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10505 Cedarville Rd Unit 13-21
B- Composite 65.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

10505 Cedarville Rd Unit 13-21 · Cedarville, MD 20613
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 342 Days on market
Built 2025 Poor condition ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a clubhouse, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Modern bathroom
  • Premium entry doors
  • Built 2025

Tags

PREMIUM ENTRY DOORSMODERN BATHROOMNEW BRAND NAME APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#399 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, cost of living B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 342 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 342 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.18%
Cap rate
28.11%
Cash-on-cash
77.93%
DSCR
4.47
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
78.0%
Equity multiple
4.56×
Total profit
$89,592
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
81.5%
Equity multiple
9.43×
Total profit
$212,258
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20613

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,856 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$600
Net cashflow
$1,635

Break-even live

Break-even rent $786
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 342 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 341 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 340 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 339 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 337 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 333 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 332 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 331 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 328 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 327 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 326 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $89,900 Active 325 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,400 Active 324 DOM
  14. 2026-02-01
    price $89,400 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a clubhouse, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  15. 2025-09-29
    status Active 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a clubhouse, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  16. 2025-08-08
    historical 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a clubhouse, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  17. 2025-07-26
    price $89,900 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a clubhouse, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  18. 2025-05-20
    listed $92,300 Active 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, a clubhouse, and a playground. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,269
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,348
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,741
− Management
−$2,741
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$19,336
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,641
After-tax cash flow
$14,976/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and updates to its exterior, interior, and systems, significantly impacting its value. Immediate action is needed to address the deteriorating condition and improve its marketability.

Repairs flagged

  • Major siding — Significant wear and tear
  • Major roof — No visible damage, but siding condition suggests underlying issues
  • Major flooring — No visible flooring, but siding condition suggests underlying issues
  • Major interior walls/paint — No visible interior, but siding condition suggests underlying issues
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible systems, but siding condition suggests underlying issues
  • Major landscaping — No visible landscaping, but siding condition suggests underlying issues

Value-add opportunities

  • Both repair and replace siding — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both repair and replace roof — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both repair and replace flooring — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both repair and paint interior walls — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both repair and replace HVAC/mechanicals — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both landscape and improve curb appeal — Improves both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
siding · Significant wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
roof · No visible damage, but siding condition suggests underlying issues Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · No visible flooring, but siding condition suggests underlying issues Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · No visible interior, but siding condition suggests underlying issues Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No visible systems, but siding condition suggests underlying issues Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · No visible landscaping, but siding condition suggests underlying issues Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both repair and replace siding — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both repair and replace roof — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both repair and replace flooring — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both repair and paint interior walls — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both repair and replace HVAC/mechanicals — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both landscape and improve curb appeal — Improves both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prince George'S County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400510
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$73,967
Composite
16.82/100
National rank
#9151
State rank
#21 of 24 in MD

Livability — Cedarville

Score
57/100
State rank
#399
US rank
#21965

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cedarville, MD
County
Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
City population
15,923
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
17,590
Household income
$151,422
Rent vs Own
6.0% rent · 94.0% own

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,005,426 people
By 2030
1,048,416 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,123,425 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,183,220 · +17.7%
By 2075
1,306,202 · +29.9%
By 2100
1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, United Kingdom
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

2024 margin
Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.19%
Current HPI
247.5504
Rent YoY
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-01 Price Changed $89,400 Zillow
  • 2025-09-29 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-08-08 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-07-26 Price Changed $89,900 Zillow
  • 2025-05-20 Listed $92,300 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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