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312 Dillard St
B- Composite 67.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$65,000

312 Dillard St · Jacksonport, AR 72075
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily · 85 Days on market
Built 1932 Fair condition 0.33 ac lot $72/sqft · 228% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute older home with double lot, full chain link fence 4 sides. Pine floors, & vinyl, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, laundry porch, Glass enclosed front porch, CH & A installed approx. 2 years ago. Plenty of room to park campers and recreational vehicles on this double lot. Historic Jacksonport Museum (walking distance) Enjoy swimming in the park area. White River and large boat launch area are nearby for your fishing excursions. Property is occupied and there is dog on premises so appointments are necessary. Office Phone 870-523-8878 or Call/Text Sandy Honey 501-412-1658

Key facts

  • Laundry porch
  • Double lot
  • 0.33 acre lot

Tags

DOUBLE LOTFULL CHAIN LINK FENCELAUNDRY PORCHGLASS ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHLARGE BOAT LAUNCH AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($830 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#435 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Newport School District (town): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #194 of 238 in AR (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.11%
Cash-on-cash
13.62%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$19,808
List price
$65,000
Delta
228.14%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$20,999
Equity at exit
$29,227
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
4.10×
Total profit
$56,343
Equity at exit
$45,042

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72075

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$830 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$174
Net cashflow
$207

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 65 DOM
  17. 2026-03-24
    listed $65,000 Active 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Cute older home with double lot, full chain link fence 4 sides. Pine floors, & vinyl, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, laundry porch, Glass enclosed front porch, CH & A installed approx. 2 years ago. Plenty of room to park campers and recreational vehicles on this double lot. Historic Jacksonport Museum (walking distance) Enjoy swimming in the park area. White River and large boat launch area are nearby for your fishing excursions. Property is occupied and there is dog on premises so appointments are necessary. Office Phone 870-523-8878 or Call/Text Sandy Honey 501-412-1658

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,961
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$797
− Management
−$797
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$1,535
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$368
After-tax cash flow
$2,110/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The home is a single-family residence with a double lot and full chain link fence. It has average condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. The highest-ROI updates to increase its resale or rental value are painting the exterior siding, interior walls, and landscaping.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Paint on exterior siding — The exterior siding is painted white and appears to be in good condition.
  • Minor Paint on interior walls — The interior walls are painted and appear to be in good condition.
  • Minor Landscaping — The landscaping is simple with grass and a few trees.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Resale Paint interior walls — Painting the interior walls can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale Landscaping — Landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Paint on exterior siding · The exterior siding is painted white and appears to be in good condition. Minor $500–3,000
Paint on interior walls · The interior walls are painted and appear to be in good condition. Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · The landscaping is simple with grass and a few trees. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Resale Paint interior walls — Painting the interior walls can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale Landscaping — Landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newport School District
NCES district ID
0500023
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$29,425
Composite
19.67/100
National rank
#8734
State rank
#194 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jacksonport

Score
53/100
State rank
#435
US rank
#24346

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonport, AR
City population
12
Population (ZIP)
12

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,368 people
By 2030
15,875 · -3.0%
By 2040
14,998 · -8.4%
By 2050
14,363 · -12.2%
By 2075
13,207 · -19.3%
By 2100
11,276 · -31.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.7) · D 24.8% · R 73.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-32.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.3pp · 2024: -48.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.7 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+33.0 2012: R+18.2 2008: R+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $65,000 NEABOR MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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