,133 people
- City population
- 18,855
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,855
- Household income
- $95,124
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.89%
- Current HPI
- 252.6715
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.68%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $199,900 ECAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…